Flat Racing 16th of September

[Aidymac]

Bravely - Ayr 2:50 I like the chances of this horse tomorrow. It is well drawn, has hit form, trainer is in form and should have a decent chance of making it 2 wins from its last 2 runs here. It has a great draw again tomorrow in Stall 16. Coincidentaly it won its last race from Stall 16 last time out at Newcastle. From this stall it should be able to grab the favoured stand-side rail and thats usually the place to be. It is dropped in trip tomorrow to 5 furlongs from 6 but i think that is no problem at all and could be actually an advantage as in its last run over 6 furlongs it picked up really well on the 4th furlong so if it picks up very well again 1 furlong out over 5 tomorrow it will be a tough nut to crack. Even though it is up 6 pounds for its latest success, i feel myself it is still on a very leniant mark. It runs iff a mark of 61 tomorrow but won off a mark of 72 last year so is still 11 pounds better off from that win which is substantial. The ground tomorrow is a forecast Good (good to soft in places) and this should be no problem as it has won on good to soft, good and good to firm ground!! When David Allan ride the horse it has a record of 1 Win - 2 Places - 4 Unplaced so he does fairly well on the horse and is the stable's top jockey. The trainer has been in cracking form this season also which is a plus. My summarisation is that Bravely will try to get the stands-side rail where the advantage is and 1 furlong out it should make a winning challenge off what is still a leniant mark. Has conditions to suit and is in form and there is a forecast 19 runners tomorrow which means there should be 4 places on offer so i feel is an e/w bet to nothing. Personally i would rate Argentine as the biggest danger to my selection. £10 e/w @ 6/1 (Hills) BOG, 1/4 odds first 4

[Aidymac]

Re: Flat Racing 16th of September Ingleby King - Wolverhampton 8:55 There are a few factors as to why i like this horse tomorrow. Its last run i thought was eye-catching so the step up in trip should suit, is well drawn, significant jockey booking and the horse is fairly unexposed so has a lot going for it. Over a mile at Wolverhampton there is a slight draw advantage for the inside stalls so this horse is in Stall1 tomorrow and has no excuses from that pitch if breaking on terms. Its last run was very eye-catching for me. It ran over 7 furlongs last time out at Newcastle but to me it looks like it needs tomorrows step up to a mile, i feel it found the 7 furlongs a tad too sharp as it stayed on very well to take 3rd but the race was over before it got going. The extra furlong tomorrow is a major plus in my opinion. It runs off a mark of 55 tomorrow, the same mark as its last run so it is fairly well treated. Before the blinkers were put on it had very poor form its first few runs, but it has had the blinkers on the past 2 races and it has finished 3rd on both them outings so it is fair to make the presumption that the blinkers have brought improvement out of the horse. Jim Crowley is a significant jockey booking tomorrow. Its his first time taking the ride on this horse and he is a talented jockey who is having a great year for the in-form Beckett yard. My reckoning is that the horse is improving, it is well drawn, the step up in trip will suit, the jockey booking is good and if handling the surface it should definately make its presence felt. I would rate Desert Falls as my main danger. £10 e/w @ .................