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Another system inspired by Joe's book ....!


plez

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Hi – I’ve been lurking for a while now (sorry!), but I hope I’ve finally got something worth posting. I seem to have become addicted to try to beat the bookies statistically (:loon) since reading Joe's book. After many, many failures :wall, this latest effort shows a bit of promise, at least on paper. Time will tell …… but at least it throws out some crazy predictions that might give you a laugh. It follows the usual format – use a bunch of variables to predict probabilities for the outcome of a match, multiply these by the max odds available and if it shows value then put some money on it. For now I will stick rigidly to what it suggests, even though some predictions seem it go against most of what is posted in the Britain forum! Odds for Betfair and Betdaq have been rounded down to account for commission. Cardiff v Preston [1.5 pts @ 2.1 PaddyPower] Arsenal v WBA [0.8 pts @ 1.21 Betdaq] Chelsea v Bolton [0.9 pts @ 1.4 SuperOdds] Palace v Newcastle [1.0 pts @ 2.37 Skybet] Man Utd v Charlton [2.9 pts @ 1.36 Hills] Boro v Liverpool [4.1 pts @ 2.6 PaddyPower] Pompey v Man City [1.9 pts @ 3.25 SuperOdds] Col U v Huddersfield [3.4 pts @ 3.18 Betdaq] Wrexham v Bristol C [1.1 pts @ 2.41 Betdaq] Boston v Mansfield [1.7 pts @ 4.2 Betdaq] Darlo v Lincoln [1.3 pts @ 3.75 BetDirect] Grimsby v Kidderminster [1.7 pts @ 1.73 PaddyPower] Dundee v Hibs [1.2 pts @ 2.5 PaddyPower] Villa v Spurs [1.6 pts @ 4.33 Skybet] :o A few more to follow.

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Re: Another system inspired by Joe's book ....! Here are the last bets for now :) Everton v Fulham [1.3 pts @ 1.91 StanJames] Forest v Reading [2.0 pts @ 2.95 Betfair] Plymouth v Stoke [1.6 pts @ 2.2 StanJames] Wigan v Leicester [1.6 pts @ 1.91 StanJames] Oxford v Rochdale [1.1 pts @ 3.67 Betdaq] I've just read the instructions for posting in S+S section, so just to say it involves real money :loon, and if it goes well and you are interested then I can say more about the system .... Good luck all this w/e :cheers Start bank: 1000 Current bank: 966.30 Total stakes: 33.7 No. bets: 20 Winners: - Losers: - Str. rate: - Yield: - P/L: -

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