World Cup value

[muppet77]

ok - a very simple system - i have used Ladbrokes odds for each individual match in the league stage to generate the expected chances of each team getting 0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7+9 points (8 is not possible to get!) i then converted these to odds and looked for value on the market. simples. i came up with the following bets that have already started - a bit pointless but i would like to record their progress on here - odds taken from the Racing Post WC special on tuesday:

Safr		to qualify	3.00		Bfred
Skorea		to qualify	3.50		B365
Greece		bottom	3.00		B365

england		6 points	6.50		Whills
algeria		to qualify	5.30		BF
slovenia		to win group	16.00		BF
slovenia		to qualify	3.00		Bfred
australia		to qualify	3.50		Tote
holland		6 points	7.00		B365
holland		9 points	33.00		Whills
japan		to qualify	4.80		BF
slovakia		to win group	8.50		VicCh
slovakia		to qualify	2.30		Whills
portugal		to win group	4.70		BF
portugal		to qualify	1.67		BSq

These were BEFORE the first match. However, the next lot are still valid:

BF odds are pre 5% tax and all bets involved here are for the league stage only. :hope

[Smokin Joe]

Re: World Cup value Nice work Muppet. However, the one that took my eye was Holland to get 9 points but no way are they 32/1. Is that a typo?