Fastest goal at the World Cup Finals 2010

[muppet77]

For all 64 matches, Spin have priced up the fastest goal to be 90-100 seconds. ("tournament specials" in "International football"). The stop loss for this market (for me at least) is 300. Say you sell at 90 seconds, this equates to there being at least one goal in 90s x 64 matches = 1h 34 minutes of football. Checking the previous fastest goals form WCs looks good too: 37 second average for WCs with 64 matches and 70 seconds for all of these - with 8/9 under 90 seconds.

	fastest
WC	seconds	matches	profit/loss
2006	70	64	£20
2002	11	64	£79
1998	30	64	£60
1994	90	52	£0
1990	250	52	-£160
1986	30	52	£60
1982	30	52	£60
1978	30	38	£60
1974	90	38	£0

average profit for the 64 match WCs is £53 and for all WCs it is £20. I couldn't find the exact second of scoring for the oldies, so if it was recorded as "1st minute" I used "30 seconds" as a midpoint etc etc. I believe that the goal times are heavily linked to the total goals expected, and their estimate is 159-161.5 which is a goals per game average of 2.50 - so nothing far from average. I have not wagered myself but surely this is a nail on "SELL". What does everyone think?

[clarky101]

Re: Fastest goal at the World Cup Finals 2010 Done this in 2002,not sure what the spread was, but Haken Suker bought the bacon home in the 3rd place match if my dodgy memory serves me right....