Newmarket - Sun 2nd May

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2.05 Newmarket It was hard not to be impressed with DANGEROUS MIDGE who hacked up at Doncaster earlier in the month on his comeback run for the season. The handicapper has hit him with an 11 lb rise for that win but he won so easily that he is well worth a try in this slightly better event before he steps into listed and group races. He evidently handles fast ground and the step up in trip should continue his improvement. 7/1 Bet 365, EW 3.55 Newmarket INDIAN SKIPPER came ever so close to winning at Leicester last time out and although he was mugged close home the run confirmed his well being and that he is running off a dangerously low mark on turf, considerably lower than that on the all-weather. He's been put up a couple of pounds from his last run and is 1 lb wrong at tomorrows weights but he looks as if he has a race in him and he should have conditions to suit. HAWKEYETHENOO caught the eye when beating our pick Green Park at Thirsk the other week and is improving rapidly. I want him onside too as a saver as I feel he too will run a race tomorrow. Indian Skipper 40/1 Bet 365, EW Hawkeyethenoo 12/1 Stan James, win saver

[fintron]

Re: Newmarket - Sun 2nd May 1,000 Guineas (Newmarket, 2nd May) Looking over the previous winners of this race informs us that there are frequent upsets in this contest, and as somebody that likes to beat the favourites with big priced alternatives, it is thus a race of interest. Ghanaati turned over the short priced Rainbow View last season and was yet another example of a filly coming into the race with last time out winning form. Infact, nine of the last ten winners have ticked this same box, and applying this filter to the field cuts down the number of possibles massively. Then things get a little harder to fathom as we have to delve into breeding, but the pedigrees of Guineas winners do throw out some clues that we can take note of. For example, Ghanaati (2009 winner) was sired by Giant's Causeway, an 8f winner at three and a horse infact placed in this same race, Natagora (2008) was by a sire with a stamina index of 8f, Finsceal Beo 8.2f and Speciosa 8.0f. Focussing on such horses in this years field means we can cut out Puff - whose stamina credentials are in doubt, and Hibaayeb and Pollinator who may come into their own over further at a later point into the season. What we are left with is a shortlist of three - Music Note (best priced 6/1), Rumoush (7/1) and Pipette (25/1). All make appeal on breeding, come into the race off the back of last time out winning form and have form chances. The prices determine the bet though, despite being inferior rated to the other pair, PIPETTE is available at quadruple the odds of the other two and is open to more improvement so has to be the bet. Recent comments from her trainer Andrew Balding suggest she will only run if the rain arrives, but the three day forecast for Newmarket is light rain today and tomorrow and heavy rain on Saturday so there is a strong chance the going will shift from its current good to firm desciption. Should it not, then the trainer will hopefully pull her from the race, and with Stan James offering non-runner no bet terms on this race, we would still have our stakes returned if she failed to participate. Have taken 33/1 with SJ, 25/1 the best price currently avail, with Lads.