NFL Wk. 9

[TazaD]

San Diego -6 (2 units) SD are the real thing, and for some reason people still think NO are a decent team. This should be a replay of last week's rout. NO allow 8.08 yards per pass (second worst only to Oakland!)...but also allow 4.7 ypc!! Both Brees and LT should have massive games here. What people might not know is that the Chargers have the no. 1 run D in the NFL! They allow only 81.5 ypg @ 3.5 ypc. McAllister is still not 100%, said he's right to play, but will struggle to make sharp cuts to hit holes. Brooks is way too inconsistant to rely on a one dimentional passing game. Also like the over. SD might hit 40 themselves, and NO will at least score a bit more than Oakland last week. Like this game a lot. SL +3 (-125) The stats of these teams are amazingly similar! Both gain 20 FD's/g. Both allow 20 FD/g. 3rd % 43 to 44. 3rd % allowed 41 to 38 NE 7.31 ypp, SL 7.36 NE allow 6.32 ypp, SL 7.02...slight advantage to NE there, but now Law and Poole both out, SL could have a big passing day. One big advantage the home team does have is in the running game. SL gain 4.6 ypr...NE only 4.0...and also Dillon not 100%. Love a home dog that can run the ball...even if they are up against a team that is 21-1 :rollin Pittsburgh +1 Can anyone get the Steelers some lovin'? Philli have only faced one good defense all year, and they scored 15 v. Baltimore last week. Now they face a similar defense on the road and are favoured?? Steelers allowing just 3.7 ypc, and 5.85 ypp thru the air, will make it tough for Philli to put up points, esp with no Westbrook. On the other hand Philli allowing 4.8 ypr!! Should be another big, productive day for Staley and Bettis as Pits control the game and the clock. Trends? NFL: 9-23-3 (Av. LOSS 3.4) away 3- fav off a SU win but ats loss as home 7+ fav. [Phil] 3-15 SU (Av. LOSS 8.3) if opp is off any ats win. 0-11-1 ats (Av. loss 10.2) if opp off 7+ ats win. NFL: 9-3-2 (Av. win 0.2) home 3- dog off 7+ ats win as any home dog. [Pits] 4-0 if off 14+ ats win. (Av. win 12.8)

[TazaD]

Re: NFL Wk. 9 Wasington @ Detroit under 37.5 Detroit haven't faced a top 10 defense yet, and now face Washington who is number 1. Two decent pass D's they have faced have been Philli (when they scored 13) and @ Chicago (scoring 20, but a blocked FG returned for TD). Detroit are still dead last in total offense, relying on the odd big strike and good special teams to get points. Washington allow only 3.1 ypr and 26.6% 3rd down conversion. Washington can't seem to score anywhere...Av. 14 ppg, and scoring only 14 last week v. a terrible GB defense. Detroit's defensive weakness is against the pass, but Washington are 5th last in pass yards, and are equal last with Chicago averaging only 5.02 yards per pass....@ a league low 51.9% completion. Detroit allowing only 3.5 ypr on the ground, so Washington will struggle to get any movement at all.