Lunatism's Super Experimental Series Of Interesting Bets (HTFT Lays [19/-5%])

[lunatism]

Hmmm, you folks all know me, so there's no need for me to go into all *that* again, but for anyone who's new, just do a search in the forum for my LSS thread and read *that* intro :tongue2 For me, this is something completely different, hence its very experimental nature, but what it hinges on at the monent, is correct score prediction - my basic idea being this: if you can get yourself in a decent position in terms of predicting the correct score in a match, everything else will fall into place, by everything, i would obivously be referring to the following markets:

• Correct Score (well duh!)
• Asian Handicap
• HTFT
• FT result
• HT result
• HT lays, etc

There are lots more as I'm sure you will guess! Now sure, each one could have little "extra" variables taken into account, but the ultimate goal here, is to generate the basic selections from the correct score prediction. So how do I get the correct scores? Hmmm.....grab a bit of data from Football-Data (yep, i'm a fan, and YOU should be too :ok), most importantly the number of shots and the number of goals a team is scoring, work a bit of wizardry based on these...and hey presto, you have a 1st half score prediction and a second half score prediction, then all you need to do is add the two together and you end up with a final score prediction.... My BIG deal right now, is to ignore any matches that have a hint of rivalry (for rivalry rating, see a previous post of mine that happens to be somewhere on here....:\), it's safer that way, and i'm also about to embark on some more distance related work (i'll explain it later if I use it), to determine how distance affects a match. So what i've decided to do today, is post all my correct score predictions for the next few days, and I guess if they (and their associated markets) continue to perform well, i'll keep updating this thread with *fun* stuff and my particular brand of craziness :tongue2 Obviously over time, i will be able to really see whether this is a system that i want to stick with, but since i haven't done it for a while, i thought i'd start a thread ans share my testing process with you lot (plus, i cant be bothered to do any backtesting on this on, it's more than a little complicated and i've always had an unholy fascination with anybody who has consistently made their bank swell from correct score betting....) .....So onward to selections......;)

[lunatism]