1907zico Posted January 1, 2010 Share Posted January 1, 2010 Alright, after stopping my favourite backing system with profit I tought I would like to keep on laying teams in 1.Bundesliga. I was not sure if I should post this in system or GH since there is no real system (maths) behind this so I did post this in GH. Selections are based on the previews I do (which I am not able to share) which include team news, latest match performances, way of playing & special factors such as pressure from media and other stuff. Additionally will try to take advantage of eye-catching facts in first half of season (which you can find here: http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/f7/1-bundesliga-cognitions-first-rounds-95038/). I will go with flat staking 10 pts on each lay. Bank is 1000 pts again as in the thread before. Two weeks to go until 1.Bundesliga starts in which we will have to do our homework, some transfers done already which look promising for some teams. Let's hope this will be profitable :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bagzi Posted January 1, 2010 Share Posted January 1, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying good luck mate :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted January 1, 2010 Author Share Posted January 1, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying good luck mate :ok Thank you mate. :ok Forgot to mention that I also want to try getting advantage of the home win draught in 1.Bundesliga. Last round did help to make statistic looks better with 8 out of 9 home wins, but in general I expect more home wins so that the % which we have at the moment will go back to average 45-46% compared to past years. Further on we are going to lay most of Bayern München opponent's since it looks difficult to beat Bayern (only lost two matches so far and that in during their weak weeks) while I will also have a big tendency to lay opponents of Stuttgart whom I expect to climb up the table finally after coach got sacked (with new coach so far 2/2 wins). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted January 13, 2010 Author Share Posted January 13, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying Let's get this started. Hope I can convince some guys and we can make profit together. So far got these for this weekend: Stuttgart v Wolfsburg - lay under 2,5 @2.3 Köln v Dortmund - lay over 2,5 @2.3 Bank: 1000 pts Staked: 20 pts Return: Pending Yield: 0% Profit/Loss: +0 pts Here is :hope for good rest of season Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottyXS Posted January 13, 2010 Share Posted January 13, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying Glad to see you returning to this zico. :hope for this weekend and getting some lovely profit! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted January 14, 2010 Author Share Posted January 14, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying Glad to see you returning to this zico. :hope for this weekend and getting some lovely profit! Thanks Scotty, let's see :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted January 14, 2010 Author Share Posted January 14, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying One more: Lay Hoffenheim @8.4 Bank: 1000 pts Staked: 30 pts Return: Pending Yield: 0% Profit/Loss: +0 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted January 15, 2010 Author Share Posted January 15, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying Lay Hoffenheim @8.4 :clap +9.5 Stuttgart v Wolfsburg - lay under 2,5 @2.3 :clap +9.5 Köln v Dortmund - lay over 2,5 @2.3 :\ -13 Bank: 1007 pts Staked: 30 pts Return: 37 pts Yield: 23.3% Profit/Loss: +7 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted January 18, 2010 Author Share Posted January 18, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying Quite a solid start, sad that Köln was only real shock for me this weekend seeing way too many goals there :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted January 18, 2010 Author Share Posted January 18, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying Early one for 18th round: Lay Freiburg @3.85 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted January 22, 2010 Author Share Posted January 22, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying Early one for 18th round: Lay Freiburg @3.85 :beer+9.5 Bank: 1016.5 pts Staked: 40 pts Return: 56.5 pts Yield: 41.25% Profit/Loss: +16.5 pts :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted January 24, 2010 Author Share Posted January 24, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying (Yield: 41.25% Profit/Loss: +16.5 pts) One more bet: Lay Hoffenheim @3.4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted January 24, 2010 Author Share Posted January 24, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying (Yield: 41.25% Profit/Loss: +16.5 pts) One more bet: Lay Hoffenheim @3.4:clap +9.5 Picks: 5 Won: 4 Win Rate: 80% Staked: 50 pts Return: 76 pts Profit/Loss: +26 pts Bank: 1026 pts Yield: 52% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted January 27, 2010 Author Share Posted January 27, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying (Yield: 52% Profit/Loss: +26 pts) Most likely no selections this week. Mainz would be a lay all day long but not enough offered there yet to be able to back it :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted January 31, 2010 Author Share Posted January 31, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying (Yield: 52% Profit/Loss: +26 pts) Alright one selection for today. Cannot see Freiburg winning against this Leverkusen actually. Lay Freiburg @14.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted January 31, 2010 Author Share Posted January 31, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying (Yield: 52% Profit/Loss: +26 pts) Alright one selection for today. Cannot see Freiburg winning against this Leverkusen actually. Lay Freiburg @14.5:ok +9.5 Picks: 6 Won: 5 Win Rate: 83% Staked: 60 pts Return: 95.5 pts Profit/Loss: +35.5 pts Bank: 1035.5 pts Yield: 59% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted February 4, 2010 Author Share Posted February 4, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying (Yield: 58% Profit/Loss: +35.5 pts) Possible selections this week: Bremen, Wolfsburg and Bochum. Still waiting for a few information regarding those before posting final picks (odds should be better next days as well). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted February 5, 2010 Author Share Posted February 5, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying (Yield: 58% Profit/Loss: +35.5 pts) Lay Werder Bremen @1.49 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted February 5, 2010 Author Share Posted February 5, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying (Yield: 58% Profit/Loss: +35.5 pts) Close one, but lost - anyway two more lays tommorow: Lay Wolfsburg @5.2 Lay Bochum @6.2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted February 6, 2010 Author Share Posted February 6, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying (Yield: 58% Profit/Loss: +35.5 pts) More action than expected and thats why we need the big bank. Lay Nürnberg @3.8 That's it for the moment. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted February 7, 2010 Author Share Posted February 7, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying (Yield: 58% Profit/Loss: +35.5 pts) Lay Werder Bremen @1.49 -4.9 Lay Wolfsburg @5.2 +9.5 Lay Bochum @6.2 +9.5 Lay Nürnberg @3.8 +9.5 Picks: 10 Won: 8 Win Rate: 80% Staked: 100 pts Return: 159.1 pts Profit/Loss: +59.1 pts Bank: 1059.1 pts Yield: 59.1% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted February 7, 2010 Author Share Posted February 7, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying (Yield: 54% Profit/Loss: +54 pts) Very happy with this so far - almost similar profit to which I had with my martingle system (which included much more risk). I hope I can keep this level and we can go on to make money :beer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted February 13, 2010 Author Share Posted February 13, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying (Yield: 54% Profit/Loss: +54 pts) This week selections (and no short priced favorites sadly so we have to stick to big guns): Lay Dortmund @9.4 Lay Under 2,5 in Bayern @2.7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted February 13, 2010 Author Share Posted February 13, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying (Yield: 59.1% Profit/Loss: +59.1 pts) Had a mistake in my calculations last week. Bremen was a loss of 4.9 and not 10 - good that I did notice it today :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted February 13, 2010 Author Share Posted February 13, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying (Yield: 54% Profit/Loss: +54 pts) This week selections (and no short priced favorites sadly so we have to stick to big guns): Lay Dortmund @9.4 +9.5 Lay Under 2,5 in Bayern @2.7 +9.5 Easy money :dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted February 13, 2010 Author Share Posted February 13, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying (Yield: 58% Profit/Loss: +35.5 pts) Picks: 12 Won: 10 Win Rate: 83% Staked: 120 pts Return: 198.1 pts Profit/Loss: +78.1 pts Bank: 1078.1 pts Yield: 65% :beer:beer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted February 14, 2010 Author Share Posted February 14, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying (Yield: 65% Profit/Loss: +78.1 pts) Four weeks for a stunning +78.1 pts, 65% yield and a 83% hitrate in 1.Bundesliga. Anyone who wants to have some pocket money for his summer holidays should jump on the train :drums Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted February 20, 2010 Share Posted February 20, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying (Yield: 65% Profit/Loss: +78.1 pts) Awesome going Zico, I've seen your blogabet blog as well and I must say I'm very impressed with your performance. I'm trying to do a similiar thing to you by focusing on the league I know best, the English Premiership. Only a couple of weeks in so far so difficult to judge my performance, I'll be happy if I can be half as successful as you. Keep up the good work and good luck with your future picks. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted February 21, 2010 Author Share Posted February 21, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying (Yield: 65% Profit/Loss: +78.1 pts) Awesome going Zico, I've seen your blogabet blog as well and I must say I'm very impressed with your performance. I'm trying to do a similiar thing to you by focusing on the league I know best, the English Premiership. Only a couple of weeks in so far so difficult to judge my performance, I'll be happy if I can be half as successful as you. Keep up the good work and good luck with your future picks. :ok Thank you Denman. I just can advice to focus on one, maximum two leagues. I have enough to do with 1. Bundesliga if I do it right already so cannot understand how people cover many leagues :loon Wish you also the best with your picks :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted March 12, 2010 Author Share Posted March 12, 2010 Re: Zico's Bundesliga Laying (Yield: 65% Profit/Loss: +78.1 pts) Totally forgot about this sorry folks.. A few selections for this round! Lay Hertha @2.18 Lay Bochum @4.1 Lay Freiburg @29 Good luck :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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