Lingfield Sat 21st Nov

[StuSimmy]

15:05 Lingfield Very good contest this and I like the look of Ceremonial Jade in this race. This horse loves the All Weather with 7 wins and 7 places from 18 runs on the surface. This includes 1 course and distance win and 2 wins over 7 furlongs at the course. She won a listed race at Wolverhampton over 7 furlongs in March this year off a mark of 105 and runs off this mark today so she should be dangerous. She has had a 204 day lay off but has proved she goes well fresh by coming back on winning terms from a lay off in the past, although they were shorter breaks than this one. Was 6th in this race last year off a mark of 107. Top jockey in Fallon on board today and he could be the man to ride her to another course win. The horse likes to be held up and he is a great judge of pace so should give her a near perfect ride and give her a great chance of winning from the rear (hopefully). Jaconet will add a good bit of pace to the race with her front running style which should suit my selection but Jaconet could prove hard to pull back at her first try at this level. She has a 100% record on the All Weather over 6 furlongs with 3 runs and 3 wins, her only defeat on the AW was in a 7 furlong race. Is 11lbs higher than her last win though. 1 pt win Ceremonial Jade 0.5pt saver Jaconet

[georgeCOSTANZA]

Re: Lingfield Sat 21st Nov

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	LINGFIELD - 13:25
Selection	ZUBOVA
Strength	10/10
Date	21/11/2009
Bookmaker/Price	>Bet365 @ SP (Back)
Reasoning	LINGFIELD 13:25 E.b.f. Xmas Gifts From Christianchoiceonline.com Maiden Stakes (2yo, Class 5, 5f, 9 runners) WIN: ZUBOVA Quick enough to get 3RD of 15 by 1 1/2L at Windsor from a bad draw lto. Again badly drawn but might be faster on this surface coming from DUBAWI. Dropped in Class after being in Class 4, 3, and 4 lifetime, 563 all on turf. Having faced tougher rivals than these I think she can overcome the bad draw. Hannon's maiden FINE SIGHT won here last month on his AW bow from Windsor lto.
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