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NHL 7/4 Playoffs Day 1


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After finishing the regular season on a low note, there are still some profits left, FYI, the regulation stats read 134-160-26, +14.13, +4.03 per cent yield These figures are worse than in season before, but given the fact some typical money-making situations just didn't work, I have to be satisfied even with that little profit I've made. Now, the playoffs are something like a completely new season - stats go out of the window (most of them) and there are also teams performing well mainly in the playoffs after an avarage season. Many strong regulation teams may also see an early exit which has happened before and will defo happen in the future. As I back dogs 99 per cent of the time, my success largely depends on the dogs' strike rate. Simple as that. Once the dogs fail to perform, the strike rate and profits decrease. ON the other hand, there is not even a slightest thought to back the likes of Detroit @ 1.12 to progress to the second round - madness these odds (and the Wings were eliminated in the first round last year - in just four games, although I think they learnt their lesson then, I can see no value in the odds and wouldn't put anyone off Nashville, even though I don't think they can outplay the Wings). Now, the picks CALGARY to win Stanley Cup @ 42.84 *Pinn* 0.5 PT A dog, sure. And I also hope they are not going to start Turek between the pipes as he just can't perform under pressure. Anyway, their No. 1 goalie is Kiprusoff, they are near the top in one-goal wins and top (with Boston) in 5-5 situations, which is the key to success. SERIES WINS DALLAS @ 2.21 *Pinn* 1 PT Upper hand over Kariya-less Avs. CALGARY @ 2.50 *Betinternet* 2 PTS Vancouver a little better of late but still a hade of themselves since the Bertuzzi incident. Clg - see above and finished the season strongly. 1st Round games: Nasville to bt DETROIT @ 3.60 *B365* 1 PT This kind of price is long gone everywhere else and also see above, there is no such a dog among the playoff teams. And - the Wings have CuJO as No. 1 - he's the one behind their last year's early exit. Dallas @ COL @ 2.40 *B365* 1 PT The price also long gone elsewhere. See above for explanation. Calgary @ VAN @ 2.45 *Betinternet* 2 PTS See above. AN IMPORTANT NOTE - THE GAMES CAN'T BE TIED (DRAWN) so don't buy +1/2 puck if a shrewd book offers anything like that. It would qualify as daylight robbery. More to follow tomorrow - series fancies and 1st game fancies. Good luck. T

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