PaddyPower go too low on Shaq tonight - Possible Arb

[Guest Mr Bookie Buster]

Bet - Over 24 Points Bet365 have Over 26.5 Points at 2/3 so like me they expect Shaq to score a whole lot of points tonight You see the situation is pretty simple. Shaq has scored 36 points in his last game at Detroit and believe it or not, he is complaining that considering Detroit seem happy to let him score and incapable of stopping him, Shaq wants more passes. Now if he scored 36 points in his last game and feels that he is not getting enough ball, you would expect him to go over 30 points tonight. He is also playing a large amount of minutes in the game and he is keeping pretty clean when it comes to Personal Fouls. There is really no reason that Shaq should score under 24 tonight. There have been 4 games against Detroit so far and you would have won your bet on over 24 , 3 times out of 4. UPDATE Having read the below post from Taz who knows his Basketball, I have decided to arb the Bet with Bet365 where you can get best odds of 11/10 on under 26.5. Therefore you take a small loss if he scores anything outside 24,25 or 26, but a good win if he scores any of the three points totals above. Bookie Buster

[Guest TazaD]

Re: PaddyPower go too low on Shaq tonight Not tonight IMO, Mr. B. As I said in another thread, Shaq averages over 8 more points on 2+ days rest than he does on 1 day. He had BIG games in Gm. 1 (5 days rest) and game 4 (2 days rest). In the 2 games on one day break he has had 14 and 29...but 6 of those were in OT...So in reality it's 2-2 for under 24.5. I've seen a lot of reports over the last day or so saying that he was REALLY exausted after last game. Also Detroit are saying they will really try to run the court tonight, to keep the big man moving. I'm going for a quick look to see the best 'under' I can find ;)