1qmike Posted September 28, 2009 Author Share Posted September 28, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Both Systems [F4.1.1 / F4.2.1 with filter method 3] tested on Saturday Weak leagus or Lower Divisions failed hard. -81% profit and -83% profit. From 75% profit from top 10 leagues to -81% to weak divisions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted September 28, 2009 Author Share Posted September 28, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Anyway, i just saw that stackes where pretty low on lower/weak division. TOTAL would have been: F4.1.1 F4.2.1 $8.37 $4.67 $12.64 $7.39 66% 63% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted September 28, 2009 Author Share Posted September 28, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor This is for Saturday - Weak Leagues + Lower Divisions. ENGLAND - CHAMPIONSHIP [NOBET] ENGLAND - LEAGUE ONE Colchester 2.13 F4.1.2 0.19 -0.19 F4.2.1 0.12 -0.12 ENGLAND - LEAGUE TWO [NOBET] ENGLAND - CONFERENCE [NOBET] SPAIN - LIGA B [NOBET] ITALY - SERIE B Vicenza 2.11 F4.1.2 0.1 -0.1 F4.2.1 0.06 -0.06 GERMANY - LIGA 2 [NOBET] GERMANY - LIGA 3 Sandhausen 1.72 F4.1.2 0.01 -0.01 F4.2.1 0.01 -0.01 FRANCE - LIGUE 2 [NOBET] NETHERLAND - DIVISION B Den Bosch 2 F4.1.2 0.16 -0.16 F4.2.1 0.1 -0.1 PORTUGAL - LIGA B Penafiel 2.3 F4.1.1 0.01 0.013 F4.2.1 0.01 0.013 TURKEY - LIGA 1 [NO ODDS] GREECE - LIGA 1 [NOBET] SCOTLAND - PREMIER LEAGUE Glasgow Rangers @1.38 F4.1.2 0.16 -0.16 F4.2.1 0.09 -0.09 SCOTLAND - D1 [NOBET] SCOTLAND - D2 [NOBET] SCOTLAND - D3 Berwick 1.66 F4.1.1 0.02 0.0132 F4.2.1 0.01 0.0066 BELGIUM - D1+D2 [bAD SAVE OF DATA] SWITZERLAND - D1 Young Boys Bern 1.89 F4.1.1 0.04 0.0356 F4.2.1 0.02 0.0178 DENMARK - D1+D2 [NOBET] BULGARIA - D1 [NOBET] CZECH - D1+D2 [NOBET] NORWAY - D1 [NOBET] AUSTRIA - D1+DW [NOBET] SERBIA - D1 [NOBET] SWEDEN - D1+D2 [NOBET] SLOVAKIA - D1 [NOBET] POLAND - D1+D2 [NOBET] CROTIA - D1 [NOBET] FINLAND Honkka Espoo 1.85 F4.1.1 0.14 0.119 F4.2.1 0.19 0.1615 SLOVENIA - D1 [NOBET] WINNERS 4 LOOSERS 5 PROFIT 4.1.1 € (0.44) -53% PROFIT 4.2.1 € (0.18) -30% STACKED 4.1.1 € 0.83 STACKED 4.2.1 € 0.61 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted September 28, 2009 Author Share Posted September 28, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor using the formula that gave me over 65% profit this weekend, for today it says: 20:00 Esbjerg FB - : - Aarhus AGF 1 @ 2.17 Let's see :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted September 28, 2009 Author Share Posted September 28, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor From today i start count W-L , and the profit. The system showed 64% final profit betting ALL LEAGUES this weekend backtracking. Now i will test it from today, until Sunday-NIGHT, than i draw line and count the profit and see if it really works. Starting BANK = 100u. Monday BETS: Esbjerg v AGF Aarhus - 1.4u on Esbjerg @2.10 bet365. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted September 28, 2009 Author Share Posted September 28, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Monday BETS: Esbjerg v AGF Aarhus - 1.4u on Esbjerg @2.10 bet365. +1.54u :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted September 29, 2009 Author Share Posted September 29, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Tuesday BETS: Barnsley v West Bromwich - 7.8u on West Bromwich @1.80 Darlington v Rochdale - 2.9u on Rochdale @1.83 Barrow v Mansfield - 2.2u on Mansfield @1.90 Grays Ath v Cambridge United - 1.7u on Cambridge United @1.90 Preston v Reading - 1.3u on Preston @1.9 Oxford Utd v Crawley Town - 1.1u on Oxford Utd @1.45 Ham-Kam v Kongsvinger - 0.7u on Ham-Kam @2.35 Watford v Coventry City - 0.5u on Watford @2.05 Odds are checked 2min ago from Gamebookers.com Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted September 29, 2009 Author Share Posted September 29, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Tuesday BETS: Barnsley v West Bromwich - 7.8u on West Bromwich @1.80 Darlington v Rochdale - 2.9u on Rochdale @1.83 Barrow v Mansfield - 2.2u on Mansfield @1.90 Grays Ath v Cambridge United - 1.7u on Cambridge United @1.90 Preston v Reading - 1.3u on Preston @1.9 Oxford Utd v Crawley Town - 1.1u on Oxford Utd @1.45 Ham-Kam v Kongsvinger - 0.7u on Ham-Kam @2.35 Watford v Coventry City - 0.5u on Watford @2.05 Odds are checked 2min ago from Gamebookers.com :@ Today we are with minus 9.66. -9.66u TODAY :wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted September 29, 2009 Author Share Posted September 29, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor I've just checked WED, no bets for tomorrow. I am a little pissed off by today picks :-S. Anyway, stick to the plan and draw line Sunday Night (if i don't loose all bank until than :D) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted September 29, 2009 Author Share Posted September 29, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor New Bank = 91.88u Profit = -8.12u Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted October 1, 2009 Author Share Posted October 1, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Thursday - NO BETS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted October 2, 2009 Author Share Posted October 2, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Friday BETS: TuS Koblenz v Rot-Weiss Oberhausen - Home Win @2.10 [ 0.8u ] FC Lustenau v SKN St. Pölten - Home Win @1.95 [ 3.5u ] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted October 3, 2009 Author Share Posted October 3, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Friday BETS: TuS Koblenz v Rot-Weiss Oberhausen - Home Win @2.10 [ 0.8u ] FC Lustenau v SKN St. Pölten - Home Win @1.95 [ 3.5u ] :spank The final phase. I will be right back with picks on Saturday-Sunday. Sunday night it's the end. I still believe. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted October 3, 2009 Author Share Posted October 3, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Bank = 87.58u Weekend Bets: FC Sevilla Real Madrid 3.56 3.48 1.93 11u Real Madrid @1.93 Mainz Hoffenheim 4.06 3.50 1.80 8.5u Hoffenheim @1.80 Hertha Berlin Hamburg SV 4.72 3.51 1.69 12.3u on Hamburg SV @1.69 St. Etienne Bordeaux 3.80 3.15 1.96 19u on Bordeaux @1.96 Lens Lyon 4.80 3.43 1.70 8.4u on Lyon @1.70 Vorskla Poltava Cernomorec Odesa 1.63 3.22 5.39 2u on Vorskla @1.63 Roda Kerkade Ajax Amsterdam 6.69 4.03 1.44 5.8u on Ajax @1.44 Ferreira Benfica Lisabon 7.00 3.75 1.45 8.7u on Benfica @1.45 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted October 4, 2009 Author Share Posted October 4, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Bank = 87.58u Weekend Bets: FC Sevilla Real Madrid 3.56 3.48 1.93 11u Real Madrid @1.93 Mainz Hoffenheim 4.06 3.50 1.80 8.5u Hoffenheim @1.80 Hertha Berlin Hamburg SV 4.72 3.51 1.69 12.3u on Hamburg SV @1.69 St. Etienne Bordeaux 3.80 3.15 1.96 19u on Bordeaux @1.96 Lens Lyon 4.80 3.43 1.70 8.4u on Lyon @1.70 Vorskla Poltava Cernomorec Odesa 1.63 3.22 5.39 2u on Vorskla @1.63 Roda Kerkade Ajax Amsterdam 6.69 4.03 1.44 5.8u on Ajax @1.44 Ferreira Benfica Lisabon 7.00 3.75 1.45 8.7u on Benfica @1.45 :zzz Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted October 5, 2009 Author Share Posted October 5, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Bank = 87.58u Weekend Bets: FC Sevilla Real Madrid 3.56 3.48 1.93 11u Real Madrid @1.93 Mainz Hoffenheim 4.06 3.50 1.80 8.5u Hoffenheim @1.80 Hertha Berlin Hamburg SV 4.72 3.51 1.69 12.3u on Hamburg SV @1.69 St. Etienne Bordeaux 3.80 3.15 1.96 19u on Bordeaux @1.96 Lens Lyon 4.80 3.43 1.70 8.4u on Lyon @1.70 Vorskla Poltava Cernomorec Odesa 1.63 3.22 5.39 2u on Vorskla @1.63 Roda Kerkade Ajax Amsterdam 6.69 4.03 1.44 5.8u on Ajax @1.44 Ferreira Benfica Lisabon 7.00 3.75 1.45 8.7u on Benfica @1.45 no comment. i have so many variables in my system, 10000000 combinations and i am tired of finding something. see how i fell later and maybe i come up with other combinations for backtest+Test. i have saved Last Sat+Sun+Mon , this Sun+Mon. laters':puke Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted October 5, 2009 Author Share Posted October 5, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Ok..so i decided to give it a last try. I wanna come with something big last tryout. I am searching all variables that i use in my system and i wanna give for each a large set of of data and to combine all of them for many-many-many possible systems. For example i took Chelsea-Liverpool. With my old system was Liverpool value 5% (low value). I changed 2 variables and i had Chelsea value 6%. So i wanna make like 20+ systems and to test them in 500 games, that's my goal. I don't know if i would be patience..but i hope so. Cya later. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted October 5, 2009 Author Share Posted October 5, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Ok i just copy + change variables a little... The problem is that i am at 81 systems... [3 x 3 x 3 ] 3 variables with 3 values Combinations... I would have had something like a 4th variable to test it...But to add it with some values will be like 81 x 3 systems.. and i won't go until far :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted October 6, 2009 Author Share Posted October 6, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor All Systems on Monday: 1 ($3.56) 81 $10.49 41 ($5.53) 2 $11.54 82 $14.07 42 $4.04 3 $5.43 83 ($20.73) 43 ($0.04) 4 $0.38 84 $11.52 44 ($4.75) 5 $9.33 85 $14.07 45 $4.46 6 $5.59 86 ($15.82) 46 ($0.26) 7 $5.59 87 $5.99 47 ($3.97) 8 $9.52 88 $13.93 48 $4.82 9 $5.11 89 ($14.95) 49 ($0.87) 11 $12.58 51 $3.04 12 $18.74 52 $18.23 13 ($5.02) 53 ($10.92) 14 $16.69 54 $3.54 15 $19.54 55 $18.83 16 ($4.58) 56 ($17.74) 17 $11.70 57 $3.99 18 $20.17 58 $19.30 19 ($4.73) 59 ($17.04) 21 $13.58 61 ($0.58) 22 $19.81 62 $17.95 23 ($10.34) 63 ($25.24) 24 $15.20 64 ($0.18) 25 $20.20 65 $18.45 26 ($9.21) 66 ($25.21) 27 $16.68 67 $0.19 28 $20.39 68 $12.57 29 ($8.86) 69 ($18.91) 31 ($6.06) 71 $13.13 32 $5.25 72 $20.86 33 ($1.39) 73 ($18.93) 34 ($1.74) 74 $14.25 35 $5.75 75 $14.99 36 ($1.38) 76 ($18.09) 37 ($0.89) 77 $15.28 38 $6.17 78 $14.95 39 ($1.96) 79 ($17.73) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted October 6, 2009 Author Share Posted October 6, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor PROFIT / STAKE 1 81 11% 41 2 19% 82 27% 42 7% 3 83 43 4 84 13% 44 5 14% 85 31% 45 8% 6 86 46 7 6% 87 6% 47 8 15% 88 31% 48 8% 9 89 49 11 13% 51 12 39% 52 40% 13 53 14 18% 54 15 41% 55 42% 16 56 17 12% 57 18 42% 58 43% 19 59 21 13% 61 22 41% 62 41% 23 63 24 14% 64 25 42% 65 42% 26 66 27 16% 67 28 52% 68 25% 29 69 31 71 14% 32 9% 72 44% 33 73 34 74 15% 35 10% 75 33% 36 76 37 77 16% 38 11% 78 33% 39 79 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted October 6, 2009 Author Share Posted October 6, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor i hope i take them until sunday night to see what's up... but it takes me so f long to do calc..and now i started faculty...and driving school. i really hope i can take them all systems until sunday to have a better view. laters' Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted October 6, 2009 Author Share Posted October 6, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Today are few games...but when i think of saturday or sunday with some many games..jessus..i will have some work :eyes Ok for a game i get like this... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted October 6, 2009 Author Share Posted October 6, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor BACKTRACKING 1 WEEK... PROFIT TOTAL / STACKED TOTAL 1 51 2 52 4% 3 53 4 54 5 55 10% 6 56 7 57 8 58 14% 9 59 11 61 12 4% 62 5% 13 63 14 64 15 5% 65 7% 16 66 17 67 18 9% 68 12% 19 69 21 71 22 18% 72 14% 23 73 24 74 25 15% 75 18% 26 76 27 77 28 15% 78 19% 29 79 31 81 32 82 11% 33 83 34 84 35 85 18% 36 86 37 87 38 88 19% 39 89 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted October 6, 2009 Author Share Posted October 6, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Conditions Was If X>0 , So Where Is Empty, Profit Is Negative. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted October 6, 2009 Author Share Posted October 6, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor i got other 2 days saved on my computer (Saturday + Sunday 2 weeks ago i think...) I want to track this 2 days too, and after that to continue only with good systems, because i am sure not all are good, in fact all are crap like i found until now, but i still look for holy grail :). later' Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted October 6, 2009 Author Share Posted October 6, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Ok... Backtracking Mon 28.09 + Tue 28.09 + Sun 04.10 + Sat 26.09 + Sun 27.09 from Sun,Sat only England,France,Germany,Spain,Italy.... total staked -- total profit -- total profit / total staked; NO.1 $ 505.81 $84.64 16.73% NO.2 $ 475.87 $71.13 14.95% NO.3 $ 480.35 $71.59 14.90% NO4 HAVE 14%, NO5 14%, NO6 11%,NO7 11%. SO I STILL NEED MORE GAMES, UNTIL ONE OF THIS SYSTEMS STAYS TOP PROFIT. I THINK I WILL GO FOR OTHER 5 LEAGUES FOR SAT+SUN....:) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted October 6, 2009 Author Share Posted October 6, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor OK ... I ALMOST PARSED ALL GAMES THAT I HAVE SAVED IN MY COMPUTER... RESULTS ARE LIKE: STAKED PROFIT % PROFIT SYSTEM $ 586.36 $105.65 18% 22 $ 608.83 $98.16 16% 28 $ 601.63 $98.11 16% 25 $ 547.08 $78.72 14% 75 $ 554.03 $79.54 14% 78 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted October 6, 2009 Author Share Posted October 6, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Difference between systems 22,28,25 is from a single variable. in 22 is 1.02 , in 28 is 1.08 and in 25 is 1.06. :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1qmike Posted October 6, 2009 Author Share Posted October 6, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Saturday 03.10.2009 England PREMIER,L1,CHAMP SPAIN ITALY RUSSIA ROMANIA FRANCE GERMANY SPAIN PORTUGAL STACKED TOTAL $ 243.80 PROFIT TOTAL $ 85.86 PROFIT % 35% well i really hope this time works backtrack+future :), not like the other backtrack 10/10 and future 2/10. i will go to sleep now, i spent hours on this s**t today. tomorrow i want to take another saturday or sunday and test it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted October 6, 2009 Share Posted October 6, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Hi, 1qmike..... I have to say, I admire your persistence...... it must be a bit frustrating when nobody contributes to your thread. I think the basic problem is that you are throwing so much information at us that it is sometimes difficult to appreciate exactly what you are trying to tell us. A word of advice (if you don't mind).... try to keep it simple... for simple minds. like mine ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.