THE MAN Posted November 6, 2009 Share Posted November 6, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune Hi Dan Would it be at all possible for you to post up the most upto date rules for your lay the draw method please. Thx. THE MAN Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted November 27, 2009 Author Share Posted November 27, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune Time to resurrect this bad boy i reckon...... Gonna paper trial to the end of the season, that way i dont get discouraged. Gonna run with LTD and unders. The criteria on LTD will be the same but will only be EPL, Bundesligue and primera. Unders will take a different twist.....when i first started out betting systems, i like everyone ws using the dreaded martingale system, was up 300 one min, down 150 the next....but my selection criteria though seemed to work, so im gonna use it here this time. The criteria is simple, if a team in the EPL or championship have scored overs in all their last 3 games, they qualify. On the basis that statistically they should be due an unders score, c'mon lets throw the form book out the window and see if it works. remember all paper trail only... selections for weekend LTD Games at Everton, odds 3.55 Mainz, odds 3.65 Mgladbach, odds 3.5 Gijon, odds 3.45 Unders Everton @ 1.95 west ham @ 2.14 wolves @ 1.78 WBA @ 1.94 Blackpool @ 1.98 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted November 29, 2009 Author Share Posted November 29, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune LTD Games at Everton, odds 3.55, :clap +3.73 Mainz, odds 3.65 :cry-10 Mgladbach, odds 3.5 :clap +3.8 Gijon, odds 3.45 :clap +3.88 total liability = 40 profit = 1.41 yield = 3.5% Unders Everton @ 1.95 :clap +9.03 west ham @ 2.14 :cry-10 wolves @ 1.78 :clap +7.41 WBA @ 1.94 :cry-10 Blackpool @ 1.98 Blackpool result to follow tomorrow.....good start on LTD :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted November 30, 2009 Author Share Posted November 30, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune Blackpool result = +9.31 :clap total stake = 50 profit = 5.75 yield = 11.5% Very encouraging........... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 3, 2009 Author Share Posted December 3, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune ok so following on from the unders last weekend, just the 2 selections for unders this weekend....... WEST HAM WBA Will supply odds tomorrow. Surprisingly no other selections....... Will also post LTD tomorrow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 4, 2009 Author Share Posted December 4, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune west ham odds @ 2.08 WBA odds @ 2.12 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 4, 2009 Author Share Posted December 4, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune LTD Games at Everton, odds 3.5 Man City, odds 3.7 Ath Bilbao, odds 3.7 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 7, 2009 Author Share Posted December 7, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 7, 2009 Author Share Posted December 7, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 7, 2009 Author Share Posted December 7, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune Right so now im on a new page, its time for a new start, just read back this thread, man that was some good reading, was looking for the trends of where it all went wrong and i dont think the system ever did, it was just me being undisciplined. ive learnt a lot whilst bein in this forum so im going to bring back LTD and correct score to see what impact it has. The leagues concentrated on will only be domestic and will not include cup matches. all games with have a liability or stake of 10pts and the bank will be ficticious whilst i up my confidence in her again. So selections will follow, game on tonight is watford/qpr, just going to check if thats a selection or not. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 7, 2009 Author Share Posted December 7, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune ok so that game is not a selection for either systems, just for info as this will only be paper testing, the odds i will be using will be the average odds i had for each system, which are... LTD - 1.4 Correct score - 1.575 selections should follow for tomorrows games Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 8, 2009 Author Share Posted December 8, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune SELECTIONS FOR MIDWEEK LTD Coventry Correct scores Ipswich Swansea WBA Mboro Barnsley :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 8, 2009 Author Share Posted December 8, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune RESULTS FROM TONIGHT Correct scores Ipswich :clap+5.75 Swansea:clap+5,75 WBA:@ -10 Mboro:@ -10 Correct score results Total stake = 40 Total profit = -8.5 Total yield = -21.25% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 11, 2009 Author Share Posted December 11, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune RESULTS FROM WEDS... LTD Coventry :clap +4 Correct scores Barnsley:clap +5.75 Lay the draw results Total stake = 10 Total profit = +4 Total yield = 40% Correct score results Total stake = 50 Total profit = -2.75 Total yield = -5.5% promising start.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 11, 2009 Author Share Posted December 11, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune SELECTIONS FOR THE WEEKEND LTD BOLTON BARNSLEY BRIGHTON BRENTFORD LEYTON ORIENT STOCKPORT YEOVIL LINCOLN CS SUNDERLAND MAN UTD LEICESTER PRESTON READING CARLISLE HUDDERSFIELD CHESTERFIELD SHREWSBURY TORQUAY :hope:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Millwall2010 Posted December 11, 2009 Share Posted December 11, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune Hi dan I've just came across your thread and I've got one or two questions if you don't mind answering. With the correct score is it right that you back 1-0 0-1 1-1 2-1 1-2 on each of these matches as singles. Also, I'm not too familiar to laying as I've always been a backer. I'm guessing this is only available on bet exchanging sites like betfair. Thanks, Dean :notworthy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 11, 2009 Author Share Posted December 11, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune hello mate :welcome to PL No the scores i back are 0-0, 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1 and unquoted (which generally mean a team scoring 4 or more) Those 6 bets account for 70-75% of the total scorelines in a lot of leagues. Generally with those 6 bets combined, you get an overall bet on average of 1.575, which is what im using for example sake until i re-gain my confidence again to start backing with real money. as for laying, its simply the opposite of backing, you are the bookie. on exchanges the lay odds are supplied by people wanting to back at that price, so for example if the lay odds were 3.5, someone is asking to have a backing opportunity at those odds. You then accept for examples sake for £10, so your liability is £25. i.e if the bet doesnt win, you get his tenner, if it does win, you lose 25 notes. i worked out the average odds over the time i was doing it was 1.4. So for every £4 i accept a bet on, ill get £4 if it loses, and lose £10 if it wins. hope that makes sense :beer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 12, 2009 Author Share Posted December 12, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune LTD BOLTON :@ -10 BARNSLEY :@ -10 BRENTFORD :@ -10 LEYTON ORIENT :lol +4 STOCKPORT :lol +4 YEOVIL :@ -10 LINCOLN :lol +4 CS SUNDERLAND :lol +5.75 MAN UTD :@ -10 LEICESTER :@ -10 PRESTON :lol +5.75 READING :lol +5.75 CARLISLE :lol +5.75 HUDDERSFIELD :lol +5.75 CHESTERFIELD :lol +5.75 SHREWSBURY :lol +5.75 TORQUAY :lol +5.75 Lay the draw results Total stake = 80 Total profit = -24 Total yield = -30% Correct score results Total stake = 150 Total profit = +23.25 Total yield = 15.5% just one more result to come from LTD, some unfortunate results but then the leagues did pull some surprises this weekend, so confident that will claw back. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 12, 2009 Author Share Posted December 12, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune forgot about brighton playing fri nite BRIGHTON - :lol +4 Lay the draw results Total stake = 90 Total profit = -20 Total yield = -22.22% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 14, 2009 Author Share Posted December 14, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune One selection for today CS WBA V QPR :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 14, 2009 Author Share Posted December 14, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune Tuesdays selections LTD Sunderland no selections for weds Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 14, 2009 Author Share Posted December 14, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune CS WBA V QPR - :@ -10 Correct score results Total stake = 160 Total profit = +13.25 Total yield = 8.28% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 15, 2009 Author Share Posted December 15, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune LTD Sunderland - :lol +4 Lay the draw results Total stake = 100 Total profit = -16 Total yield = -16% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Millwall2010 Posted December 15, 2009 Share Posted December 15, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune Shame about the West Brom score, the very late goal was literally the last kick of the match. Still, Sunderland clawed back a bit of profit Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 16, 2009 Author Share Posted December 16, 2009 Re: Five systems of fortune yeh the lay the draw results will even up by the weekend, im fairly confident of that. As for the west brom game, remember i dont back 1-2 scores, just the ones above so was needin either team to score 4 at that point to make a profit. Still im more than happy with the results on this one so far, i hope it continues :-) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 17, 2009 Author Share Posted December 17, 2009 Re: Five systems - now down to 2 - LTD and correct scores. SELECTIONS FOR THE WEEKEND LTD BLACKBURN BLACKPOOL SCUNTHORPE SHEFF WED TRANMERE GRIMSBY DARLINGTON CS MAN CITY NOTT FOREST NEWCASTLE CHARLTON COLCHESTER GILLINGHAM MK DONS HEREFORD BURY ROCHDALE :hope:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 19, 2009 Author Share Posted December 19, 2009 Re: Five systems - now down to 2 - LTD and correct scores. One result from last night LTD Grimsby - :@ -10 Lay the draw results Total stake = 110 Total profit = -26 Total yield = -23.64% Hereford game was postponed.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 19, 2009 Author Share Posted December 19, 2009 Re: Five systems - now down to 2 - LTD and correct scores. LTD BLACKBURN - :lol +4 BLACKPOOL - postponed SCUNTHORPE - postponed SHEFF WED - :lol +4 TRANMERE - :lol +4 DARLINGTON - postponed Lay the draw results Total stake = 140 Total profit = -14 Total yield = -10% CS MAN CITY - :lol +5.75 NOTT FOREST - :@ -10 CHARLTON - :lol +5.75 COLCHESTER - postponed GILLINGHAM - :@ -10 MK DONS - :@ -10 BURY - postponed ROCHDALE - :lol +5.75 Correct score results Total stake = 220 Total profit = +0.5 Total yield = 0.2% just NEWCASTLE tomorow to come Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 20, 2009 Author Share Posted December 20, 2009 Re: Five systems - now down to 2 - LTD and correct scores. CS NEWCASTLE - :lol +5.75 Correct score results Total stake = 230 Total profit = +6.25 Total yield = 2.72% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 23, 2009 Author Share Posted December 23, 2009 Re: Five systems - now down to 2 - LTD and correct scores. boxing day selections - LTD WATFORD FULHAM CARLISLE CHELTENHAM CREWE LINCOLN CS NORWICH CARDIFF CHARLTON MIDDLESBOROUGH SOUTHAMPTON NOTTS COUNTY SHREWSBURY ARSENAL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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