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AFL Round 19


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CARL 5.10 GEEL 1.17 ---- +/- 30.5 --- MCG WB 1.04 WCE 11.25 ----- -/+ 50.5 --- Etihad HAWKS 3.29 STK 1.34 --- +/- 22.5 --- Aurora ESS 2.47 BL 1.55 ------- +/- 10.5 ---- MCG ADEL 1.75 COLL 2.09 ---- -/+ 4.5 ---- AAMI ROOS 1.36 MELB 3.17 --- -/+ 18.5 --- Etihad RICH 1.73 SYD 2.12 ----- -/+ 4.5 ---- MCG FREO 2.60 PORT 1.50 --- +/- 10.5 --- Subiaco Carlton with a 30.5 start is interesting. 28.5 given to Crows and Hawks in the last 2. Bookies have over-reacted a little. Think the line should 35.5+. Blues might turn up to play in the same way they ran the Saints to 9 pts but they've been average for the best part of late. ? on Thornton and Jamison and Cats may get back Kelly and Lonergan. Doggies easy. Tempted to take the +50.5 as there is no real incentive for the Doggies to thump the Eagles as I expect a repeat of last week's snore-fest :zzz Hawks given 22.5 against the Saints but were given 28.5 against the Cats ??!!?? Not sure about this Saints defence being less effective away from the Docklands biz. Saints with the better H2H record so I'm staying out. Brisbane should win here. Essendon are struggling atm. Think some media clown suggested earlier in the year that they were likely to run out of steam towards the end of the season which is something they did last year. Maybe there is some truth to that. They looked flat vs West Coast and even with their missing players, they still would've lost and I don't like their chances here either. They lost their away game vs West Coast last year narrowly and then went home with a 6 day break to get pumped by the Crows at the Docklands. Same scenario here with players missing. May get Davey and McVeigh back. Lions looking to get back Bradshaw and Notting. Should be ADEL 1.85 COLL 1.95 if you ask me. Pies i/state record can't be denied. Crows are 6/ last 6 @ home but mostly against questionable opposition. Should be close. Nth @ 1.36?!! Hmmm I'd jump @ the + 18.5 but Melb were given more vs Rich @ the MCG and are still missing a few regulars. Unless I see some serious ins/outs I'd have to pass. Nth have won the last 5 vs Melb but could not see them kicking a big score to win. A definite interest in Nth @ 1-39 here. Sydney interests me a bit. Have a great H2H record over the Tiges, pushed the Saints to 1 pt yet they are the dogs. Have yet to win away but get a great chance against a team who like to keep it close ;) The Saints game might've taken something out of them and they may miss McVeigh but they get 8 days break and the Tigers poor scoring keeps the Swans well in it. UNDER total maybe? Can't trust Port to win away. Freo not good enough to win @ home either but may get McPharlin and Schammer back, so wait and see. Good luck all :cheers

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