Epsom - Sat 6/6/09

[fintron]

5.05 Epsom I think Piscean could run a race here. He won well on his reappearance at Goodwood in smart fashion. That win came over this trip, in this grade, and after a 6 lb rise, he may have more to offer. Has won around Lingfield which may point towards him acting on this similarly sharp track. Won on Gf-frm lto too.

[mowgli77]

Re: Epsom - Sat 6/6/09 2.25 Epsom Princess Elizabeth Stakes 6 winning favourites in the last 10 years and 6 winners have been 4 year old in the last 10 years. Spacious fits both these categories and is a worthy favourite. It has good form behind Halfway To Heaven, Lush Lashes and Natagora but has been off course for 232 days. Interesting that Murtagh takes the ride, Spencer often rides for Fanshawe and he does not have a ride in this race. I don't like short prices horses though, especially under 2-1 and have a poor record with them so will oppose it with a progressive 3 year old that I feel is a group winner waiting to happen. That horse is Baileys Cacao. It was 6th in a Group 1 behind Again but on soft ground. When running on soft ground again it was 12th of 16 in a Group 3 race. It ran in the fillies Goffs million and was 2nd despite meeting trouble in running and putting up a very good performance, if you look to the horse that finished 6th it reads High Heeled, that was 3rd in the Oaks and bolsters that form somewhat. It was 4th in a Group 2 over 7f on good ground but missed the break and was running on at the end of the race. It was only beaten 2 3/4 lengths and I feel that was a decent effort. That race was won by Lahaleeb and that went on to win a Group 3 and finish 2nd to Again in the Irish 1000 Guineas, only losing by a neck. The horse was 2nd by a nose in a fillies Group 3 race but ran on and was only a nostril away from being a Group 3 winner. Last time out it ran against the colts and was not good enough. It should have more wins on its record than the 2 it holds but I think the form is strong and I like the way it has run on over 7f. It seems tactically versatile, it has front run, tracked leaders and being held up and at 4 times the price of the favourite is my idea of a value alternative. Bet to follow once more prices available.