sjuesju Posted April 17, 2009 Share Posted April 17, 2009 Hello :) I need some help about a system or tactic or whatever it is. It may sound a bit stupid, but the question is: Can we make profit if we are completely sure that will make 50% and a bit more winners in NBA under over end streak bets? The odds are 1.91. If I play them in straight bet the ROI is around 100% and nothing special. I gained max 106% ROI for the whole regular season. Is there some kind of martingale or something that can bring those numbers above 106%. I am completely sure that there will be no deviation of 50% successful bets, so I believe it is simple mathematic. Here are the numbers. http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/f68/nba-under-over-stats-after-regular-season-83250/ Can you help? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted April 17, 2009 Share Posted April 17, 2009 Re: I need some tactic help Hello :) I need some help about a system or tactic or whatever it is. It may sound a bit stupid' date=' but the question is: Can we make profit if we are [b']completely sure that will make 50% and a bit more winners in NBA under over end streak bets? The odds are 1.91. If I play them in straight bet the ROI is around 100% and nothing special. I gained max 106% ROI for the whole regular season. Is there some kind of martingale or something that can bring those numbers above 106%. I am completely sure that there will be no deviation of 50% successful bets, so I believe it is simple mathematic. Here are the numbers. http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/f68/nba-under-over-stats-after-regular-season-83250/ Can you help? I am completely sure that no staking system can turn a 50% strike rate at odds of 1.91 into a winning one. If you can't make a profit at level stakes then forget about it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sjuesju Posted April 17, 2009 Author Share Posted April 17, 2009 Re: I need some tactic help some kind of martingale, but not so aggressive as the usual one? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunshine Avenue Posted April 17, 2009 Share Posted April 17, 2009 Re: I need some tactic help Hooloovoo is 100% correct. Thats why no one can win at roulette Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sjuesju Posted April 17, 2009 Author Share Posted April 17, 2009 Re: I need some tactic help The post with roulette was strong. :) So it can not happen :( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunshine Avenue Posted April 17, 2009 Share Posted April 17, 2009 Re: I need some tactic help Hi, is the ROI (106%) atchieved after Betfair commission? if with bookmakers, do you best price your selections? If you can work it up to 3 % profit you'd soon be big. Good luck. The harder we work............the luckier we get! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sjuesju Posted April 17, 2009 Author Share Posted April 17, 2009 Re: I need some tactic help It was not taken from betfair, I use bet365 and there every coefficient for under or over is 1.91 if you do not deviate from the main line the bookie is offer. I am not sure I understand you. "If you can work it up to 3 % profit you'd soon be big", what do you mean with that. the profit is 6% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunshine Avenue Posted April 20, 2009 Share Posted April 20, 2009 Re: I need some tactic help Is it possible to get strike rate up to 60% using filters ? If not, is it possible to get better prices elseware ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sjuesju Posted April 20, 2009 Author Share Posted April 20, 2009 Re: I need some tactic help Of course you can push the rate higher using filters. As you can see in under - over many teams has more than 55-56 % unders or overs. The other thing is that there is a pattern. Some teams use to play in streaks, some not. If you ask me this is a bookie decision, the trick is to catch it :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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