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2009 Effects of the Draw


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Re: 2009 Effects of the Draw Ascot Draw Guide The straight course at Ascot sees races from 5f through to 1m. In very big fields you occasionally see one side of the course favoured although it can be difficult to predict. A good example of a race where a draw bias existed was the Cisco Hong Kong Sprint Stakes over 5f run on 27th July 2008. The 26 runner race saw high draws totally dominating with Tom Laughter (drawn 23) winning at the tasty odds of 50/1. The next four horses home were drawn 27, 28, 25 and 26 (2 non runners). There are other occasions when there appears no advantage as was the case in the Wokingham Stakes on 21st June 2008 when the first six horses home were drawn 28, 2, 23, 6, 5, and 26. In medium sized fields, low draws occasionally hold the whip hand as was the case in the 17 runner Golden Jubilee Stakes over 6f (21/6/08). The first four horses home drawn 3, 1, 4 and 2. Traditionally on soft or heavy ground there used to be a very strong high draw bias on the straight courses, especially in big fields. However, since the course has reopened in 2006 there have been only a handful of races on such going and hence it is difficult to make any assumptions at this point. On the round course there seems to be no significant bias.

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