Hereford - 26/3/09

[WoodyTHFC]

2.35 Prairie Spirit 15 pts Bit of a gamble with this one because he has a mixed profile but potentially this one is dangerous on his handicap debut. He is an extremely rare case of a horse who did have a higher rating on the flat than on hurdles, so low is his hurdle rating. His hurdle form showed nothing first two starts but lto was a bit more encouraging. He finished third, beaten a fair way but plugged on at the same pace and was ahead of some potentially ok sorts, ie. Character Building's brother, a fifth who wasnt disgraced afterwards. His french flat form does look fair, he won a few times generally on apparently softer surfaces and has a mark of 85 now but that was in the 90s to start with over here. After his poor hurdle career start, he was tried on the flat over here and showed very little so that is concerning. It should be noted that at time the trainers lack of form hasnt helped. However lto over hurdles there was a bit more hope and first time in a handicap today in what looks just an ordinary race there is some hope. Faster ground is an unknown but there is an american influence in the pedigree which suggests faster ground may be fine and he may be of note in his handicap bow.

[JackJarvis]

Re: Hereford - 26/3/09

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	2.35 Hereford
Selection	Beat The System (to be placed)
Strength	10/10
Date	26/03/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 1.70 (Back)
Reasoning	This is a very poor race and at least this horse comes into it on the back of a good run last time out when finishing 4th, beaten just 6L. The step up in trip ought to suit and he looks a great bet at the price as I really can't see what can keep him out of the frame.