Market Rasen - 16 feb

[stewartd14]

Race: 16.20 Market Rasen Stake: 2.5 pts EW Selection: European Dream Reasoning: The feature race on the Market Rasen card is an interesting and competitive handicap. The heavy ground will no doubt prove key to finding the winner, and that leads us to the selection European Dream. This horse provided Rae Guest with a much needed tonic last time after a poor season by his standards, and we are backing him to go in again. He was a proven mudlark on the flat, and he has transferred that trait into his jumping form. Even though he is proven on the ground, it is his recent form that makes him stand out from the rest of the field. Since November, he has managed 2 wins from 5 runners, and has had a solid winter campaign. He has run with credit in listed and Graded races, but he was seen to much better effect when dropped in class at Musselburgh last time. He didnt get his preferred ground, but stayed on dourly to take the prize. Today sees him take his chance in a similar contest in his favoured heavy ground. I think that the combination of his experience and the heavy going will see him go very close. -------------------------------------------- Race: 14.35 Market Rasen Stake: 10 pts win Selection: Our Hero Reasoning: First of all, this looks a very bad race on papaer and wont take much winning. The stand out bet looks to be Charlie Longsdon's Our Hero, but I can only hope that the price is anything close to respectable. All things considered though, he looks the NAP of the day. He has only had one run in the UK, and that was in a Newbury bumper. However, that wasnt just any Newbury bumper. If we look into the form of the race, we can conclude that it is extremely strong. To show you what I mean, take a look at the following breakdown of the race: -------------------------------------------- 1st Mad Max - Had won 3 NHF races previously, and is currently as short as 12/1 for the Supreme Novices Hrdle at Cheltenham. 2nd Pause and Clause - Won a class 2 hurdle in fine style last time out and is also in the Cheltenham picture. 3rd: Shoreacres - Rater 133 over timber, and was going to hack up before falling last time out. 4th: Our Hero 5th: Cockney Trucker - Rated 130, and ran 8th in last years Champion Bumper. -------------------------------------- So, from just analysing the first 5 that finished in that race, we can conclude how strong the form is. The placings would actually give Our Here a rating of around 131, which would be capable of winning a listed race, never mind a Class 4 hurdle at Market Rasen. This is backed up by the fact the 2nd, Pause and Clause has gone on to win a Class 2 hurdle with relative ease. Our Hero gave a great impression in a super hot race last time, and this is a big drop down in class. He should find this a lot easier and it should be a good chance to get off the mark over hurdles. :hope

[PL2008]

Re: Market Rasen - 16/09 15:10 MARKET RASEN Wychwoods Legend Most experienced of these with 9 runs already. 2021 since fitted with tounge strap. The last three runs have been in Handicap company. The last two being Handicap Hurdles at Exeter and Kempton. Second by 6L to Terry Warner's Penn Da Benn at Exeter - winner by 4L in a Class 3 HcH next time. Won at Kempton lto defeating the second horse by 2 lengths with 3rd another 25 lengths back. First time at this trip but form from a furlong shorter has a 2nd and lto's win. She's the most consistent of the five here and drop back to a non-handicap race should help. WIN