Kempton 11/2/09

[fintron]

2.05 Kempton

An open looking handicap to open the card here and they're betting 4/1 the field tonight on Betfair. Plenty look to be in with a chance - Ready to Crown chased home Colonel Sherman last time out and the form of that race has been boosted through the third (Mix and Match, who reopposes here), and Sir Mark Prescott's runner Rough Sketch, the current fav, is lightly raced and could be worth noting if there is support. The Graig would interest me if running over shorter but I think he may be found out over this trip so the one I'm backing is Noah Jameel. Both of his career wins have come at this track over this sort of trip and his last run suggests he needs further than the 1m 1f 103y he tackled at Wolverhampton that afternoon. He made good late progress inside the final couple of furlongs and looked as though he would have a race in him of this sort of mark. He's only 3 lbs higher than his last win, in Feb '08, but that doesn't offput me because he's had a couple of near misses. Similarly, the 72 day break isn't a problem either as his last run came off the back of an absence of a similar length. 11/1 at the minute.

[fintron]

Re: Kempton 11/2/09 3.05 Kempton Bold Diva didn't get a clear run last time out but stayed on to take second. she's only 2 lbs higher than when winning here in November and although this is over an extra furlong i don't think that will be a problem. Baker claims her usual 5 and will attempt to deliver her late. I've seen her do it well on Bavarica a couple of times (even if she's never won its come close many times) so I think if the gaps appear her mount here has a chance at a price. 11/2 Paddypower