happygooner Posted February 15, 2009 Share Posted February 15, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways You not around on MSN at the moment then loon? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted February 15, 2009 Author Share Posted February 15, 2009 Irritable Update I would be advising recalculating the stakes, but there is such low liquidity on the next game that it wouldn't really help much. So for the purpose of this thread i'm saying stick with same stakes, but if you think you can get the liquidity, go recalculate! :eek Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted February 15, 2009 Share Posted February 15, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways Anybody know of any websites for Segunda B live scores? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ferret Posted February 15, 2009 Share Posted February 15, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways www.skysports.com score centre gives most leagues score updates. Or try www.xscores.com Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted February 15, 2009 Author Share Posted February 15, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways Anybody know of any websites for Segunda B live scores? http://www.skyin.cn/live/live_en.html http://www.futbolme.com :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted February 15, 2009 Author Share Posted February 15, 2009 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted February 17, 2009 Author Share Posted February 17, 2009 Irritable Update (17/02/09) One selection for today, and because of "opening the doors" to larger odds - staking plan needs to be modified. Now i'll be laying to liability (instead of backers stake), and since today's odds are just are 7.50, it'll come in handy. Updated staking sheet will come along with the selection, but i'll explain it on here in a few hours too :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted February 17, 2009 Author Share Posted February 17, 2009 Irritable Selections (17/02/09) MATCHDAY 5 Just the one selection for today: DATE TIME LEAGUE FIXTURE SELECTION LAY ODDS 17/02/09 20:45 English National League Conference - North Southport FC v Hinckley United FC LAY Hinckley United FC 7.79 I got them at 7.79 (as you can see), but odds might have gone up since this morning. As I mentioned earlier - the staking plan has shifted to take into account things from a liability perspective. It's pretty much the same idea, just this time laying to a max liability of 15%, and if the combined total liabilty for a matchday is higher than 60%, 60% of the bank is just split between all the selections on that day for the same liability.... What this means is that stakes are smaller (for the moment, until things pick up)...so today for instance, it means an under £2 bet - hate placing these and hopefully won't have to do too many :\ Because of the completely different nature of this staking plan, it was easier to remake a new staking plan spreadsheet than combine the two. So attached is a new one, first selection filled in, which bank "started" at £55.94. Stake for tonight is BIG money at £1.68 :loon GOOD LUCK :okconv_858.xlsconv_859.zip Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
palaceman Posted February 17, 2009 Share Posted February 17, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways Good luck. As I mentioned to happygooner when he was itemising his earlier bets, personally I would never lay something at such large odds even in a horse race, so certainly wouldn't in a "3 horse race" which this is. You're effectively backing something that's almost 7 to 1 on. Very little value in the bet IMHO. Over a course of similar bets I think you would lose money, unless you expect to be right almost 100% of the time - a tricky proposition in football. Still, it certainly should win. Fingers crossed for you :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted February 17, 2009 Author Share Posted February 17, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways ...Still' date=' it certainly should win...[/quote'] that's the plan :hope:hope:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted February 18, 2009 Author Share Posted February 18, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways Damn it....had to wait until this morning to find out this sytem has *finally* had a winning day...small step (especially now that we're playing to liability), but a step non the least in the right direction (direction of not being below 0 anymore).... I lost my electricity over here about 6ish last night....even now, i have non, i'm camped in an early riser library (it's 6am here) so i can run my data updates :tongue2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted February 18, 2009 Author Share Posted February 18, 2009 Irritable SUMMARY (18/02/09) MATCHDAY 5 Ok, one selection yesterday. One win....let's hope for more of the same next time selections are up (updates haven't finished yet - internet isn't especially fast here...being that it's an Hungarian library after all) Southport FC v Hinckley United FC :DSTARTING BANK£55.94CURRENT BANK£57.48P / L£1.54GROWTH3%SELECTIONS1WINS1LOSSES0STRIKE RATE100%AVERAGE ODDS7.79MINIMUM ODDS7.79MAXIMUM ODDS7.79MIN BANK80% Above stats based on the idea that from the start of the new staking plan, the bank started again (so to speak)....at £55.94. Being where I am, i'd rather fix those stats right now, but we all know the bank started at £100, and now is £57.48.... Updates on selections (or not), to follow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted February 18, 2009 Share Posted February 18, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways doing great work here looney :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted February 18, 2009 Author Share Posted February 18, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways sarcasm? :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted February 18, 2009 Share Posted February 18, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways sarcasm? :D no mate anyone can see the enthusiasm you have for this and it's infectious (hope you've had your shots :lol) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted February 18, 2009 Share Posted February 18, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways Damn it....had to wait until this morning to find out this sytem has *finally* had a winning day...small step (especially now that we're playing to liability)' date= but a step non the least in the right direction (direction of not being below 0 anymore).... I lost my electricity over here about 6ish last night....even now, i have non, i'm camped in an early riser library (it's 6am here) so i can run my data updates :tongue2 So that's what happened to you:lol Hurry up and get back to civilisation;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted February 18, 2009 Author Share Posted February 18, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways ...hope you've had your shots Vodka shots - my elixir (and the stuff is cheap - at least vodka prices over here haven't been hit by the economic crisis) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted February 20, 2009 Author Share Posted February 20, 2009 Irritable Update ...and it seems the selection gods have deemed today unworthy....:notworthy Tomorrow i'll post the selections morning-ish :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted February 21, 2009 Author Share Posted February 21, 2009 Irritable Update Hmmm....i guess this is morning-ish...slight internet issues (that's it - Hungary is just no good on the internet front for me, i'm leaving :loon), so selections will be up in an hour or two. Doubt there'll be any early kick offs, but if there are (and we miss them), i'll just mention them but not include them in the overall thing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted February 21, 2009 Author Share Posted February 21, 2009 conv_860.xlsconv_861.zip Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SvN Posted February 21, 2009 Share Posted February 21, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways Couple of howlers there. You should probably have ignored Rusdhen, considering the circumstances involved. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Samba_SamPa Posted February 21, 2009 Share Posted February 21, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways Ouch :puke 6 from 9 :wall and the bigger prices too :( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted February 21, 2009 Share Posted February 21, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways Yes, these lot surely did make one irritable:\ Oh well, tomorrow is another day:) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted February 22, 2009 Author Share Posted February 22, 2009 conv_862.xlsconv_863.zip Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crouch Potato Posted February 22, 2009 Share Posted February 22, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways Good luck today Loon. Hopefully things can turn around for you Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carrick Posted February 22, 2009 Share Posted February 22, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways Hy, what does it mean LAYING on away? I can't get it? Could you give a clue? Thank you very much. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted February 22, 2009 Author Share Posted February 22, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways Hy' date=' what does it mean LAYING on away? I can't get it? Could you give a clue? Thank you very much.[/quote'] :welcome to PL!! Laying is when you make a bet on betfair that a result will NOT happen. So if you lay the away, it means you're betting that they won't win :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carrick Posted February 22, 2009 Share Posted February 22, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways OH, ok then, i haven't got an account at betfair yet, but in my country yesterday i bet 50eu for salsbury city and 50euro for leyton, couse i thought your are overing they to win Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted February 22, 2009 Author Share Posted February 22, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways OH' date=' ok then, i haven't got an account at betfair yet, but in my country yesterday i bet 50eu for salsbury city and 50euro for leyton, couse i thought your are overing they to win[/quote'] I bet you're glad they did win :clap:clap:clap:clap:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carrick Posted February 22, 2009 Share Posted February 22, 2009 Re: Irritable Aways i am, but i am not very happy i don't understand you strategy but i will be trying to do so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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