Hooloovoo Posted January 8, 2009 Share Posted January 8, 2009 ...is what i've been doing lately. :) Playing "Super turbo" HU sng's at Titan Poker, the blinds increase every minute(!) Upside of this is that a typical sng takes like 5 minutes to complete. Downside is that variance can be huge. :( So far i've done 300 $5+$0.25 sng's, with an ITM% of ~60%. Breakeven is 52.5% due to the BI fee, so 60% gives a nice ROI of 12% (i'm at the office right now, and the excel doc is @ home so this number could be slightly wrong). Would like some input regarding the following: * How many of these SNG's are required to say with "some" confidence that the ROI/ITM is a number that can be trusted? 1000? My 1st 100 had ITM 57%, 2nd had 59%, 3rd had 60%, so no huge difference there. * How big a downswing is within reason? My biggest downswing during these 300 sng's was 10 buy-ins. * Does anyone know of any (good) books that deals with NLH HU SNG? I have looked around at the 2+2 forum without any success. I made the decision to take a shot at $10+$0.50 sng's and have now completed 50 of these, with an ITM of 58% (i'm happy with that). I have not seen any notable difference in the opponents level of play. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sugleh Posted January 8, 2009 Share Posted January 8, 2009 Re: Small stakes SNG Heads-up * Does anyone know of any (good) books that deals with NLH HU SNG? I have looked around at the 2+2 forum without any success. Can always try this one that's supposed to be very good: http://www.twoplustwo.com/heads-up-no-limit.php Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapdash Posted January 8, 2009 Share Posted January 8, 2009 Re: Small stakes SNG Heads-up * How many of these SNG's are required to say with "some" confidence that the ROI/ITM is a number that can be trusted? 1000? My 1st 100 had ITM 57%, 2nd had 59%, 3rd had 60%, so no huge difference there. Over 100 games, your ITM rate will typically vary through chance by about 5%. Over 300 games by a little under 3%. Over 1000 games by a little over 1.5%. You can be reasonably confident (about 95% confident) that your ITM rate is correct to less than twice these figures: so with an ITM of 59% over 300 games, your "true" ITM rate is very likely to be between 53% and 65%. That's assuming the standard of you and your opponents doesn't change in future, of course. * How big a downswing is within reason? My biggest downswing during these 300 sng's was 10 buy-ins. Hard to say, as it depends how consistent your standard of play is (a 59% ITM player who is absolutely consistent will tend to have smaller downswings than one who goes through spells of playing much worse and much better). But that looks reasonable, though I haven't done the maths. * Does anyone know of any (good) books that deals with NLH HU SNG? I have looked around at the 2+2 forum without any success. I've read Moshman's book, and it seemed fairly good (though I haven't played any HU since I read it, so I can't say whether it's improved my game!) I didn't think it was as good as his SnG book, though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted January 8, 2009 Author Share Posted January 8, 2009 Re: Small stakes SNG Heads-up Thanks for the answers. I have in fact ordered Moshman's book today as i've read positive reviews about it. :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seanfaz Posted January 25, 2009 Share Posted January 25, 2009 Re: Small stakes SNG Heads-up Moshman's yeah, i ordered that the other day Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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