Kempton 17/12/08

[fintron]

8.20 Kempton A listed race on a Wednesday night? What's happenining here! Duff was an impressive winner at Lingfield recently and he has been handed a decent draw here to suit his prominent racing style. Mac Love has made good progress under Stef Liddiard, won a listed race over a mile here lto, but also finished second over CD on the prior to that. Atlantic Story won a decent Lingfield handicap last time out and having been put up 5 lbs to 108, runs in a listed race for the first time here. Although he's prolific at Lingfield he has proven himself here too with a hat-trick of wins and he demonstrated lto that the drop back to 7f will not inconvenience in the slightest. Ceremonial Jade was a disappointment last time out for Marco Botti and finished well adrift of Duff. There's no reason to belieive he can reverse the form here running off identical weights. Bonus won this race last year and has been running okay in handicaps. He disappointed lto over CD though and others appeal more. Finicius bids for the four-timer coming over from Ireland. A wind operation seems to have helped him out and he's been in rampant form over a variety of distances at home lately, beating rivals rated 104 and 102 last time out at Dundalk. He's got a very good draw and could go well at a decent EW price.

[fintron]

Re: Kempton 17/12/08 8.50 Kempton Wine 'n Dine is one I added to the notebook before his last run.......

8.20 Kempton I've laid Silver Regent in this race (see lay thread for full write up) but the one I'll be interested in with a view to backing next time is Wine 'n Dine. The price has now gone on this one, its been smashed all day long, and I don't think it represents value at evens now with so many other dangers in the race. However, the yard seem to do well when there is support for their horses, Action Impact etc, and the market certainly speaks positively about this one. He looks very well handicapped based on the form of his 4th at Newmarket. He was behind General Elliott, who won a conditions race rated 93 NTO, 2nd won a h'cap off 86 since, 5th has won a handicap off 74 and later a decent Ascot race off 87. He begins handicapping off just 72 and if he wins tonight could be low enough to rack up a couple of wins before the handicapper nails him perhaps. A watching brief for me though tonight.

Although he was beaten in that race it wasn't by far, and at these weights he has a decent chance of reversing the form. The price is a little skinny again (15/8 Sporting Bet) but I think he looks unexposed and worth a punt.