Kempton 30/11/08

[fintron]

3.15 Kempton At the weights, Coole Dodger is better off with Sabre Light than if this were a handicap, but that is assuming the OR's can be taken at face value. I don't think Coole Dodger is necessarily deserving of a rating of 73 so I think Sabre Light is still worth chancing. He goes well at this level and put in gutsy display over CD last time out. 9/4 Bet 365 4.15 Kempton Bountiful Bay broke from the stalls slowly last time out last week but still recovered to take second. Bluebok, the third, has ran well since to give the form a bit of credence and she was running up against higher rated rivals that day. Previous to that she finished second to the progressive River Kirov, who won next time out off a higher mark to boost that form too. Her last run came off a mark of 54 and she is only been upped 1 lb here so could get involved again from a decent draw. 11/4 Bet 365 5.15 Kempton The Racing Post have napped Sendredi, the 2/1 favourite in this race, on the basis that he should get a good lead from his draw. I beg to differ. The presence of Dawson's Creek and Divertimenti, both drawn high too, means this race could be run at a furious speed, and I think it is an ideal opportunity for a hold up performer to pick their pockets late on. With Tobar Suil Lady withdrawn, an alternative pick at a juicy price could be Sofia's Star. S Dow's gelding was a recent winner at Windsor in this grade off a 7 lb lower mark, but didn't get the race run to suit last time out at the same track. The RP commented that he probably wanted a stronger pace, and as mentioned above, I think he will indeed get that today. The other horse that could be suited by a fast pace would be Networker. Jimmy Quinn's mount likes to come from off the pace and is only 5 lbs higher than his last winning mark. Although that win did come some time ago, he ran ok after returning from a break and was 5th behind Pivka last time out. He should come on from that run and as top-weight, warrants respect. Networker 8/1 Betfred, Sofia's Star 16/1 Bet 365

[Spooner]

Re: Kempton 30/11/08 Kempton 16:45 - Overstayed Been keeping a track on this horse since he moved stables, Has put in two decent runs at this rack, Two 4ths. Stepping down to 6f trip today which will suit, Ran a good second at Yarmouth in September over this distance. The one worry I would have for this horse that he has only 1 win in 33 runs but he getting closer with every run and could go in soon. 5pts e.w @ 8/1 Stan James