Newbury - 27/11/08

[WoodyTHFC]

2.05 The Tother One 15 pts Very prolific winner this one. Won 6/8 races and the two defeats he was far from disgraced in graded company, indeed if held onto a bit more at chelt. he might just have won imo. He showed tremondous progression last season from a favourable hurdle mark into graded compnay and he also made a pleasing enough debut over fences when ahead of rival today gone to lunch who meets on slightly better terms but whom Im not sure can overturn the form, possibly lacking a bit of scope and also maybe needing even more of a stamina test. The pair where some way clear and also that win showed that the tother one has no trouble with this trip as well. There is also strong reason to suggest further improvement is very possible over fences and whilst it is a tough looking field, I can see the prolific the tother one being in the mix and with strong claims to win. 2.40 Portland Bill 7.5 pts e.w A bit speculative but feel that this one could surprise a few. He does come off a lay off but has won fresh before and the booking of murphy for a yard he hardly ever rides for to my knowledge, catches the eye. Portland Bill was impressive at times last season. He won at exeter with the front two some way clear, he then placed afterwards and a run that really catches my eye was his following effort at chelt. It was off a mark of 139 which at the time seemed stiff but he was bang in contention and looked sure to play some part in the finish (second at least as the winner was in a different league on the day) before falling 4 out. Since then jumping errors have haunted him a bit but it could just be that off a lay off coming back a fresh horse and off a mark of 133 which I dont think is too harsh especially if he would have stayed up at chelt. in a better race than this he might outrun what could be a 20/1 price according to forcasts.

[NMc106]

Re: Newbury - 27/11/08 12-25 Newbury

Mewstone last ran 16 days ago in her hurdling debut under Paddy Brennan and won very comfortably to Kielder Rise. Steps up in distance though should cope as all her races have come on pretty testing ground.

Over Sixty finished 2^nd to

Golan Way

at Cheltenham lto. Beat American Trilogy in that race who is a pretty decent horse so is certainly a good prospect. Should cope with the increase in distance as she has looked pretty comfortable in her past outings.

Carole’s Legacy won both her bumpers including a good quality class 1 at Aintree in which she beat Over Sixty by 6L and also has an extra 3lbs in her favour here today. Was 2^nd on hurdling debut at the start of the month being comfortably beaten by Shoreacres.

Suggestion:

Over Sixty – Win @ 11/10 RPF