Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09

[Gingertipster]

Made a small profit on Gingers Jumpers (last season) now it is time for Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09. As always I will be trying to find value bets (in “true odds†terms) but there are a few changes to this thread:

1. Think it is about time I go over to points instead of pounds for staking.
2. Staking plan will be based on the “table of odds and chancesâ€. So a horse thought to have a 20% 4/1 chance of winning will have 20 points staked, 10% 9/1 will be 10 points etc. (to the nearest point). If it has double the chance of winning it makes sense to have double the stake. Though there may be bonuses to the stake depending on other information I have.
3. There will probably not be as many bets as my previous threads as will endeavour to keep to those I think are particularly good value. Will use half bets and saver bets in the usual way.
4. Included will be my system bets, this takes value bets from races featured on Pricewise pages of the Racing Post. I have no say with these as it is bookmakers odds compilers that dictate who bet.

Will not be working out any of my own value selections until the Paddy Power meeting but will be including any system bets. Any bets that do not mention a bookie are Betfair prices at time of writing. Here are my ante-post bets carried over from last season that I have converted in to points, and added to throughout this season. Supreme Novices Hurdle 31 points @ 7/2 Cousin Vinny 4 points @ 12/1 Michael Flips Lay to win 4 points @ 10.5/1 Michael Flips Arkle Chase 9 points @ 20/1 Arulder 15 points @ 10/1 Imsingingtheblues 11 points @ 12/1 Planet Of Sound 3 points @ 16/1 Tartak Champion Hurdle: 10 points (£22) @ 16/1 Celestial Halo 9 points (£20) @ 50/1 Crack Away Jack 5 points (£10) @ 29/1 Ashkazar 15 points @ 1.72/1 Binocular X-Country Chase 31 points @ 3/1 L'Ami 9 points @ 14/1 Drombeag Mares Hurdle 23 points @ 4/1 United 7 points each way @ 16/1 Oscar Rebel SA Chase: 10 points @ 43/1 Ring The Boss (Oops! Got the staking wrong but will have to keep it at 10) 18 points @ 6/1 Cooldine 5 points @ 16/1 Massini's Maguire Queen Mother Chase 8 points each way @ 16/1 Well Chief Ryanair Chase 9 points @ 8/1 Our Vic 8 points @ 10/1 Imperial Commander World Hurdle 27 points @ 7/2 Punchestowns 9 points each way @ 12/1 Fair Along Triumph Hurdle 17 points @ 7/1 Walkon 6 points @ 6/1 Walkon 7 points @ 4.7/1 Zaynar Lay to win 7 points @ 4.6/1 Zaynar 10 points @ 7.2/1 Starluck Gold Cup 6 points (£13) @ 24/1 Neptunes Collonges 11 points @ 14/1 Exotic Dancer 2 points @ 40/1 Notre Pere 4 points each way @ 25/1 Notre Pere (got money back with nrnb) Grand National 7 points @ 37/1 Notre Pere 5 points @ 33/1 Simon 8 points @ 20/1 Comply Or Die Lay to win 7 points @ 22/1 Comply Or Die (getting out) 6 points @ 25/1 Rambling Minster 3 points @ 25/1 Big Fella Thanks 3 points @ 20/1 Rambling Minster Totals So Far: Staked 2274 points Returned 2438.12 points Profit 164.12 points, 7.2% 19 wins from 66 races, Strike Rate 28.8% (+ three each way placed) Ginge

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 08 / 09 1:35 Ascot 20 points @ 4/1 (WH) Font 15 points @ 7/1 (L) Blue Bajan 6 points @ 16/1 (WH) Alsadaa 7 points @ 16/1 (BSQ) County Zen 5 points @ 20/1 (VC) Laredo Sound 5 points @ 25/1 (L) Sentry Duty 4 points @ 33/1 (VC) I Have Dreamed 3:35 Whetherby 35 points @ 3/1 (WH) State Of Play 18 points @ 9/2 (L) Ollie Maghern 17 points @ 6/1 (Corals) Snoopy Loopy 2:30 Down Royal 23 points @ 100/30 (L) The Listener 7 points @ 14/1 (L, C) Knight Legend