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Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway)


wrightyoh

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Lets see how we go this season Portsmouth -.5 v Fulham @ 1.85 Man City -.5 v Stoke @ 1.52 Deportivo -.5 v Gijon @ 1.81 Toulouse -.5 v Monaco @ 2.20 Lille -.5 v Caen @ 1.76 Udinese -.5 v Roma @ 2.62 Marseille -.5 v Paris St-G @ 1.88 St Etienne -.5 v Grenoble @ 1.77 Stuttgart -1 v Bochum @ 1.87 Groningen -1 v Sparta Rotterdam @ 1.60 Schalke -1.5 v Bielefeld @ 1.87 Inter -1/-1.5v Genoa @ 1.85 Good luck, wrightyoh

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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) Results are from Betfair less 5% staking 1 point per tip<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

Sys bets

<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />Portsmouth -.5 v Fulham @ 1.85 1-1 -1

ManCity -.5 v Stoke @ 1.52 3-0 +.49

Deportivo -.5 v Gijon @ 1.81 0-3 -1

Toulouse -.5 v Monaco @ 2.20 0-0 -1

Lille -.5 v Caen @ 1.76 2-2 -1

Udinese -.5 v Roma @ 2.62 3-1 +1.53

Marseille -.5 v Paris St-G @ 1.88 2-4 -1

St Etienne -.5 v Grenoble @ 1.77 0-2 -1

Stuttgart -1 v Bochum @ 1.87 2-0 +.82

Groningen -1 v Sparta Rotterdam @ 1.60 3-0 +.47 (sorry typo odds were 1.50)

Schalke -1.5 v Bielefeld @ 1.87 0-0 -1

Inter -1/-1.5v Genoa @ 1.85 0-0 -1

Round total -4.69 points

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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) In the long run you won't make money from this because you are basing everything on stats. There is no value as well on a lot of these plays. Surprised you didn't have Real Madrid vs Bilbao you would of lost the handicap there as well. I'm a little confused that you would play Man City -0.5 but yet they were actually close to -1 favorites but then you go on to play Stuttgart -1? You need to be more consistent whether you are playing the straight up win or AH.

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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) Thanks for the advice T.M. Will also keep a close eye on Ligue 1 4 of 4 loosers there Sys bets Heracles -.5 v Ajax @ 5.60 St Etienne -.5 v Lorient @ 1.81 Bordeaux -1.0 v Le Havre @ 1.74 Hamburg -.5 v Stuttgart @ 2.18 Wolfsburg -1.0 v Mgladbach @ 1.79 AC Milan -1.5 v Siena @ 1.99 Genoa -0.5 & -1.0 v Cagliari @ 1.88 Napoli -1.0 v Reggina @ 1.88 Liverpool -1.5 v Portsmouth @ 2.02 Arsenal -1.0 & -1.5 v Tottenham @ 2.11 Good luck, Wrightyoh.

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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway)

Thanks for the advice T.M. Will also keep a close eye on Ligue 1 4 of 4 loosers there Sys bets Heracles -.5 v Ajax @ 5.60 St Etienne -.5 v Lorient @ 1.81 Bordeaux -1.0 v Le Havre @ 1.74 Hamburg -.5 v Stuttgart @ 2.18 Wolfsburg -1.0 v Mgladbach @ 1.79 AC Milan -1.5 v Siena @ 1.99 Genoa -0.5 & -1.0 v Cagliari @ 1.88 Napoli -1.0 v Reggina @ 1.88 Liverpool -1.5 v Portsmouth @ 2.02 Arsenal -1.0 & -1.5 v Tottenham @ 2.11 Good luck, Wrightyoh.
I can see the value in betting by stasts on over and under but in straight wins, i would suggest that what gives a football punter the edge is team news or the ability to play in running but good luck to you.
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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) Thanks for the friendly advise T.M. and bashi. I guess at the end of the season all can be analysed and improved upon. I am just betting flat stakes, 1% of bank. Reajusting the 1% at the start of each month. Results<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

Heracles -.5 v <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />Ajax @ 5.60 1-3 -1

St Etienne -.5 v Lorient @ 1.81 1-4 -1

Bordeaux -1.0 v Le Havre @ 1.74 4-0 +.70

Hamburg -.5 v Stuttgart @ 2.18 2-0 +1.1

Wolfsburg -1.0 v Mgladbach @ 1.79 3-0 +.75

AC Milan -1.5 v Siena @ 1.99 2-1 -1

Genoa -0.5 & -1.0 v Cagliari @ 1.88 2-1 +.42

Napoli -1.0 v Reggina @ 1.88 3-0 +.84

Liverpool -1.5 v Portsmouth @ 2.02 1-0 -1

Arsenal -1.0 & -1.5 v Tottenham @ 2.11 4-4 -1

Round total -1.19

season total -5.88
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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) Weekend tips Atalanta -0.5 & -1.0 v Lecce @ 2.12 PSV -1.5 v Willem II @ 1.87 Palermo -0.5 & -1.0 v Chievo @ 1.88 Udinese -0.5 v Genoa @ 1.90 Lille -0.5 & -1.0 v Nantes @ 1.84 Portsmouth -0.5 v Wigan @ 1.99 Valencia -1.0 v Santander @ 1.96 Stuttgart -0.5 v FC Koln @ 1.60 Hoffenheim -1.0 v Karlsruhe @ 1.80 Good luck, wrightyoh

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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) Atalanta -0.5 & -1.0 v <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />Lecce @ 2.12 0-0 -1 <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

PSV -1.5 v Willem II @ 1.87 2-0 +.82

Palermo -0.5 & -1.0 v Chievo @ 1.88 3-0 +.83

Udinese -0.5 v Genoa @ 1.90 2-2 -1

Lille -0.5 & -1.0 v Nantes @ 1.84 2-0 +.80

Portsmouth -0.5 v Wigan @ 1.99 1-2 -1

Valencia -1.0 v Santander @ 1.96 2-4 -1

Stuttgart -0.5 v FC Koln @ 1.60 1-3 -1

Hoffenheim -1.0 v Karlsruhe @ 1.80 4-1 +.76

Round total -1.79

season total -7.67 maybe looking at a lay system at the moment??? my bank balance isn't though!
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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />Bordeaux -.5 v Auxerre @1.60<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

Aston Villa v Middlesbrough @ 1.75

Lazio -.5 v Siena @1.65

Heracles -.5 v Vitesse @ 2.25 (average odds)

Catania -.5 v Cagliari @ 2.22

Fiorentina -.5 v Atalanta @ 1.60

Napoli -0.5 & -1.0 v Sampdoria @ 2.12

Genoa -1.0 v Reggina @ 2.01

Chievo +1.0 v Juventus @ 1.88

Lecce +1.0 v AC Milan @ 1.88

Barcelona -2.0 v Valladolid @ 2.06

Groningen -1.5 v Volendam @ 1.80

ADO Den Haag +0.5 v Heerenveen @ 1.98

Wolfsburg -1.5 & -2.0 v Cottbus @ 2.07

Good luck, wrightyoh
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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) Results<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

Bordeaux -.5 v Auxerre @1.60 2-0 +.57

Aston Villa v <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />Middlesbrough @ 1.75 1-2 -1

Lazio -.5 v Siena @1.65 3-0 +.62

Heracles -.5 v Vitesse @ 2.25 (average odds) 0-0 -1

Catania -.5 v Cagliari @ 2.22 2-1 +1.16

Fiorentina -.5 v Atalanta @ 1.60 2-1 +.57

Napoli -0.5 & -1.0 v Sampdoria @ 2.12 2-0 +1.06

Genoa -1.0 v Reggina @ 2.01 4-0 +.96

Chievo +1.0 v Juventus @ 1.88 0-2 -1

Lecce +1.0 v AC Milan @ 1.88 1-1 +.84

Barcelona -2.0 v Valladolid @ 2.06 6-0 +1.01

Groningen -1.5 v Volendam @ 1.80 5-0 +.76

ADO Den Haag +0.5 v Heerenveen @ 1.98 0-1 -1

Wolfsburg -1.5 & -2.0 v Cottbus @ 2.07 3-0 +1.02

Round total + 4.57 season total -3.12 ps should bag the selections more often, I hope I loose a fortune next round
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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) Man Utd -2.0 v Stoke @ 1.72 <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />Lille -.5 v St Etienne @ 1.81

Rennes -.5 v Monaco @ 1.83

H Berlin -.5 v Hamburg @ 2.74

Hoffenheim -.5 v Wolfsburg @ 2.24

Stuttgart -1.5 v Bielefeld @ 2.12

AC Milan -1.5 & -2.0 v Chievo @ 2.09

Catania -.5 v Torino @ 2.24

Udinese -1.0 & -1.5 v Reggina @ 2.06

Siena -.5 v Bologna @ 2.00 Rec de Huelva +1.5 v Barcelona @ 1.89

Ajax -.5 v PSV @ 2.44

Groningen -1.5 v De Graafschap 1.70

Good luck, wrightyoh.
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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) Man Utd -2.0 v Stoke @ 1.72 5-0 + .68 <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />Lille -.5 v St Etienne @ 1.81 3-0 +.77

Rennes -.5 v Monaco @ 1.83 2-1 +.79

H Berlin -.5 v Hamburg @ 2.74 2-1 +1.65

Hoffenheim -.5 v Wolfsburg @ 2.24 3-2 +1.18

Stuttgart -1.5 v Bielefeld @ 2.12 0-0 -1

AC Milan -1.5 & -2.0 v Chievo @ 2.09 1-0 -1

Catania -.5 v Torino @ 2.24 3-2 + 1.18

Udinese -1.0 & -1.5 v Reggina @ 2.06 0-1 -1

Siena -.5 v Bologna @ 2.00 1-1 -1

Rec de Huelva +1.5 v Barcelona @ 1.89 0-2 -1

Ajax -.5 v PSV @ 2.44 4-1 + 1.37

Groningen -1.5 v De Graafschap 1.70 3-0 + .62

Round total +3.24 Season total +.73
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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) weekend tips -1.5 v Fulham @ 1.99 <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

Stoke -.5 v <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />West Brom @ 2.34

Aston Villa +1.0 v Man Utd @ 1.77

Bordeaux -.5 v Rennes @ 2.04

Hamburg -.5 v W Bremen @ 2.54

Wolfsburg -.5 v Stuttgart @ 2.04

Fiorentina -.5 v Udinese @ 2.08

Napoli -0.5 & -1.0 v Cagliari @ 1.76

Sampdoria -.5 v Catania @ 1.73

Torino + 1.0 v AC Milan @ 1.60

Real Madrid -1.5 v Rec de Huelva @ 2.09

Villarreal -1.0 v Valladolid @ 1.96

PSV -1.5 & -2.0 v Heracles @ 1.88

Good luck, wrightyoh

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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />resultsLiverpool -1.5 v Fulham @ 1.99 0-0 -1 <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

Stoke -.5 v West Brom @ 2.34 1-0 +1.27

Aston Villa +1.0 v Man Utd @ 1.77 0-0 +.73

Bordeaux -.5 v Rennes @ 2.04 1-1 -1

Hamburg -.5 v W Bremen @ 2.54 2-1 +1.46

Wolfsburg -.5 v Stuttgart @ 2.04 4-1 +.98

Fiorentina -.5 v Udinese @ 2.08 4-2 +1.03

Napoli -0.5 & -1.0 v Cagliari @ 1.76 2-2 -1

Sampdoria -.5 v Catania @ 1.73 3-0 +.69

Torino + 1.0 v AC Milan @ 1.60 2-2 + .57

Real Madrid -1.5 v Rec de Huelva @ 2.09 1-0 -1

Villarreal -1.0 v Valladolid @ 1.96 0-3 -1

PSV -1.5 & -2.0 v Heracles @ 1.88 4-0 +.83

round total +2.56

season total +3.29
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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) weekend tips Lyon -1.5 v Valenciennes @ 1.92 Hoffenheim -1.0 & -1.5 v Bielefeld @ 1.99 H Berlin -.5 v FC Koln @ 1.80 Catania -.5 v Lecce @ 1.96 Cagliari -.5 v Sampdoria @ 2.66 Genoa -1.0 v Bologna @ 2.11 Inter -.5 v Napoli @ 1.53 Juventus -1.0 & -1.5 v Reggina @ 1.75 Udinese -0.5 & -1.0 v Chievo @ 1.63 Ajax -1.5 & -2.0 v Utrecht @ 2.05 Good luck, wrightyoh

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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) Lyon -1.5 v Valenciennes @ 1.92 0-0 -1 <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

Hoffenheim -1.0 & -1.5 v <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />Bielefeld @ 1.99 3-0 +.94

H Berlin -.5 v FC Koln @ 1.80 2-1 + .76

Catania -.5 v Lecce @ 1.96 1-1 -1

Cagliari -.5 v Sampdoria @ 2.66 1-0 +1.57

Genoa -1.0 v Bologna @ 2.11 1-1 -1

Inter -.5 v Napoli @ 1.53 2-1 +.50

Juventus -1.0 & -1.5 v Reggina @ 1.75 4-0 +.71

Udinese -0.5 & -1.0 v Chievo @ 1.63 0-1 -1

Ajax -1.5 & -2.0 v Utrecht @ 2.05 1-1 -1

Round total -.52

Season total +2.77

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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) Weekend tips Fulham -.5 v Man City @ 2.82 Man Utd -2.0 v Sunderland @ 1.80 Paris St-G -.5 v Le Mans @ 1.85 Wolfsburg -1.0 v Hannover @ 1.98……(also bet this tip in accumulator with Wolfsburg -.5 and Naploi -.5) AC Milan -1.5 v Catania @ 2.08 Cagliari -.5 v Palermo @ 2.64 Napoli -.5 & -1.0 v Siena @ 1.86……(also bet this tip in accumulator with Napoli -.5 and Wolfsburg -.5) Sampdoria -.5 v Genoa @ 2.50 Lecce +1.0 v Juventus @ 1.68 AZ Alkmaar -1.5 & -2.0 v Heracles @ 1.74 NEC Nijmegen -.5 v Utrecht @ 1.80 PSV -1.0 v Groningen @ 2.05 Good luck, wrightyoh ps i won't record the result of the accum even though i am very confident of a positive outcome

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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) Fulham -.5 v <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />ManCity @ 2.82 1-1 -1 <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

Man Utd -2.0 v Sunderland @ 1.80 1-0 -1

Paris St-G -.5 v Le Mans @ 1.85 3-1 +.80

Wolfsburg -1.0 v Hannover @ 1.98 2-1 square

AC Milan -1.5 v Catania @ 2.08 1-0 -1

Cagliari -.5 v Palermo @ 2.64 1-0 +1.56

Napoli -.5 & -1.0 v Siena @ 1.86 2-0 +.82

Sampdoria -.5 v Genoa @ 2.50 1-2 -1

Lecce +1.0 v Juventus @ 1.68 square

AZ Alkmaar -1.5 & -2.0 v Heracles @ 1.74 2-0 +.35

NEC Nijmegen -.5 v Utrecht @ 1.80 1-2 -1

PSV -1.0 v Groningen @ 2.05 4-2 +.99

Round total -.48 season total +2.29
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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) weekend tips Stoke -.5 v Fulham @ 2.60 <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

Tottenham -.5 v Man Utd @ 4.80

<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />Le Mans -.5 v Bordeaux @ 3.10

Rennes -.5 v Nantes @ 1.71

Hamburg -1 & -1.5 v Frankfurt @2.08

H Berlin -.5 v Karlsruhe @ 1.60

W Bremen -.5 v Wolfsburg @ 2.18

Fiorentina -.5 v Catania @ 1.53

Genoa -.5 v Atalanta @ 1.99

Inter -1.5 & -2 v Chievo @ 2.00

Juventus -.5 v AC Milan @ 2.38

Napoli -1.0 v Lecce @ 1.90

Palermo -.5 v Siena @ 1.84

Barcelona -.5 v Real Madrid @ 1.63

Valencia -.5 v Espanyol @ 1.60

Utrecht -1.5 v Volendam @ 1.80

Good luck, wrightyoh

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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) Results Stoke -.5 v Fulham @ 2.60 0-0 -1 <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

Tottenham -.5 v Man Utd @ 4.80 0-0 -1

<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />Le Mans -.5 v Bordeaux @ 3.10 1-3 -1

Rennes -.5 v Nantes @ 1.71 0-0 -1

Hamburg -1 & -1.5 v Frankfurt @2.08 1-0 -.5

H Berlin -.5 v Karlsruhe @ 1.60 4-0 +.57

W Bremen -.5 v Wolfsburg @ 2.18 2-1 +1.12

Fiorentina -.5 v Catania @ 1.53 2-0 +.50

Genoa -.5 v Atalanta @ 1.99 1-1 -1

Inter -1.5 & -2 v Chievo @ 2.00 4-2 +.47

Juventus -.5 v AC Milan @ 2.38 4-2 + 1.31

Napoli -1.0 v Lecce @ 1.90 3-0 +.86

Palermo -.5 v Siena @ 1.84 2-0 +.80

Barcelona -.5 v Real Madrid @ 1.63 2-0 +.60

Valencia -.5 v Espanyol @ 1.60 2-1 +.57

Utrecht -1.5 v Volendam @ 1.80 0-0 -1

Round total +.30 season total +2.59

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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) Fulham -.5 v <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />Middlesbrough @ 2.30 <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

Paris St-G -.5 v Valenciennes @ 1.56

Lille -.5 v Le Havre @ 1.60

Caen +0.5 & +1.0 v Lyon @ 1.72

AC Milan -.5 & -1.0 v Udinese @ 1.86

Cagliari -.5 v Reggina @ 1.86

Sampdoria -.5 v Fiorentina @ 2.66

Catania +.5 v Roma @ 2.00

Deportivo -.5 v Rec de Huelva @ 1.81

Real Madrid -.5 v Valencia @ 2.00

Az Alkmaar -1.5 v Utrecht @ 1.94

PSV -1.0 v Feyenoord @ 1.93

NEC Nijmegen -.5 v ADO Den Haag @ 1.54

Good luck, wrightyoh.
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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) Fulham -.5 v <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />Middlesbrough @ 2.30 3-0 +1.24 <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

Paris St-G -.5 v Valenciennes @ 1.56 2-2 -1

Lille -.5 v Le Havre @ 1.60 3-1 +.58

Caen +0.5 & +1.0 v Lyon @ 1.72 0-1 -.50

AC Milan -.5 & -1.0 v Udinese @ 1.86 5-1 +.82

Cagliari -.5 v Reggina @ 1.86 1-1 -1

Sampdoria -.5 v Fiorentina @ 2.66 0-1 -1

Catania +.5 v Roma @ 2.00 3-2 +.95

Deportivo -.5 v Rec de Huelva @ 1.81 4-1 +.77

Real Madrid -.5 v Valencia @ 2.00 1-0 +.95

Az Alkmaar -1.5 v Utrecht @ 1.94 2-0 +.90

PSV -1.0 v Feyenoord @ 1.93 1-0 square

NEC Nijmegen -.5 v ADO Den Haag @ 1.54 0-0 -1

Round total +1.71 season total +4.30
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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

B Day tips

Wigan -.5 v <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />Newcastle @ 2.38

Stoke +1.5 v Man Utd @ 2.00

Good luck, wrightyoh
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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) Results Wigan -.5 v <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />Newcastle @ 2.38 2-1 +1.31<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

Stoke +1.5 v Man Utd @ 2.00 0-1 +.95 round total +2.26 season total +6.56

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Re: Strong home v's weak away (mostly anyway) results Man Utd -1.5 @ -2.0 v Middlesbrough @ 1.96 1-0 -1 Ajax -2.0 v ADO Den Haag @ 1.80 3-0 +.76 Heracles -.5 v De Graafschap @ 1.74 0-0 -1 Az Alkmaar -1.0 & -1.5 v NEC Nijmegen @ 2.06 1-0 -.5 round total -1.74 season total 4.82

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