daveyboy Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 Hey all I am new to this forum but have been testing this for a while now with good results although I can't remember what it has yielded so far. The basic strategy is using betfair laying the favourite football team with odds between 1.6-1.95 provided that ... a) the teams were in the same division last season or they have already played one another at the same ground in the current season as is the case in ireland and scotland where the teams play more than twice. b) that the underdog managed to draw or win against their fancied opponent in that same fixture. There is one league which I am omitting from following in this system and that is the dutch second division. The league is set up on the basis of every 6 games the team with the best record gets entered into the playoffs and so motivation then becomes a factor depending on the performance. Also although you can bet on the ukranian league for example, there is no liquidity so I will be skipping out those type of leagues but most league teams will be included. I always like to take the odds on the day of the matches and currently it looks like there might be a couple for Friday. I will be using set stakes and slowly trying to increase the bank hope this doesn't fall flat on it's face! :rollin P.S This strategy only covers league fixtures Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted October 16, 2008 Share Posted October 16, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Good luck with this! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveyboy Posted October 16, 2008 Author Share Posted October 16, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Thanks I intend to keep this going and not get deterred if results don't go my way initially. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveyboy Posted October 17, 2008 Author Share Posted October 17, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Alright guys just the one bet this Friday Lay FC Gratkorn vs Lustenau @1.73 (betfair) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveyboy Posted October 17, 2008 Author Share Posted October 17, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Won 0-0 +10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveyboy Posted October 18, 2008 Author Share Posted October 18, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Todays lays Lay Honka vs Tampere @1.64 Lay Iraklis vs Egrotelis @1.82 Lay Aston Villa vs Portsmouth @1.9 Lay Northampton vs Yeovil @1.85 Lay Notts County vs Macclesfield @1.95 Lay Austria Vienna vs LASK @1.82 Lay Paris S.G vs [email protected] Lay Mouscron vs Roselare @1.61 Botafogo vs Santos @1.72 Lay Kobenhavn vs AC Horsens @1.65 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveyboy Posted October 18, 2008 Author Share Posted October 18, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Lay Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles @1.92 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveyboy Posted October 19, 2008 Author Share Posted October 19, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Todays lays Lay Honka vs Tampere @1.64 :clap Lay Iraklis vs Egrotelis @1.82 :clap Lay Aston Villa vs Portsmouth @1.9 :clap Lay Northampton vs Yeovil @1.85 :wall -8.5 Lay Notts County vs Macclesfield @1.95 :clap Lay Austria Vienna vs LASK @1.82 :wall -8.2 Lay Paris S.G vs [email protected] :wall -7.1 Lay Mouscron vs Roselare @1.61 :wall -6.1 Botafogo vs Santos @1.72 :clap Lay Kobenhavn vs AC Horsens @1.65 :wall -6.50 Not bad i guess Running total so far 6/11 Totsl staked 110 Profit 23.6 Yield 21.3% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveyboy Posted October 19, 2008 Author Share Posted October 19, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Lay Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles @1.92 :wall -9.2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveyboy Posted October 19, 2008 Author Share Posted October 19, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Sundays Lays Lay Hercules vs Elche @1.87 (didn't know this one had started so early kick off in 2 mins! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveyboy Posted October 19, 2008 Author Share Posted October 19, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Lay Honefoss vs Hodd @1.73 Lay Genoa vs Siena @1.86 Lay Salzburg vs Altach @1.67 Lay OB vs Esbjerg @1.6 Lay Brondby vs Sonderjyske @1.66 Lay Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao @1.63 Lay Sport Recife vs Nautico Recife @1.92 Lay Anderlecht vs Zulte @1.76 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coolcricket Posted October 19, 2008 Share Posted October 19, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Interesting system mate, will follow with interest. Good Luck with it. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
staffy Posted October 19, 2008 Share Posted October 19, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite davey please try and refrain from editing your posts in the S and S forum. If you need to Quote your post. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveyboy Posted October 20, 2008 Author Share Posted October 20, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Lay Hercules vs Elche @1.87 :nana Lay Honefoss vs Hodd @1.73 :wall Lay Genoa vs Siena @1.86 :wall Lay Salzburg vs Altach @1.67 :wall Lay OB vs Esbjerg @1.6 :wall Lay Brondby vs Sonderjyske @1.66 :nana Lay Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao @1.63 :cry Lay Sport Recife vs Nautico Recife @1.92 :nana Lay Anderlecht vs Zulte @1.76 :nana Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveyboy Posted October 21, 2008 Author Share Posted October 21, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Todays picks Lay Rochdale vs Chester @1.81 Lay Peterbrough vs Brighton @1.89 Lay MK Dons vs Stockport @1.89 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveyboy Posted October 21, 2008 Author Share Posted October 21, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Price on Chester match matched at 1.75 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
asificare Posted October 21, 2008 Share Posted October 21, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite here goes davey layed the three of them £100 bank 10% of bank :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveyboy Posted October 21, 2008 Author Share Posted October 21, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite EEK lets hope it goes well then :$ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveyboy Posted October 21, 2008 Author Share Posted October 21, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Lay Rochdale vs Chester @1.75 :wall Lay Peterbrough vs Brighton @1.89 :ok Lay MK Dons vs Stockport @1.89 :ok Wow Rochdale handed Chester a royal ass whooping glad the other 2 came through. I will update fully the stats soon but there is nothing for tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
asificare Posted October 22, 2008 Share Posted October 22, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite here goes davey layed the three of them £100 bank 10% of bank :hope :clap roch/ @1.78 loss 7.80 pet/ won 9.50 mk.don/won 9.50 bank 111.20:ok next stake 11.22 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveyboy Posted October 22, 2008 Author Share Posted October 22, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Well I was right there is nothing for today but there is a match which kicks off an hour after midnight Lay Goias vs Vasco De Gama @1.65 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
asificare Posted October 22, 2008 Share Posted October 22, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite [email protected] £7.18/£10.67:hope :dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
propheteer Posted October 22, 2008 Share Posted October 22, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite :notworthy nice work daveyboy this is looking very promising; i've put my pennies on the line for tonights game so :hope. I'm a newbie to the forum but wanted to say thanks, i've just started lookin at a couple of systems myself so hopefully i'll be able to give something back soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
asificare Posted October 23, 2008 Share Posted October 23, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite [email protected] £7.18/£10.67:hope :dude :clap new bank £121.87 next stake £12.18 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveyboy Posted October 23, 2008 Author Share Posted October 23, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Lay Goias vs Vasco De Gama :nana Hi to another newbie :welcome (like myself) thanks for the compliment I hope we can all profit from this but let us not get carried away because this seems to ebb and flow but with a bit of luck the yield will continue to show promise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveyboy Posted October 23, 2008 Author Share Posted October 23, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Here are the updated stats including commission Won 13/25 Strike Rate 52% Staked 250.00 Winnings 130.00 Losses 88.00 Yield 16.8% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveyboy Posted October 24, 2008 Author Share Posted October 24, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Fridays Lays Lay St Pauli vs Wehen @1.61 Lay Besiktas vs Syasspor @1.61 Lay Limerick vs Athlone @1.61 Lay Tranmere vs Crewe @1.64 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveyboy Posted October 24, 2008 Author Share Posted October 24, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Lay Lanus vs Godoy Cruz @1.72 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris3b Posted October 25, 2008 Share Posted October 25, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite hello daveyboy, GL with your strategy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveyboy Posted October 25, 2008 Author Share Posted October 25, 2008 Re: Laying the Favourite Lay Gaziantespor vs Orduspor @ 1.78 Lay Karalsper vs Grenuspor @ 1.83 Lay Honefoss vs Sarpsborg @1.64 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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