FIRST BOOKING BETTING

[Guest PoppyPower25]

Like all punters we're always looking for a way to get one over the bookies - and god knows how many times we've ended up on ur arse. But i was just flicking around at odds for tonites prem games and couldnt find any bet that i would be at least 50% certain of (2/5 manu v leeds - show me a crazy man that would stake £50 on for £20 there). So i seen the odds on First booking in the game - the odds are basically the same for both games tonite Man u 2/1 Leeds 13/8 No booking 6/4 Boro 2/1 Newcastle 13/8 No Booking 6/4 So i was trying to find stats on games on bookings etc... just had a look at last weekends games and there was only 1 game in the premiership that didnt have a booking (boro v everton). So if you consider the teams playing and their disciplinary records and take in to account the ref's involved - i think this can be a pretty sure thing. All you have to do is pick the game thats got the highest chance of a fair few bookings (especially early on to calm the nerves :lol ) So with tonites 2 games on - the pick is surely man u V leeds. Alot of history between them and also the alan "i love been booked" smith factor. Then this surely has to be a good thing. If u take both of them at 2/1 and 13/8 and u stagger ur wager (ex. a £10 to £4.66 @ 2/1 and £5.34 @ 13/8 ; and as long as theres a booking in the game then ur £10 turns into £14 ) Ok then - has anyone tried this before????? Are the odds on no booking in a game always this generous as generous as 6/4???? Where can i gets me hands on stats on refs ???? Cheers lads - hopefully this thread will have some financial worth by 9.45pm tonite (the 1st trial)!

[Joe]

Re: FIRST BOOKING BETTING This is what you want: www.soccerbase.com/footba...MIval=refs Interesting topic, I wonder whether the bookies give much though to this or just apply a basic algorithm to their pricing? You might be on to something.