Great Leighs 2/10/08

[fintron]

8.20

• Ben Ami - CD winner at lower level LTO, 3rd boosted form since. Up 10 lb here but claimer offsets 7 lb.
• Speyside - went down by just a head over CD off 67 earlier in year. Narrowly beaten at Kemp NTO but well behind Dawson Creek at Kemp LTO.
• Dinner Date - effective over this trip but got 126 day break to overcome.
• Moon Crystal - closely matched with Bushy Dell at Kemp and that rival has boosted the Kemp form with handicap wins off 66 and 71 since. Moon Crystal rated 70 here.
• Le Chiffre - goes well on the all-weather but his best form has come in claimers, not handicaps.
• Convival Spirit - narrowly defeated LTO and down 1 lb here but Spencer rides.

So the two standout bets for me at the prices are Luck Will Come and Dawson Creek. Luck Will Come has proven she acts on the polytrack, recording a win at Ling on her last AW appearance. She was a 2 length second over CD off a 1 lb lower mark back in May, but is running off same sort of mark here given that Jack Mitchell claims 3 lbs. She flopped at Folkestone LTO but drops in grade here and has to be respected as top-weight. 10/1 EW Dawson Creek has been running credibly all season and won at Lingfield in August off a 7 lb lower mark. He is currently rated 66, but ran well enough off the same mark LTO at Kempton when 3rd to Gazboolu, who boosted the form with a win yesterday. 7f is probably his optimum trip, but he should be able to manage a place over a mile given that he's been very close on the two occasions he has attempted this far. 11/1 EW.

[Tipster5000]

Re: Great Leighs 2/10/08 6.50 Willhewiz (should build upon his 2nd 45 days ago) Mulberry Lad (A bit to do in this but does have experience) Kindallachan (Could place, First time blinkers, Dropping down the weights) 7.20 Dvinsky (Been running in some good company lively danger) Lieutanant Pigeon (Great E/W claims on his previous AW form) 7.50 Adage (Has placed over the distance and has carried heavier weights in the past could poss place) Prince Of Medina (Needs to find improvement poss E/W option) Miss Serena (Has to improve jumping up in the weights but still could improve) 8.20 Intabih (looks to have a good chance at weights and reverting fromthe turf to the AW could be a blessing on his 3rd last time out Dawson Creek (Looks good value and could run a big race) Ben Ami (Claimer taking a valuable 7lbs off and could be a major player) 8.50 Free Thinker (Could improve on his unlucky 2nd under a month ago, stepping up in class to overcome) Hula King (If reverting to AW and taking to the track could be a danger) 9.20 Folio (Eyecatching form even though it does not read much) Dark Prospect (Hadnt done anything wrong of late and could win this) Suzi Spends (Good E/W value could improve at the weights)