Hooloovoo Posted September 16, 2008 Share Posted September 16, 2008 Gonna dutch correct score 1-0 to the fav and "over 1.5 goals" Start bank £20, all-in each bet, target to double it All bets with BetFair, results after comm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted September 16, 2008 Author Share Posted September 16, 2008 Re: Will figure out good thread name later... First bet: Pana - Inter Backing correct score 0-1, £3.57 @ 6.8 Backing 2+ goals, £16.42 @ 1.48 This produces a combined back odd of 1.21 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted September 16, 2008 Share Posted September 16, 2008 Re: Will figure out good thread name later... good luck HLV! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madnesstiger Posted September 16, 2008 Share Posted September 16, 2008 Re: Will figure out good thread name later... Interesting idea. Good luck mate! :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted September 17, 2008 Author Share Posted September 17, 2008 Re: Will figure out good thread name later... Thanks for the support guys! Well Inter won 2-0 so first bet is a winner...! :) Start bank: £20 (01) Panathinaikos - Inter, CS 0-1: £3.57 @ 6.8, 2+ goals: £16.42 @ 1.48, combined 1.21 £23.99 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted September 17, 2008 Author Share Posted September 17, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ Another way to do this is to lay the 0-0 and the 1-0 to the outsider. This could be the way to go sometimes as not every match has "over 1.5 goals" market. "Number of goals" market could be used as well, and maybe some other combinations as well. Sometimes the odds can vary a bit more than just slightly, and that should be taken advantage of. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madnesstiger Posted September 17, 2008 Share Posted September 17, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ The 'combined' odds of 1.21 in the last match is definately food for thought - just 4 of these and you've more than doubled your bank! Will be interesting to see how much the odds change in future picks. Nearly tempted to try this myself away from the forum. Keep it up HLV :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted September 17, 2008 Author Share Posted September 17, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ The 'combined' odds of 1.21 in the last match is definately food for thought - just 4 of these and you've more than doubled your bank! Just remember that this is harder than "just" laying the 0-0 (= 1+ goals), in which doubling the bank is difficult enough. Yes odds are higher but it has to be done in matches where you really believe that fav will score Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madnesstiger Posted September 17, 2008 Share Posted September 17, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ Just remember that this is harder than "just" laying the 0-0 (= 1+ goals), in which doubling the bank is difficult enough. Is it harder though? To double the bank with '1+ goals' takes about 10 winners in a row. With this method, it can take only 4. Let's do some maths..! 72.1% of matches in the EPL over the last 6 seasons (2002-2008) contained >1.5 goals, meaning 27.9% contained less. 8.1% of matches ended 0:0. Leaving us with 19.8%. Let's say the 'favourite' scores the winning solitary goal in 70% of these remaining 19.8% of matches. (No hard facts to back this one up, sorry!). This results in 13.9% of the 27.9% still giving you a winning bet. From all the above, we can estimate that (13.9% + 72.1% =) 86% all EPL matches would give you a winner. Rounded to the nearest ten, that's 9 winners in every 10 bets. In reality, 9/10 is, on average, what us mugs on here acheive in our '1+ goals' GH's! Therefore... this strategy should be 60% easier to double the bank, than a simple '1+ goals' strategy, in that you need only 4 successive winners, rather than 10! There.. have I sold it to you yet?!! Or have I just confused the living daylights out of everyone?! :lol:lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted September 17, 2008 Author Share Posted September 17, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ I trust your calculations MT :) Maybe i expressed myself i little unclear. When i said it was harder, i didn't mean harder to reach the target, but harder to achieve a single win, as we are basically laying 2 results instead of 1. Time will tell, next bet coming in a moment...! :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madnesstiger Posted September 17, 2008 Share Posted September 17, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ I trust your calculations MT :) Maybe i expressed myself i little unclear. When i said it was harder, i didn't mean harder to reach the target, but harder to achieve a single win, as we are basically laying 2 results instead of 1. Time will tell, next bet coming in a moment...! :loon Yep, I agree totally that we are laying double the amount of scorelines. I think all I was trying to express was that, with a little bit of luck, it should be a lot easier to double the bank from the initial bankroll. How you play it after 'doubling up' is a different story, as 8% (percentage of 0:0's) is nearly half as many as 14% (chance of 0:0 or 'underdog' winning 1:0). As a 'long-term' GH, I may be tempted to re-vamp the old '8 Stages of Madness' thread and use a strategy as in this GH, in order to 'play' it. It will then, hopefully determine the long-term success of dutching 0:0/'Fav' 1:0. Anyway, enough of my rambling... let's see the next selection! MT :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hodgey Posted September 17, 2008 Share Posted September 17, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ An interesting idea. Good luck mate. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted September 17, 2008 Author Share Posted September 17, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ Another Champions League combat tonight: Start bank: £20 (01) Panathinaikos - Inter, CS 0-1: £3.57 @ 6.8, 2+ goals: £16.42 @ 1.48, combined 1.21 £23.99 (02) Dynamo Kiev - Arsenal, CS 0-1: £3.39 @ 8.2, 2+ goals: £20.61 @ 1.35, combined 1.16 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted September 17, 2008 Author Share Posted September 17, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ Anyway, enough of my rambling... let's see the next selection! MT :ok An interesting idea. Good luck mate. :ok Thanks for the support guys, always good to know someone's watching :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madnesstiger Posted September 17, 2008 Share Posted September 17, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ And Gallas grabs an equaliser after 88 minutes to seal a 1:1 scoreline, and your 2nd winner! :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
devilonline Posted September 18, 2008 Share Posted September 18, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ Thanks for the support guys' date=' always good to know someone's watching :cheers[/quote'] always folowing your tips :cow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted September 18, 2008 Author Share Posted September 18, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ Yes Gallas saved me yesterday, 1-1 final score :nana Start bank: £20 (01) Panathinaikos - Inter, CS 0-1: £3.57 @ 6.8, 2+ goals: £16.42 @ 1.48, combined 1.21 £23.99 (02) Dynamo Kiev - Arsenal, CS 0-1: £3.39 @ 8.2, 2+ goals: £20.61 @ 1.35, combined 1.16 £27.65 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted September 18, 2008 Author Share Posted September 18, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ always folowing your tips :cow Now you're putting some serious pressure on me mate :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted September 18, 2008 Author Share Posted September 18, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ Another cup match, scary yes, but i have confidence in Villa and believe that they will try to repeat the effort they had away against Hafnarfjördur where they won 4-1 Start bank: £20 (01) Panathinaikos - Inter, CS 0-1: £3.57 @ 6.8, 2+ goals: £16.42 @ 1.48, combined 1.21 £23.99 (02) Dynamo Kiev - Arsenal, CS 0-1: £3.39 @ 8.2, 2+ goals: £20.61 @ 1.35, combined 1.16 £27.65 (03) Litex Lovech - Aston Villa, CS 0-1: £3.93 @ 8.2, 2+ goals: £23.72 @ 1.36, combined 1.17 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Junior Bettor Posted September 18, 2008 Share Posted September 18, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ Excellent idea for a system here HLV. Your third bet looks fairly safe, with Villa 1 down but its a very open game. Might try this one myself. :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Junior Bettor Posted September 18, 2008 Share Posted September 18, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ Oh, may I please ask, what do you use as your dutching calculator? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Junior Bettor Posted September 18, 2008 Share Posted September 18, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ Another winner the HLV :) 1-1 Villa now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted September 18, 2008 Author Share Posted September 18, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ Excellent idea for a system here HLV. Your third bet looks fairly safe' date=' with Villa 1 down but its a very open game. Might try this one myself. :)[/quote'] Thanks mate. 1-1 just now...! :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted September 18, 2008 Author Share Posted September 18, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ Well 1-1 in HT makes bet 3 a winner...! :loon Start bank: £20 (01) Panathinaikos - Inter, CS 0-1: £3.57 @ 6.8, 2+ goals: £16.42 @ 1.48, combined 1.21 £23.99 (02) Dynamo Kiev - Arsenal, CS 0-1: £3.39 @ 8.2, 2+ goals: £20.61 @ 1.35, combined 1.16 £27.65 (03) Litex Lovech - Aston Villa, CS 0-1: £3.93 @ 8.2, 2+ goals: £23.72 @ 1.36, combined 1.17 £32.10 Average combined odds so far is 1.18 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Junior Bettor Posted September 18, 2008 Share Posted September 18, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ Excellent form thus far, HLV. Cheers for that Calc link too. You wouldn't mind if I jumped in this thread with you, do you? Or would you rather I started my own? I've put my bets on for the Nantes game already. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted September 18, 2008 Author Share Posted September 18, 2008 Re: Dutching 1-0 and 2+ You wouldn't mind if I jumped in this thread with you' date=' do you? Or would you rather I started my own? I've put my bets on for the Nantes game already.[/quote'] You will find out that it is always a good idea to start your own thread. Much easier for everyone to follow your way to the riches :cheers Best of luck with your bets, start a new thread mate, i will follow with interest! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madnesstiger Posted September 18, 2008 Share Posted September 18, 2008 Re: Hooloovoo's Dutching 1-0 and 2+ 2 in a week for Nigel Reo-Coker, and Aston Villa help seal the 3rd winner! 1:3 (FT) :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted September 18, 2008 Author Share Posted September 18, 2008 Re: Hooloovoo's Dutching 1-0 and 2+ Another one from the UEFA Cup: Start bank: £20 (01) Panathinaikos - Inter, CS 0-1: £3.57 @ 6.8, 2+ goals: £16.42 @ 1.48, combined 1.21 £23.99 (02) Dynamo Kiev - Arsenal, CS 0-1: £3.39 @ 8.2, 2+ goals: £20.61 @ 1.35, combined 1.16 £27.65 (03) Litex Lovech - Aston Villa, CS 0-1: £3.93 @ 8.2, 2+ goals: £23.72 @ 1.36, combined 1.17 £32.10 (04) Omonia - Manchester City, CS 0-1: £4.72 @ 8.0, 2+ goals: £27.38 @ 1.38, combined 1.18 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madnesstiger Posted September 18, 2008 Share Posted September 18, 2008 Re: Hooloovoo's Dutching 1-0 and 2+ Quick calculations say you should have around £37.59 should the 4th bet provide a winner, meaning a 5th bet will be required to 'double-up'... or a single 1+ Goals bet! Keep it up mate... doing well :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted September 18, 2008 Author Share Posted September 18, 2008 Re: Hooloovoo's Dutching 1-0 and 2+ 1-0 now.... Nice freekick from close, deflected at the wall, and keeper without chance Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.