Kempton 10/9/08

[thomo14]

Race: KEMPTON PARK 20:20 (DIGIBET CASINO HANDICAP (CLASS 6)) Horse Name: Guildenstern (IRE) Notes: 3/09/08 Kempton 6f class 6 3yo only AW Big gamble into jt2nd Fav waited with before making its challenge came to make its run & was blocked off on the rail cruised up easily got blocked again then flew impressively at the end to claim 4th place but would have won with ease if a clear run One of my horses in my notes on betfair @ 8/1 doing it EW

[billy the punter]

Re: Kempton 10/9/08 An A/W card thankfully - even if it is Kempton! :) 7.50 I was very sweet on Blow Hole LTO:

Most of the field do not look that well handicapped or in decent form so a chance must be taken with handicap debutant Blow Hole. Was well backed for his debut at Wolverhampton but he could only manage 4th place, running green: 1st Hollander - not seen since 2nd Miletary Power - btn sh, rock solid form since, winning twice, now rated 93 3rd King's Wonder - btn 2.25l, not a fan of this horse but has run ok in handicaps off high 70s marks 4th Blow Hole - btn 3.25l 5th Ancient Cross - btn 7.75l, run well since in handicaps off high 60s marks Wasn't seen for three months after that (yard shut for some of that time), but disappointed on that 2nd start. That was on turf though (US dirt bred) and he was back to form LTO here. He travelled well throughout but was eventually 4th to stablemate Once A Gulch. Mixed messages from the form so far - the 2nd won well at the weekend but the 3rd and 5th were beaten NTO. However Blow Hole definitely looked capable of better. He just has to be backed here off a mark of 72. He well handicapped on what he has already done but given that I think he is better than already shown he could be a handicap snip here. Given he travels well he should cope with the drop to 7f. This will be my biggest bet at Kempton this season.

My confidence was gone at the start of the race though as he was a massive drifter from 2/1 out to 4/1 - still ran a decent race in 3rd though and looked a certain future winner. I'm convinced he will win a handicap very soon and I will continue to follow him. Think the 1.9 a place is generous and wouldn't put anyone off going down that route but a win bet for me. Blow Hole 100% 4.5 betfair