Ace123 Posted September 7, 2008 Share Posted September 7, 2008 Hiya, Anybody using logistic regression to predict football results? ive got one set up so far to predict the probability of a home win. ive got a concordancy of 65%. im hoping to improve on this and im looking for some hints and tips as to what other variables i should consider within my model. So far ive considered, Home wins, draw, losses in last 2,3,4,5,6 matches Away wins, draw, losses in last 2,3,4,5,6 matches etc Thanks for taking your time to raed this post Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew Posted September 7, 2008 Share Posted September 7, 2008 Re: logistic regression models You may remember my attempt from a few seasons ago. http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/f21/predicting-english-premier-league-using-stats-52726/ it might give you a few ideas. I'd also suggest you utilise the data at football-data to get the odds and figure out the profitability of a concordance of 65%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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