Simple Systems

[Gilward Kukel]

Maybe I will try here some simple systems, but don't expect too much from them. ;) Here's the first one: System 1 Rule: Bet on home win if the following conditions are true: -) It is a game in the English Premier League. -) The home team has played at least 6 games. -) The home team has won at least 3 of the last 6 games. -) The average odds for the home win are >1.5 and <2. Backtesting (using average odds):

 

Season    Bets  Strike rate  Yield

2000-2001  56     66,07%     13,09%

2001-2002  35     74,29%     28,03%

2002-2003  51     72,55%     22,78%

  Total   142     70,42%     20,25%

[Guest madmick]

simple systems Nice idea Gilward, have you tried it on other leagues? what kind of fall-off is there if the team has won less than 3 of the last 6, or the odds are slightly outside this range?