Yarmouth 18/08/08

[billy the punter]

I'm not a fan of Yarmouth, I think it's extremely hard for punters. I really fancy a few races here tonight thoug so will ingore my fears. 6.50 Yarmouth I've had Navene on my side for her last four starts. She won well at 6/1, disappointed over 7f before running two solid races last twice back over a mile. Caught a tartar LTO and looks handicapped to be in the shake up, may find one too good again though - she has that look about her now. Batercard has been running better than his formlines suggest and I think he will find a small race off his mark of 65. This may be too competitive but he is a big price. Gee Ceffyl Bach bolted up earlier in the year from a bad draw at Newcastle (g/s) and runs off the same mark here. Disappointed on quicker ground on his next two starts before running ok after slowly away in first time blinkers LTO here. Straight tracks seem to suit him and has run well here before that LTO run back in April. Looks massively overpriced. Squire Boldwood ran much better than the formline suggest LTO. He travelled better than anything throughout and wasn't really given a change to figure by Richard Quinn and then suffered for lack of room. He is 1lb lower here and I think he will find a handicap this season. Djalalabad is a disappointing maiden but has dropped to a low mark. Trainer always seems to have a winner here -despite having a low S/R. Finding her winners isn't always easy. Gee Ceffyl Back 35% of stake 20 betfair Squire Boldwood 30% of stake 30 betfair Navene 25% of stake 8.8 betfair Bartercard 7.5% of stake 18 betfair Djalalabad 2.5% of stake 40 betfair Plus combos. 7.20 Zaarmit has disappointed badly since winning his maiden, perhaps the blinkers will make a difference. I thought Merrion Tiger was a certain future winner after his handicap debut at Thirsk (4th). Ran much better than the formline suggests when 10th of 15 NTO - was given a shocking ride from Declan Carroll and would've been in the shake up with just an average ride. No surprise to see him 3rd in a better race at Newmarket LTO and this is much weaker. Runs off a lb higher here but still well handicapped IMO. Sazerac had shown enough for Derek Shaw to suggest he can be competitive off a 50s mark. Interesting now he has switched yards. Merrion Tiger 80% of stake 7.4 betfair Sazerac 10% of stake 21 betfair Zaarmit 10% of stake 30 betfair Plus combos.

[billy the punter]

Re: Yarmouth 18/08/08 Got the 6.50 horribly wrong. Didn't fancy the short fav (ignored above) but my lot ran very poor. How I hate Yarmouth.