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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

Accidental Draw System


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Re: A Good Friday Bet Morierense v Boavista 2-1 :) 1pt on draw at 3.30 (wills) 0.68pt on win at 2.46 (Betfair com. adj.) Staked: 1.68pts Current Bank: 98.65pts Returned: 1.68pts New Bank: 100.33pts Update of Yield and S/R after today's effort. :thinker

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A Change of luck Current Bank: 99.06pts Bradford v Reading 1pt on draw at 3.60 (Totesport) 0.77pt on win at 2.30 (Premierbet) Coventry v Millwall 1pt on draw at 3.40 (Totesport) 0.53pt on win at 2.90 (Pinnacle) Walsall v Burnley 1pt on draw at 3.37 (Betfair com. adj.) 0.40pt on win at 3.50 (Totesport) Bristol Rovers v Doncaster 1pt on draw at 3.50 (VictorChandler) 0.77pt on win at 2.30 (wills) Macclesfield v Leyton Orient 1pt on draw at 3.40 (Totesport) 0.77pt on win at 2.30 (Eurobet) Woking v Aldershot 1pt on draw at 3.40 (wills) 0.63pt on win at 2.60 (wills) Malaga v Athletico Madrid 1pt on draw at 3.25 (UKBetting) 0.71pt on win at 2.40 (Pinnacle) Le Mans v Tolouse 1pt on draw at 3.23 (Betfair com. adj.) 0.59pt on win at 2.70 (Pinnacle) Lierse v St. Truiden 1pt on draw at 3.25 (Coral) 0.37pt on win at 3.71 (Betfair com. adj.) Lokeren v LaLouviere 1pt on draw at 3.52 (Betfair com. adj.) 1pt on win at 2.00 (B365) Academica v Alverca 1pt on draw at 3.25 (Coral) 0.91pt on win at 2.10 (Totesport) Vitoria Guimares v Rio Ave 1pt on draw at 3.28 (Betfair com.adj.) 0.48pt on win at 3.09 (Betfair com. adj.) Ankaragucu v Galatasaray 1pt on draw at 3.61 (Betfair com. adj.) 0.54pt on win at 2.86 (Betfair com. adj.) Staked: 21.47pts New Bank: 77.59pts

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Saturday's tale of woe Current Bank: 100.33pts Istanbulspor v Elazigspor 3-1 :( 1pt on draw at 3.85 (Betfair com.adj.) 0.27pt on win at 4.7 (Betfair com. adj.) Bradford v Reading 2-1 :( 1pt on draw at 3.60 (Totesport) 0.77pt on win at 2.30 (Premierbet) Coventry v Millwall 4-0 :( 1pt on draw at 3.40 (Totesport) 0.53pt on win at 2.90 (Pinnacle) Walsall v Burnley 0-1 :) 1pt on draw at 3.37 (Betfair com. adj.) 0.40pt on win at 3.50 (Totesport) Bristol Rovers v Doncaster 1-2 :) 1pt on draw at 3.50 (VictorChandler) 0.77pt on win at 2.30 (wills) Macclesfield v Leyton Orient 1-0 :) 1pt on draw at 3.40 (Totesport) 0.77pt on win at 2.30 (Eurobet) Woking v Aldershot 2-2 :D 1pt on draw at 3.40 (wills) 0.63pt on win at 2.60 (wills) Malaga v Athletico Madrid 3-1 :) 1pt on draw at 3.25 (UKBetting) 0.71pt on win at 2.40 (Pinnacle) Le Mans v Tolouse 2-1 :( 1pt on draw at 3.23 (Betfair com. adj.) 0.59pt on win at 2.70 (Pinnacle) Lierse v St. Truiden 1-1 :D 1pt on draw at 3.25 (Coral) 0.37pt on win at 3.71 (Betfair com. adj.) Lokeren v LaLouviere 2-0 :) 1pt on draw at 3.52 (Betfair com. adj.) 1pt on win at 2.00 (B365) Academica v Alverca 4-0 :) 1pt on draw at 3.25 (Coral) 0.91pt on win at 2.10 (Totesport) Vitoria Guimares v Rio Ave 2-0 :( 1pt on draw at 3.28 (Betfair com.adj.) 0.48pt on win at 3.09 (Betfair com. adj.) Ankaragucu v Galatasaray 1-0 :) 1pt on draw at 3.61 (Betfair com. adj.) 0.54pt on win at 2.86 (Betfair com. adj.) Staked: 21.47pts New Bank: 77.59pts Returned: 18.75pts New Bank: 96.34pts :( Profit: -3.66 Total Staked: 98.78pts Yield: -3.71% Total Bets: 57 :) Wins 21/57 36.84% :D Draws 17/57 29.83% :( Losses 19/57 33.33%

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A step back and a time to think. After a good start, things have been on a bit of a downward trend recently. Admittedly it's to be expected that there'll be good and bad runs so I'm not too worried - yet I'm now up to 57 bets in this thread and have the data for 65 earlier picks that I used to 'discover' this system. I intend to keep the system as it is for the remainder of the season (i.e. not filtered by me) so as to give it a fair run in it's raw state (hopefully should get near 200 bets in this thread). In the meantime I'm going to analyse the 122 picks I've got so far and see what I can find. From my original set of 65, leaving out the selections where the odds for the win was over 3.00 made quite a difference. I shall see what I can find.

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Saturday's selections Current bank: 96.34pts Derby v Preston 1pt on draw at 3.85 (Betfair com. adj.) 1.11pt on win at 1.90 (wills) Carlisle v Lincoln 1pt on draw at 3.60 (Totesport) 0.59pt on win at 2.70 (Pinnacle) Forest Green v Aldershot 1pt on draw at 3.40 (Totesport) 0.83pt on win at 2.20 (B365) Tamworth v Exeter 1pt on draw at 3.40 (Coral) 0.83pt on win at 2.20 (Canbet) Woking v Telford 1pt on draw at 3.40 (Coral) 0.96pt on win at 2.04 (Betfair com. adj.) Zwolle v Heerenveen 1pt on draw at 3.40 (BSQ) 0.91pt on win at 2.10 (wills) RKC Waalwijk v Roda 1pt on draw at 3.40 (UKBetting) 0.69pt on win at 2.45 (wills) Est Amadora v Uniao Liera 1pt on draw at 3.57 (Betfair com. adj.) 0.80pt on win at 2.25 (B365) Boavista v Sporting Lisbon 1pt on draw at 3.61 (Betfair com. adj.) 1.10pt on win at 1.91 (Coral) Staked: 16.82pts New Bank: 79.52pts

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More for Sunday Current Bank: 79.52pts Aston Villa v Newcastle 1pt on draw at 3.30 (Sporting Odds) 0.67pt on win at 2.50 (Paddy Power) Sebatspor v Bursaspor 1pt on draw at 3.35 (wills) 0.41pt on win at 3.42 (Betfair com. adj.) Diyarbakispor v Istanbulspor 1pt on draw at 3.45 (Pinnacle) 1.05pt on win at 1.95 (UKBetting) Pasching v Austria Vienna 1pt on draw at 3.40 (Victor C) 0.44pt on win at 3.25 (Pinnacle) Wil v Grasshoppers 1pt on draw at 3.30 (BSQ) 0.61pt on win at 2.65 (Pinnacle) Pacos Ferriera v Vitoria Guimares 1pt on draw at 3.31 (Pinnacle) 0.63pt on win at 2.60 (Premier Bet) Alverca v Belenenses 1pt on draw at 3.33 (Betfair com. adj.) 0.48pt on win at 3.09 (Betfair com. adj.) Albacete v Celta Vigo 1pt on draw at 3.25 (B365) 0.69pt on win at 2.44 (Betfair com. adj.) Groningen v AZ Alkamaar 1pt on draw at 3.40 (Victor C) 0.80 on win at 2.25 (Victor C) Volendam v NAC Breda 1pt on draw at 3.4 (B365) 0.67pt on win at 2.50 (Premierbet) Staked: 16.41pts New Bank: 63.11pts

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