Windsor 7/7/08

[fintron]

8.30 Fountains Abbey - finished 7th on her debut in a Newbury maiden but the form of that race looks solid - 1st (Aqlaam) just won a Group 3 at Ascot, 2nd (Round the Cape) won a maiden NTO at Goodwood, 4th (Yahwudhee) won a Leicester maiden NTO, 5th (Capucci) won on handicap debut at Newbury off 75, 6th (Film Maker) won a Redcar maiden NTO. Sir Michael Stoute's filly was then upped to a mile for its next race at Goodwood, again in a maiden. She was beaten by 4 lengths, but 2nd (Soft Shoe Shuffle) boosted the form by winning NTO. 1st hasn't been seen since. The trainers S/R here of 23 % is another positive.

[Falbrav]

Re: Windsor 7/7/08 9.00 Windsor. Top Seed. Lay. Racing Post SP 4/1. Cannot argue with recent form, but let's be honest and say he's never been easy to win with and did take advantage of a nice weight when last winning. The trip's fine, but the ground would be on the soft side for him and so with all his wins coming on good or faster and plenty of below par efforts on softer than good, it's worth taking him on on the ground alone. Several would appear better weighted on this good/soft ground, so at 4/1 he can only be a lay, irrespective of the end result. If he goes and wins then fair play to him.