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MadnessTrebles 2: "Lucky 7"


madnesstiger

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MadnessTrebles 2: "Lucky 7" Intro...

  • This is a new system I am trialing, based very loosely on my older system, "MadnessTrebles" (in the S&S section of the forum).
  • The staking system is based loosely on "Fleet's UK Footie Trebles" (also in the S&S section of the forum).
  • It is not planned to be my primary money-making system, but a system which I will mostly only be using at weekends. I will still be focusing on "100% Madness" as my key system.
The System...
  • 7 football divisions are to be used in this system (English Premier, English Championship, English League 1, English League 2, Scottish Premier, Turkish Superlig & German Bundesliga 1)
  • £7 will be the total stake for each bet
  • Each division has 6 seasons' worth of calculated past data
  • Each game is given a rating of 1-6 (although very rarely a game may be given a '0'). The higher the rating, the more likely it is of a HOME WIN. Likewise, the lower ratings suggest a higher percentage of AWAY WINS.
  • The rating is produced from a few quite complicated formula's in MS Excel, based on factorial equations, recent form, and a set of 'predicted' scores for the match in question (these predicted scores have a 48-52% strike rate depending on the league division, so nothing too special there). I will be keeping the rating system secret.
  • The results of past data do not necessarily provide outstanding strike rates, but as mentioned above, do constantly provide clear patterns of home wins, draws, and away wins according to the match rating.
  • I am not going to get too excited over how accurate the past results have been. The simple and small range of ratings will hopefully help make the bet selection procedure easier, and also throw in quite a few highly-rated matches with attractive odds.

  • 15 home-win selections will be chosen from games rated 5 or 6. (4-rated games may be used some weeks when there is a lack of higher-rated games)
  • 0 & 1-rated games will be chosen as our away-win selections
  • The 15 home-win selections will be split into 5 groups of 3 and as evenly as possible regarding the odds for each match. These groups will be referred to alphabetically; A,B,C,D,E.
The Staking...
  • £1 - trebles on each home-win group (5 groups = £5)
  • £1 - home accumulator (all 15 home-win selections - once I find where I can place a 15-fold online!)
  • £1 - away accumulator (all away-win selections)
  • £7 TOTAL STAKE

What we can expect...

  • 1 winning treble should more-or-less return our stakes
  • 2 winning trebles, therefore, should double our stakes
  • The more 'exotic' bets can return allsorts of unreadable amounts!

If any of the above flew over your head, bear with me and you'll get the idea soon enough!

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Re: MadnessTrebles 2: "Lucky 7" SATURDAY 15TH MARCH 2008 HOME-WIN SELECTIONS (BET365 ODDS & MATCH RATING IN BRACKETS) GROUP A

  • PORTSMOUTH VS ASTON VILLA (2.37, 5)
  • QPR VS SCUNTHORPE (1.66, 6)
  • HANNOVER 96 VS BIELEFELD (1.72, 6)
GROUP B
  • BLACKPOOL VS PRESTON (2.37, 5)
  • KAYSERISPOR VS GENCLERBIRLIGI (1.60, 5)
  • HAMBURG VS BORUSSIA DORTMUND (1.72, 6)

GROUP C

  • CRYSTAL PALACE VS BARNSLEY (1.80, 5)
  • BOURNEMOUTH VS YEOVIL (2.37, 5)
  • HIBERNIAN VS KILMARNOCK (1.57, 5)
GROUP D
  • WEST BROM VS LEICESTER CITY (1.57, 5)
  • COVENTRY CITY VS SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY (2.10, 5)
  • GILLINGHAM VS CREWE ALEXANDER (2.00, 5)

GROUP E

  • HULL CITY VS SOUTHAMPTON (2.00, 5)
  • PETERBOROUGH VS NOTTS COUNTY (1.36, 5)
  • KARLSRUHE VS EIN. FRANKFURT (2.10, 5)
* LIVERPOOL (6) & ARSENAL (6) ELIMINATED DUE TO VERY LOW ODDS! AWAY-WIN SELECTIONS
  • DERBY VS MANCHESTER UNITED (1.16, 0)
  • HUDDERSFIELD VS SOUTHEND UNITED (2.55, 1)
  • BRADFORD CITY VS MANSFIELD TOWN (3.75, 1)
  • MOTHERWELL VS CELTIC (1.53, 1)
  • COTTBUS VS BAYERN MUNICH (1.36, 1)

*** DUE TO BET365 POLICY, A MAXIMUM OF 14-FOLD ACCUMULATORS ARE ACCEPTED *** Because of this, I have left Hibernian out of the home-win accumulator - for this bet at least, it will only be a 14-fold selection (not that it stands a chance anyway!) Anyone know where I can place a 15-fold acca online?!

  • 5 X 'GROUP' SINGLES
  • 1 X 14-FOLD HOME-WINS
  • 1 X 5-FOLD AWAY-WINS

TOTAL STAKED THIS BET: £7.00 CURRENT PROFIT/LOSS: -£7.00 (7 open bets)

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