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Australian Open, Men


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EventAlun Jones v Albert Montanes
SelectionAlun Jones
Strength10/10
Date13/01/2008
Bookmaker/PricePinnacle Sports @ 1.65 (Back)
ReasoningAlun Jones is a native and used to the conditions here in Australia. Albert Montanes havent done anything special outside the clay courts and he is only 1-6 in Australian Open and will probably face big problems vs Jones and the support he will get from the crowd.
EventMariano Zabaleta v Peter Luczak
SelectionPeter Luczak
Strength10/10
Date13/01/2008
Bookmaker/PricePinnacle Sports @ 1.47 (Back)
ReasoningMariano Zabaleta is another clown on this surface and he's also probably looking to get his first round loser check and take first, best flight out of there. Luczak has always done pretty good for his talent here in Australia and I expect him to do so again.
EventHyung-Taik Lee v Chris Guccione
SelectionChris Guccione
Strength10/10
Date13/01/2008
Bookmaker/PricePinnacle Sports @ 1.69 (Back)
ReasoningChris Guccione may have lost in the final in Sydney but he played really good all week serving really good. The only thing that cost him the title was in inexperience. Lee isnt know for any great result vs the big-servers so he could struggle yet again.
EventNicolas Almagro v Marin Cilic
SelectionMarin Cilic
Strength10/10
Date13/01/2008
Bookmaker/PricePinnacle Sports @ 2.11 (Back)
ReasoningNicolas Almagro has lost all three matches he has played in Australian Open and faces another good server in the first round. Marin Cilic, with his good serving has been in good form reaching semi-final twice in recent tournaments he has played so I find a value in his odds.
EventKristof Vliegen v Olivier Patience
SelectionKristof Vliegen
Strength10/10
Date14/01/2008
Bookmaker/PricePinnacle Sports @ 1.43 (Back)
ReasoningI dont even know what Patience is doing here in Australian Open playing on HC, but his a big clown on this surface losing like every match. I guess he's after some quick losers money and Vliegen shouldnt have too big troubles winning this
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Re: Australian Open-Winer Agree with this one and have followed suit. There is often a darkhorse that emerges each year, with Baghdatis and Gonzalez two recent examples. As such I've gone for players who are at long odds and have either a strong track record in the Aus Open, or the talent and surface affinity to perform strongly. My bets: Marat Safin @ 160 (2/10) Ivo Karlovic @ 700 (2/10) Stanislaw Wawrinka @ 580 (1/10) Xavier Malisse @ 980 (1/10) All with betfair

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