Exeter 23/11

[PL_Crewman]

1:00 Marcus Been off for quite a bit but showed plenty when last win with a 6 length win at Wincanton. It won at 50-1 wiht 2-3-4 being priced as 3-1JF, 4-1, 3-1JF in a Class 2 novice chase. Tainer the last 5 seasons: -Trainer mark at the Chase course at the track counts for 4 wins from 18. -2 wins from 8 with Noel Fehily for chases for +5.00 LSP Jockey is in excellent form with 5 rides being placed from the last 7 (PU and 4th with other 2). 11 won placed in the last week from 17 rides (1-1-3-PU-2-4-3-1-5-7-3-3-4-2-2-PU-3) 5.80/1.95 @ Betfair

[bowles10]

Re: Exeter 23/11 12.30 although 3 out of the last 4 favs have won this contest, the stats are not great for favs in Nov hcap hurdles here just about breaking even. petitjean looks to have every chance but Hobbs' horses ran poorly yesterday albeit 2 fell but they all drifted in the market. If i was looking for a chance to beat the fav, then Seven is lucky from Pipes yard could be interesting 1st time in a handicap. recommendation small interest in Seven is lucky to win 1.35 Handicaps chases have a poor record for favs here but surpisingly last 2 runnings of this race have gone to the fav! The others held in November have produced a return of 2 wins in 17 races over 7 years. Its a race that any of the field could win & I would be happy to LAY the favourite in this. Recommendation LAY un-named favourite 2.10 Again a handicap chase where the favourite is vulnerable. Beat the boys is currently 15/8 & coupled with the trainers poor record here, this again looks like a lAY opportunity. Recommendation LAY Beat the boys The last 3 races are where the decent fav stats really kick in to play 2.45 & 3.20 are Nov Hurdles which are showing a 140% return to win stakes if you follow the favourites over the 7 year period. These are div 1 & div2 of the hurdle today which means the race has been split into two to accommodate the entries. Both favs are likely to be the Nicholls pair, Just Amazing & The tother one. Recommendation BACK both favs to win. 3.55 Handicap hurdles also have a decent return for following the fav. I would suggest a place bet on the likely fav today Mickmacmagoole who ran a decent race on Wednesday only to be caught on the run in. Recommendation BACK Mickmacmagoole to place