REMIXXX Posted November 9, 2007 Share Posted November 9, 2007 Hello. Month ago I've made a soccer goals analizing soft. We are looking for critical minutes for 2 teams and trading total under 2.5 goals till this mins come. Going to post bets and results here Just paper trial... P.S.: and I'll post here some total bets (not trading) about 10 a month:) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted November 9, 2007 Author Share Posted November 9, 2007 Re: Critical mins Date Home Away Crit. Min Back 1 11.11.2007 Fiorentina vs Udinese 15 1.91 2 10.11.2007 Werder Bremen vs Karlsruher SC 17 2.5 3 10.11.2007 Hansa Rostock vs Energie Cottbus 15 1.85 4 11.11.2007 Bielefeld vs Nurnberg 30 2.1 5 11.11.2007 Wolfsburg vs Leverkusen 30 2.1 6 10.11.2007 Sunderland vs Newcastle 29 1.91 7 11.11.2007 Birmingham City vs Aston Villa 20 1.7 8 11.11.2007 Tottenham vs Wigan Athletic 15 2.2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted November 9, 2007 Author Share Posted November 9, 2007 Re: Critical mins And one total bet (not trade): 10.11.2007 Palermo vs Napoli Over 2.5 2.16 (Betfair) First 8 bets for this weekend and I'll post here all I do at betfair for all 8 games. All odds are from oddschecker, real odds I'll take I'll post later Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted November 10, 2007 Author Share Posted November 10, 2007 Re: Critical mins Odds I took (10 units for 1 bet!!!): 10.11.2007 Sunderland vs Newcastle (Under 2.5) Enter: 2 at Betfair; Exit: 1.39 at Betfair (29 min) P/L: (if over:+4.38pts, if under:+4.38pts)=+4.38pts*0.95(BF standart comission)=+4.16pts 10.11.2007 Werder Bremen vs Karlsruher SC (Under 2.5) Enter: 2.6 at Betfair; Exit: 2.16 at Betfair (17 min) P/L: (if over:+2.03pts, if under:+2.03pts)=+2.03pts*0.95(BF standart comission)=+1.93pts 10.11.2007 Hansa Rostock vs Energie Cottbus (Under 2.5) Enter: 1.91 at Betfair; Exit: 1.6 at Betfair (15 min) P/L: (if over:+1.93pts, if under:+1.93pts)=+1.93pts*0.95(BF standart comission)=+1.83pts Results 10.11.2007: 3 bets - 3 won PL = 7.92 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doktor_lektor Posted November 10, 2007 Share Posted November 10, 2007 Re: Critical mins Keep going mate. Hope to see a nice profit at the end of the season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted November 10, 2007 Author Share Posted November 10, 2007 Re: Critical mins Keep going mate. Hope to see a nice profit at the end of the season. Thanks, I'll try:) Some comment: Hansa scored at 18 min, so if here is 15 critical minute than exit at this minute NOT LATER!!! Any questions - please ask:) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted November 11, 2007 Author Share Posted November 11, 2007 Re: Critical mins 11.11.2007 Fiorentina vs Udinese (Under 2.5) Enter: 1.98 at Betfair; Exit: 1.8 at Betfair (15 min) P/L: (if over:+1pts, if under:+1pts)=+1pts*0.95(BF standart comission)=+0.95pts 11.11.2007 Birmingham City vs Aston Villa (Under 2.5) Enter: 1.7 at Betfair; Exit: 2.25 at Betfair (15 min) P/L: (if over:-2.44pts, if under:-2.44pts)=-2.44pts 11.11.2007 Tottenham vs Wigan Athletic (Under 2.5) Enter: 2.44 at Betfair; Exit: 3.7 at Betfair (17 min) P/L: (if over:-3.4pts, if under:-3.4pts)=-3.4pts 11.11.2007 Bielefeld vs Nurnberg (Under 2.5) Enter: 2.06 at Betfair; Exit: 1.54 at Betfair (30 min) P/L: (if over:+3.37pts, if under:+3.37)=+3.37pts*0.95(BF standart comission)=+3.2pts 11.11.2007 Wolfsburg vs Leverkusen (Under 2.5) Enter: 2.26 at Betfair; Exit: 1.67 at Betfair (30 min) P/L: (if over:+3.53pts, if under:+3.53pts)=+3.53pts*0.95(BF standart comission)=+3.35pts Results 11.11.2007: 5 bets - 3 won PL = +1.66 pts Total results: 8 bets - 6 won PL = +9.58pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted November 11, 2007 Author Share Posted November 11, 2007 Re: Critical mins Totals (no trade): 10.11.2007 Palermo vs Napoli OVER 2.5 2.16 at Betfair win +11.02pts (10pts per bet, 5% standart comission at Betfair include) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted November 11, 2007 Author Share Posted November 11, 2007 Re: Critical mins Some news: now I have Seria A, Bundes 1 and English Premier, I'm going to add systems to Spanish Premiera:) maybe fom next round:) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted November 11, 2007 Author Share Posted November 11, 2007 Re: Critical mins About losts: If smbd scored earlyer than critical minute, than we are taking a loss at this market Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dices Posted November 11, 2007 Share Posted November 11, 2007 Re: Critical mins Good luck mate. Just one question: In the case of a lost bet how do you decide the minute to trade off? Birmingham at 15 (critical at 20) Tottenham at 17 (critical at 15) Thanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted November 11, 2007 Author Share Posted November 11, 2007 Re: Critical mins Good luck mate. Just one question: In the case of a lost bet how do you decide the minute to trade off? Birmingham at 15 (critical at 20) Tottenham at 17 (critical at 15) Thanks Birmingham at 15 (critical at 20) they scored at 10-11 min, than market stoped, than it opened, than odds stagnated and I took loss at 15 minute. Tottenham at 17 (critical at 15) they scored at 12-13 min, just the same... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted November 11, 2007 Author Share Posted November 11, 2007 Re: Critical mins Total bets (no trade): 2) 11.11.2007 Villarreal vs Sevilla (OVER 2.5) 1.88 at Betfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted November 11, 2007 Author Share Posted November 11, 2007 Re: Critical mins Total bets (no trade): 2) 11.11.2007 Villarreal vs Sevilla (OVER 2.5) 1.88 at Betfair Took 2.96 live:) Hope somebody else did the same:) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted November 11, 2007 Author Share Posted November 11, 2007 Re: Critical mins Total bets (no trade): 2) 11.11.2007 Villarreal vs Sevilla (OVER 2.5) 1.88 at Betfair win +8.36pts SUM: 2bets - 2won +19.38pts ROI = 96.9%:) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted November 25, 2007 Author Share Posted November 25, 2007 Re: Critical mins Total bets (no trade): 10 25.11.2007 Hamburger SV vs Hansa Rostock (OVER 2.5) 1.78 at Betfair 11 25.11.2007 Osasuna vs Espanyol (OVER 2.5) 2.18 at Betfair 12 25.11.2007 Villarreal vs Almerea (OVER 2.5) 1.84 at Betfair 13 25.11.2007 Racing vs Valencia (OVER 2.5) 2.42 at Betfair 14 25.11.2007 Fulham vs Blackburn (OVER 2.5) 2.16 at Betfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted November 25, 2007 Author Share Posted November 25, 2007 Re: Critical mins Very sorry for yesterday, was very busy this week, so didn't get time to post selections here:( By the way there were: Total bets (no trade): 3 23.11.2007 Karlsruher SC vs Hertha BSC (OVER 2.5) won 4 24.11.2007 Energie Cottbus vs Werder Bremen (OVER 2.5) lost 5 24.11.2007 Frankfurt vs Stuttgart (OVER 2.5) won 6 24.11.2007 Leverkusen vs Duisburg (OVER 2.5) won 7 24.11.2007 Everton vs Sunderland (OVER 2.5) won 8 24.11.2007 Newcastle vs Liverpool (OVER 2.5) won 9 25.11.2007 Murcia vs Real Madrid (OVER 2.5) lost And there was one trade bet for yesterday: 9 24.11.2007 Barcelona vs Recreativo 18min win I'm not going to include them in official results!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted November 25, 2007 Author Share Posted November 25, 2007 Re: Critical mins Total bets (no trade): 10 25.11.2007 Hamburger SV vs Hansa Rostock (OVER 2.5) 1.78 at Betfair lost 11 25.11.2007 Osasuna vs Espanyol (OVER 2.5) 2.18 at Betfair won 12 25.11.2007 Villarreal vs Almerea (OVER 2.5) 1.84 at Betfair lost 13 25.11.2007 Racing vs Valencia (OVER 2.5) 2.42 at Betfair lost 14 25.11.2007 Fulham vs Blackburn (OVER 2.5) 2.16 at Betfair won SUM: 7bets - 4won +11.61pts ROI = 16.58% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted December 1, 2007 Author Share Posted December 1, 2007 Re: Critical mins 10 01.12.2007 Blackburn vs Newcastle (15 min) 1.96 at Betfair ( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted December 1, 2007 Author Share Posted December 1, 2007 Re: Critical mins Total bets (no trade): 15 01.12.2007 Wolfsburg vs Frankfurt (OVER 2.5) 1.96 at Betfair 16 02.12.2007 Tottenham vs Birmingham City (OVER 2.5) 1.72 at Betfair 17 02.12.2007 Valladolid vs Villarreal (OVER 2.5) 1.9 at Betfair P.S.: Seria A will be later in the evening Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted December 1, 2007 Author Share Posted December 1, 2007 Re: Critical mins Seria A: 01.12.2007 AC Milan vs Juventus (23 min) Back Under 2.5 1.85 at Betfair 02.12.2007 Fiorentina vs Internazionale (15 min) Back Under 2.5 1.88 at Betfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted December 5, 2007 Author Share Posted December 5, 2007 Re: Critical mins Total bets (no trade): 15 01.12.2007 Wolfsburg vs Frankfurt (OVER 2.5) 1.96 at Betfair won 16 02.12.2007 Tottenham vs Birmingham City (OVER 2.5) 1.72 at Betfair won 17 02.12.2007 Valladolid vs Villarreal (OVER 2.5) 1.9 at Betfair lost SUM: 10bets - 6won +17.6pts ROI = 17.6% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted December 7, 2007 Author Share Posted December 7, 2007 Re: Critical mins 01.12.2007 Blackburn vs Newcastle (Under 2.5) Enter: 1.96 at Betfair; Exit: 1.78 at Betfair (15 min) P/L: (if over:+1pts, if under:+1pts)=+1.01pts*0.95(BF standart comission)=+0.95pts 01.12.2007 AC Milan vs Juventus (Under 2.5) Enter: 1.85 at Betfair; Exit: 1.58 at Betfair (23 min) P/L: (if over:+1.7pts, if under:+1.7pts)=+1.7pts*0.95(BF standart comission)=+1.615ptss 02.12.2007 Fiorentina vs Internazionale (Under 2.5) Enter: 1.88 at Betfair; Exit: 2.92 at Betfair (10 min) P/L: (if over:-3.33pts, if under:-3.33pts)=-3.4pts 01-02.01.2008: 3 bets - 2 won PL = -0.765pts Total results: 11 bets - 8 won PL = +8.815pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted December 7, 2007 Author Share Posted December 7, 2007 Re: Critical mins I have another trading strategy: Trade EPL O/U 2.5. Rules: I have soft which produces me time when goals the most avaible in game and when not. For example: 03.12.2008: MU vs Fulham Soft produces me bar graph: [ATTACH]419[/ATTACH] So I chose time to trade over or under in this game: 1) 1-13 min back Over 2.5 or lay Under 2.5 2) 15-30 min back Under 2.5 or lay Over 2.5 3) 31-35 min back Over 2.5 or lay Under 2.5 4) 36-44 min back Under 2.5 or lay Over 2.5 5) 50-60 min back Over 2.5 or lay Under 2.5 6) 60-70 min back Under 2.5 or lay Over 2.5 7) 80-90 min back Over 2.5 or lay Under 2.5 Goals were scored at 10 and 59. Off course you can trade other markets 1.5, 3.5, 4.5. Why only EPL? - Couse EPL is the most liquidy But if you want you can trade other leagues. I have EPL, Bundes1, Seria A and Spanish premier. If anybody wants I can send graph for every match in these 4 champs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REMIXXX Posted December 8, 2007 Author Share Posted December 8, 2007 Re: Critical mins 08.12.2007 Frankfurt vs Schalke 04 (17 min) back Under 2.5 1.9 at Betfair 08.12.2007 Lazio vs Catania (15 min) back Under 2.5 1.76 at Betfair 08.12.2007 Reading vs Liverpool (28 min) back Under 2.5 1.89 at Betfair 09.12.2007 Blackburn vs West Ham (17 min) back Under 2.5 1.86 at Betfair Total bets (no trade): 08.12.2007 08.12.2007 Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg OVER 2.5 1.67 at Betfait 09.12.2007 Villarreal vs Betis OVER 2.5 2 at Betfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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