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Newmarket 03/11


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Re: Newmarket 03/11 1.35 Newmarket 15 runners for this Class 4 handicap over 7f. Currently 5/1 the field so many in with chances, but I have a strong fancy for: Purus (8/1 Betfred) - Specialist over this distance of 7f, and has Chris Catlin back on board (is 2 from 2 on this horse). Back down in class after excellent efforts in Class 2 races, now races in Class 4, and eased a little in handicap mark. Since last win, has had figures of 30355 but, looking into these further, these are decent stats with excuses made on each run as follows:- 3rd of 14, veered left when making its move 14th of 20, was going smoothly but race was too far, a mile. All its form is over 7. 3rd of 10, 2 horses went to the opposite rail and finished 1-2, so in theory this horse won its race 5th of 17, good run here in a Class 2 race. 2lb higher than today in that race too as well as down in class 5th of 26, another cracking effort in Class 2. Not exactly a trouble-free passage here but, in essence, beaten by the draw. This horse was drawn 4, with the first 8 being drawn 20-16-18-25-Purus (4)-23-22-26. A repeat of any of those efforts, particularly the last 3 would make this horse favourite in my book. Big chance today.

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