EulogioJ Posted August 11, 2007 Share Posted August 11, 2007 Well, I will try to apply jtw1 rules for the under 2.5 strategy and try to make it profitable for an over 2.5 strategy. I will not bet real money until I see if I can make the system really profitable in the long run. I will try it with 5 units per match and use betfair for the odds I will start now with Tippeligaen league (60% matches with over 2.5) Brann-Rosenborg 4/5 over in their previous matches between them Brann 8/8 over in home matches Rosenborg 6/7 over in away matches Initial bankroll: 100 units Stake: 5 units; odd 1.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rich46 Posted August 11, 2007 Share Posted August 11, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 :hope Good Luck with this if you have as much success as jtw1 it will be a good system. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 11, 2007 Share Posted August 11, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 :hope Good Luck with this if you have as much success as jtw1 it will be a good system. i'll second that :hope :welcome to PL by the way Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EulogioJ Posted August 12, 2007 Author Share Posted August 12, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 Brann-Rosenborg: 3-2 :ok Initial bankroll: 100 units Actual bankroll: 102.5 units Yield: 2.5 % I will study today matches and post anything interesting I find. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EulogioJ Posted August 12, 2007 Author Share Posted August 12, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 A little more difficult today. I do not find any match that meets the criteria 100%, so I will try this match only with the winnings: Tippeligaen, Aalesund-Odd Grenland Previous direct matches: 5/5 overs Aalesund (home): 5/7 over Odd Grenland (away): 4/8 over This is the criteria I dont like :unsure, the others are perfect Stake: 2.5 units Odd: 1.65 If matches that do not meet the criteria 100% are not correct, then I will add in the thread the difference in the yields between betting only in matches that meet all the criteria or betting in all the posted matches ;) I hope this system is profitable in the long run :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted August 12, 2007 Share Posted August 12, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 Good start and with 15 mins to go its 2-0 :hope One point i'd like to mention and thats ,unless theres a REALLY strong bias for the home or away side , eg BRANN 8/8 OVERS at home , then i usually stick to recent form ie the last 6 homes/aways . Events can occur that can change how a team approaches a game ; new manager etc, so i beleive not going too far back in a season can keep the stats sharp. However it's your thread mate and i wish you all the luck with it :hope JUST CHECKED AND ITS 2-1 :clap:clap:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EulogioJ Posted August 12, 2007 Author Share Posted August 12, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 Thank you very much for all your ideas, jtw1. You are the legenday pounter here and I am just trying to make a profitable system similar to yours. I hope to be at least half succesfull as you are :notworthy. I will focus a little more in the last 5/6 results instead of the full season, because otherway I will post only a few matches :). Well, finally Aalesund-Odd Grenland: 2-1. So we continue with the good results. :ok Initial bankroll: 100 units Actual bankroll: 104.125 units :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EulogioJ Posted August 16, 2007 Author Share Posted August 16, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 Lets try today in Iceland League (Landsbankadeildin)Akranes-Fylkir Not all the conditions apply here, but almost all: Akranes 6/6 overs at home (10/12 overs in the league) Fylkir. Although there are more unders away, they have been in the initial matches of the league. In last 3 matches away: 2/3 overs. In previous hand to hand matches:4/5 overs Stake: 5 units. Odd: 1.6 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EulogioJ Posted August 17, 2007 Author Share Posted August 17, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 Well, only two goals in the match :cry Initial bankroll: 100 units Actual bankroll: 99.125 units Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted August 17, 2007 Share Posted August 17, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 Keep an eye on the DUTCH 2nd Div mate , loads of OVERS there :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EulogioJ Posted August 19, 2007 Author Share Posted August 19, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 A little busy today, but lets try with the 1 division in Norwegian League: Nottoden-Konsvinger: H2H 2/2 overs Nottoden home: 3/5 in last 5 matches Konsvinger away: 5/5 over in last 5 matches Stake: 5 units Odd: 1.51 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted August 19, 2007 Share Posted August 19, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 :clap Have you considered progressive staking or are you happy with singles ?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EulogioJ Posted August 19, 2007 Author Share Posted August 19, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 Sorry jtw1, but I do not know exactly what do you mean by progressive staking :unsure There are a lot of betting expressions in English that I am learning know By the way, 0-3 in the match :ok: Initial bankroll: 100 units Actual bankroll: 101.67 units Total stake: 17.5 Stake returned: 19.17 Profit: 9.5 % Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted August 20, 2007 Share Posted August 20, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 Progressive beting is the form of staking i use in the UNDERS thread eg - 20pts on selection 1 , if it wins then returns placed onto next selection , and so on . You decide when to stop . Then its back to the start. Have a look at the UNDERS thread and see what i mean . As long as you are confident you can select 2 or 3 winners on the trot it's worth considering . Only a suggestion though mate , if you want to keep going with straight single wins then good luck it's certainly the safest way to win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yomica Posted August 20, 2007 Share Posted August 20, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 I decided to start with jtw1's system and found this thread. Excellent! This moment only 3 league fill 1st jtw rule - over 60 percent. Iceland, Norway 1 and 2. Maybe Denmark 2, too. Premiership and Scottland 2nd too, but not enough match. Good luck to all! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EulogioJ Posted August 22, 2007 Author Share Posted August 22, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 jtw1, I will continue with single bets, but when the leagues I am now following finish, I will check the same bets I have made using progressive staking and we can compare results ;) For today: Norwegian 1 division, Mandalskam-Haugesund H2H: 4/5 overs Mandalskam at home: 7/8 overs; 7/7 in last 7 matches home Haugesund away: 2/3 overs in last 3 matches away Stake: 5 units Odd: 1.39 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted August 22, 2007 Share Posted August 22, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 1-3 ft :clap Keep it up mate :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EulogioJ Posted August 22, 2007 Author Share Posted August 22, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 Thanks jtw1, nice result :loon Initial bankroll: 100 units Actual bankroll: 103.62 units Total stake: 22.5 units Returned stake: 26.12 units Profit: 16% Let's see if we are able to continue with profit until the end of the leagues... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EulogioJ Posted August 30, 2007 Author Share Posted August 30, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 After a long time without any clear match: Iceland,Landsbankadeildin Akranes-Breidablik H2H matches: 4/4 over Akranes home: 6/7 over Breidablik away: 4/5 over in last 5 matches away Stake: 5 units Odd: 1.7 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted August 30, 2007 Share Posted August 30, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 2-1 :loon, 88th min goal !! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EulogioJ Posted August 31, 2007 Author Share Posted August 31, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 nice :D I like these leagues, Initial bankroll: 100 units Actual bankroll: 107.12 units Total staked: 27.5 units Returned staked: 34.62 units Profit: 25.9 % Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EulogioJ Posted September 1, 2007 Author Share Posted September 1, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 Norwegian league, Tippeligaen, Stromsgodset-Rosenborg H2H meetings: 4/5 over Stromsgodset home: 5/5 over in last 5 matches home Ronseborg away: 5/5 over in last 5 matches away Stake: 5 units Odd: 1.55 :hope I will be away this week, so I do not know if I will be able to post any matches until next weekend... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D3Z1R3 Posted September 3, 2007 Share Posted September 3, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 unlucky 1-1 :( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EulogioJ Posted September 9, 2007 Author Share Posted September 9, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 Well, I am back again. It is a pity the last result: Initial bankroll: 100 units Actual bankroll: 102.12 units Norwegian league, 1 division, Raufoss-Maldalskam H2H meetings: 4/5 over Raufoss home: 4/5 over in last 5 matches home Maldalskam away: 4/5 over in last 5 matches away Stake: 5 units Odd: 1.4 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EulogioJ Posted September 9, 2007 Author Share Posted September 9, 2007 Re: strategy over 2.5 Well, now we return to winnings, 1-4 :loon Initial bankroll: 100 units Actual bankroll: 104.12 units Total staked: 37.5 units Returned staked: 41.62 units Profit: 10.9 % Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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