Newmarket 12/07

[bowles10]

not around tomorrow, on the golf course ! tips here please. I'm not playing as totally out of form after todays efforts. Would have backed Loch Verdi in the last but for the low draw which showed at a disadvantage today.

[mowgli77]

Re: Newmarket 12/07 Wing Express and Galianna 1.30 Newmarket Spice Route is likely to go off as favourite under Jamie Spencer and has won for him before over 10f but was only 5th last time out in a Group 2 behind Boscobel. Interesting comments from that race analysis: Quote:

Spice Route raced enthusiastically stuck wide in midfield and was another not best placed for the sprint up the straight. He also had to be angled out midtrack for daylight before edging closer, picking up takingly to suggest there is more to come.

Willing to oppose it at likely short odds as he could find himself in trouble on it again even if it will be suited by the step up in trip. The two I'm going to take each way are Wing Express and Galianna. Both are unproven at this level of racing and Galianna has the lowest BHB rating. Wing Express is from Cumanis yard and may have only won a maiden last time out but it improved for the step up in trip, won well enough and it's interesting that he's not aimed it at a handicap and decided to run it at Listed level instead. Clearly has improvement in it and may be able to get close at around 5-1. Galianna may have the lowest rating but I don't think it is the worst horse in the race and seems progressive enough to get involved at a big price. That also improved for the step up in trip and battled well to just get up at the finish. Some of the other more fancied horses have stamina doubts and this looks a good price at around 20-1 but needs to improve. Also interesting that Kinane rides for Eddery, who is in quite good form lately. Ivy Creek 3.10 Newmarket The horse i've been waiting for finally runs at Group Level and I'm confident it will be in the winners enclosure by about 3.20pm. The selection is Ivy Creek and it has won two very strong listed contests over this trip recently. It's Goodwood race saw it get the better of Alfie Flits and Day Flight. When it won at Pontefract it beat Alfie Flits, The Geezer and Peppertree Lane. The latter went on to win a Group 3 race and The Geezer disappointed at the weekend but clearly didn't get the trip. It was ridden confidently by Steve Drowne, picked up nicely during its last race, made good headway and burst through with a good run to get up well. Unproven on good to firm but poor efforts on that ground more likely to do with the trip than the ground. Seemed to swerve right at the end of last race but the better ground was also up that rail. RP analysis said: Quote:

He was following up a similar Listed-race win at Goodwood last time and is plainly progressing soundly. He gives the impression he can hold his own in Group-race company.

That is exactly what I thought and was waiting to see what Group race it would go for. Will have to be the real deal to beat Sixties Icon if that is on form but the way that ran last time worried me and I don't think it was just the ground to blame. [url=http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/showthread.php?t=48794&page=8] Man Of Vision 2.35 Newmarket Another runner from the PL race day in February and that 2nd to Silkwood looks even better now. Has also run well when beating Serengeti on the all weather and when stepped up in trip on turf to beat Gull Wing. Not sure if high draw will be a hinderance over this trip as some of it's best runs have been when held up. Tried to lead last time out over 12f and tactics were wrong, faded last 2f. Back to 10f today, more than capable of taking this and the 16-1 with Bet365 BOG is massive. Has won on the expected good to firm ground.