The Value Lay

[Kanga]

The Value Lay<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

After reading some great threads from you guys and profiting from them, I thought I would add a little contribution of my own - I’ve been developing a “value LAY system†that won’t make you rich but should add a nice few points profit to your bank each month.

This system is based purely on mathematics and more importantly VALUE and therefore I cannot easily explain how a selection is made except to say that I price up the cards and pick the best LAY selection from all those figures.

I will select 1 horse a day and quote the maximum exchange price to LAY and the current exchange price, I'll also add the S.P forecast price and the Maximum S.P price to record the result - it is highly likely that you will get matched.

This maximum lay price I quote is necessary to be profitable, but causes problems recording the bet results – the fairest way I can think of is to record the results at S.P and if the final price is higher than the lay price stated then this will be recorded as a NO BET.

Any suggestions as to how to best record the results would be appreciated.

Some points worth noting :-

These selections aren’t picked because they will lose, but that because of the uncertainty in racing they will lose often enough at the price quoted to make it worth doing.

If you can’t get the maximum price I quote then DON’T BET – don’t back them either as they are still likely poor value.

Personally I don’t touch in-play racing and have not recorded or analysed these results. My gut feeling would be that you would get disproportionally matched on horses that are running well and would miss those that are set to lose – all IMHO

All that said here is today’s LAY.

<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />4:05 Fairyhouse ….Green Mile (exchange lay max 7.6) currently (4.3) Forecast S.P 4/1 max S.P odds for recording 6/1 :hope Kanga :ok

[Remmer7]

Re: The Value Lay Sounds good mate :ok ill be watching with interest before falling you. Good luck! :hope