Beejayville Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 AFL Round 11 Essendon 2.30 West Coast 1.60 Hawthorn 1.80 Sydney 2.00 Brisbane 2.00 Bulldogs 1.80 Carlton 1.95 Port Power 1.85 Adelaide 2.05 Geelong 1.75 St Kilda 1.70 Kangaroos 2.12 Fremantle 1.20 Richmond 4.40 Melbourne 2.35 Collingwood 1.58 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) Overall Standings # Team P W L D For Agt % Pts 1 West Coast 10 8 2 0 930 718 129.5 32 2 Geelong 10 7 3 0 1204 777 155 28 3 Hawthorn 10 7 3 0 911 790 115.3 28 4 Collingwood 10 7 3 0 963 892 108 28 5 Adelaide 10 6 4 0 827 762 108.5 24 6 Essendon 10 6 4 0 1011 942 107.3 24 7 Port Adelaide 10 6 4 0 899 894 100.6 24 8 Kangaroos 10 6 4 0 967 979 98.77 24 9 Sydney 10 5 5 0 867 762 113.8 20 10 W.Bulldogs 10 5 5 0 987 1035 95.36 20 11 Brisbane 10 4 5 1 851 896 94.98 18 12 Fremantle 10 4 6 0 917 945 97.04 16 13 St Kilda 10 4 6 0 756 876 86.3 16 14 Carlton 10 3 7 0 1018 1242 81.96 12 15 Melbourne 10 1 9 0 769 1040 73.94 4 16 Richmond 10 0 9 1 823 1150 71.57 2 Match Totals Quarters Halves # Team W L D WR% W L D WR% 1 West Coast 24 14 2 60 14 5 1 70 2 Geelong 28 11 1 70 15 5 0 75 3 Hawthorn 21 19 0 52.5 12 5 3 60 4 Collingwood 21 17 2 52.5 12 7 1 60 5 Adelaide 22 18 0 55 12 8 0 60 6 Essendon 21 19 0 52.5 10 9 1 50 7 Port Adelaide 18 20 2 45 9 11 0 45 8 Kangaroos 22 17 1 55 10 10 0 50 9 Sydney 20 19 1 50 14 6 0 70 10 W.Bulldogs 16 21 3 40 6 13 1 30 11 Brisbane 19 21 0 47.5 7 13 0 35 12 Fremantle 18 21 1 45 10 9 1 50 13 St Kilda 20 19 1 50 8 12 0 40 14 Carlton 13 27 0 32.5 7 13 0 35 15 Melbourne 14 24 2 35 4 16 0 20 16 Richmond 14 24 2 35 6 14 0 30 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) Quarter Averages For Against Team ¼ ½ ¾ FT ¼ ½ ¾ FT 1 West Coast 27 22 17 28 20 13 23 16 2 Geelong 35 30 30 26 19 21 15 23 3 Hawthorn 16 23 28 25 21 21 19 19 4 Collingwood 21 25 27 23 26 23 22 18 5 Adelaide 23 21 20 19 20 18 22 17 6 Essendon 27 24 23 28 17 27 28 22 7 Port Adelaide 21 23 27 19 25 28 17 20 8 Kangaroos 27 22 24 23 20 24 19 35 9 Sydney 25 19 18 24 24 18 18 16 10 W.Bulldogs 28 25 22 24 32 22 24 25 11 Brisbane 22 26 19 18 25 20 21 24 12 Fremantle 25 20 24 23 25 19 29 22 13 St Kilda 20 17 22 17 23 17 24 23 14 Carlton 27 24 30 21 31 31 31 30 15 Melbourne 19 19 18 22 27 29 25 24 16 Richmond 21 18 20 23 30 27 29 29 Scoring Statistics Avg Score Avg Margin Total Score Round Total Team For Agt Win Lose High Low High Low 1 West Coast 93 72 36 37 137 64 0 0 2 Geelong 120 78 67 13 222 72 2 0 3 Hawthorn 91 79 26 19 131 44 0 1 4 Collingwood 96 89 19 21 120 66 2 0 5 Adelaide 83 76 23 18 110 57 0 1 6 Essendon 101 94 24 19 127 74 0 0 7 Port Adelaide 90 89 25 36 122 60 1 0 8 Kangaroos 97 98 16 27 147 55 1 1 9 Sydney 87 76 33 12 118 44 0 0 10 W.Bulldogs 99 104 22 31 135 57 0 1 11 Brisbane 85 90 34 36 136 63 1 1 12 Fremantle 92 95 27 23 137 58 1 0 13 St Kilda 76 88 38 45 125 43 0 4 14 Carlton 102 124 10 36 138 39 2 1 15 Melbourne 77 104 17 32 106 57 0 1 16 Richmond 82 115 0 36 100 65 0 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted June 4, 2007 Share Posted June 4, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) Margin Breakdown - Basic U 15.5 O 15.5 U 39.5 O 39.5 Team W L W L W L W L 1 West Coast 3 0 5 2 5 2 3 0 2 Geelong 0 1 7 2 2 3 5 0 3 Hawthorn 1 0 6 3 7 3 0 0 4 Collingwood 2 1 5 2 7 3 0 0 5 Adelaide 1 1 5 3 6 4 0 0 6 Essendon 3 1 3 3 5 4 1 0 7 Port Adelaide 1 0 5 4 4 3 2 1 8 Kangaroos 1 1 5 3 6 3 0 1 9 Sydney 0 2 5 3 3 5 2 0 10 W.Bulldogs 1 2 4 3 5 3 0 2 11 Brisbane 1 0 3 5 2 4 2 1 12 Fremantle 1 2 3 4 2 5 2 1 13 St Kilda 0 0 4 6 2 2 2 4 14 Carlton 2 1 1 6 3 4 0 3 15 Melbourne 0 3 1 6 1 5 0 4 16 Richmond 0 2 0 7 0 7 0 2 Margin Breakdown - Detailed 1-19 pts 20-39 pts 40-59 pts 60+ pts Team W L W L W L W L 1 West Coast 3 0 2 2 0 0 3 0 2 Geelong 0 2 2 1 2 0 3 0 3 Hawthorn 1 2 6 1 0 0 0 0 4 Collingwood 3 2 4 1 0 0 0 0 5 Adelaide 3 2 3 2 0 0 0 0 6 Essendon 3 2 2 2 0 0 1 0 7 Port Adelaide 4 0 0 3 2 1 0 0 8 Kangaroos 4 2 2 1 0 0 0 1 9 Sydney 1 4 2 1 2 0 0 0 10 W.Bulldogs 2 2 3 1 0 2 0 0 11 Brisbane 1 0 1 4 2 0 0 1 12 Fremantle 2 3 0 2 2 1 0 0 13 St Kilda 0 0 2 2 2 3 0 1 14 Carlton 3 3 0 1 0 1 0 2 15 Melbourne 1 3 0 2 0 3 0 1 16 Richmond 0 4 0 3 0 1 0 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted June 4, 2007 Author Share Posted June 4, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) Round 11 Stats ----------------------------- Essendon v West Coast Last 3 Head to Head Essendon 0 West Coast 3 Eagles have won last 3 games by 21, 24 and 44 points. Only played each other once each year in 2004-2006. At Telstra Dome - Played 6 - Essendon 5 West Coast 1 Bombers last 4 at Dome Won - Fremantle 10 points Won - St Kilda 31 points Lost - Kangaroos 22 points Won - Brisbane 64 points Eagles last 4 away Won - Sydney 1 point at Testra Stadium Won - Richmond 23 points at MCG Lost - Geelong 39 points at Skilled Stadium Lost - Hawthorn 35 points at Aurora Stadium ********** Hawthorn v Sydney Last 3 Head to Head Hawthorn 0 Sydney 3 Swans have won last 3 games by 65, 54 and 63 points At MCG Played 5 - Hawthorn 2 Sydney 3 Hawthorn last 4 at MCG Won - Melbourne by 22 points Lost - Bulldogs by 17 points Won - Essendon by 35 points Won - St Kilda by 28 points Sydney last 4 away games Won - Richmond by 16 points at MCG Lost - Adelaide by 17 points at AAMI Lost - Kangaroos by 16 points at Telstra Dome Lost - St Kilda by 26 points at Telstra Dome ********** Brisbane v Bulldogs Last 3 Head to Head Brisbane 0 Bulldogs 3 Bulldogs have won last 3 meetings by 42, 28 and 23 including two wins at the Gabba Brisbane's last 4 Home games Lost - Collingwood by 33 Lost - Adelaide by 31 Won - Fremantle by 45 Won - St Kilda by 52 Bulldogs last 2 Away games interstate Lost - Sydney by 43 at Manuka Oval Lost - West Coast by 15 at Subiaco ********** Carlton v Port Power Last 3 games Head to Head Carlton 0 Port 2 Draw 1 Port have won 8 and drawn one of the last 10 matches against Carlton. Margins have been 34, 14, 83, 44, 30, 9, 53, and 5 points. At Telstra Dome played 1 - Carlton 0 Port 1 Carltons last 4 at the Dome Lost - Adelaide by 19 Lost - St Kilda by 43 Lost - Brisbane by 12 Lost - Geelong by 78 Port last 4 away Lost - Sydney by 31 at SCG Won - Melbourne by 5 at MCG Won - Collingwood by 18 at MCG Won - Fremantle by 16 at Subiaco ********** Adelaide v Geelong Last 3 Head to Head Adelaide 2 Geelong 1 Last meeting Adelaide won by 92 points at AAMI. At AAMI played 12 - Adelaide 11 Geelong 1 Adelaide last 4 at home Won - Richmond by 9 Lost - Collingwood by 24 Won - Sydney by 17 Won - Port by 34 Geelong last 2 Interstate Won - Port by 56 at AAMI Lost - Hawthorn by 4 at Aurora ********** St Kilda v Kangaroos Last 3 Head to Head - St Kilda 2 Kangaroos 1 St Kilda have won 5 of the last 6 meetings and the only loss was by 7 points in 2005. At Telstra Dome played 9 - St Kilda 5 Kangaroos 4 St Kilda last 4 at Dome Lost - Geelong by 60 Won - Sydney by 26 Won - Carlton by 43 Lost - Essendon by 31 Kangaroos last 3 at the Dome Won - Essendon by 22 Won - Sydney by 16 Lost - Hawthorn by 21 ********** Fremantle v Richmond Last 3 Head to Head - Fremantle 2 Richmond 1 Fremantle has won last 2 games at Subiaco by 11 and 27. At Subiaco played 8 - Fremantle 5 Richmond 3 Fremantle last 4 at home Won - St Kilda by 46 Won - Hawthorn by 16 Won - Adelaide by 1 Loss - West Coast by 31 Richmond last 2 away Lost - Adelaide by 9 at AAMI Lost - Port by 40 at AAMI ********** Melbourne v Collingwood Last 3 Head to Head - Melbourne 3 Collingwood 0 Melbourne has won the last 3 meetings by 47, 45 and 9 points Melbourne last 4 at MCG Won - Adelaide by 17 Loss - Kangaroos by 1 Loss - Port by 5 Loss - Fremantle by 45 Collingwood Last 4 at the MCG Won - Fremantle by 9 Won - Carlton by 24 Won - Essendon by 16 Loss - Port by 18 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted June 5, 2007 Author Share Posted June 5, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) Round 11 Score Prediction based on Average Scores For and Against Using Ads For and Against tables, I have gathered the average score For a team compared to the average score against for their opponents. Of course teams are often above or below their average, it is up to you to work out who will be above, and who will be below. An interesting guide never the less. For Agst Average Essendon 101 94 87 West Coast 93 72 94 Hawthorn 91 79 84 Sydney 87 76 83 Brisbane 85 90 95 Bulldogs 99 104 95 Carlton 102 124 96 Port 90 89 107 Adelaide 83 76 81 Geelong 120 78 98 St Kilda 76 88 87 Kangaroos 97 98 93 Fremantle 92 95 104 Richmond 82 115 89 Melbourne 77 104 83 Collingwood 96 89 100 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted June 5, 2007 Share Posted June 5, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) Lose those backgound colours, bjv. It's killing me. :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted June 5, 2007 Share Posted June 5, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) Another interesting stat i notice is that Carlton, Geelong & Collingwood have scored the rounds highest score twice each, while St Kilda have scored the rounds lowest score 4 times. On another 2 occasions St Kilda have scored the second lowest score of the round, so when they are bad they are really bad. Carlton average the second highest score in the league, but on the other hand they concede the highest average score per round. Might be handy for Under/Over betting in the points markets. Of Hawthorn 6 of Hawthorns 7 wins, their winning margin has been between 20-39 points which proves they have been pretty consistent this year when they win. Geelong have won 7 games, but 5 of those wins have been by over 39.5 points which means they are capable of big wins, 3 have been over 60 points meaning they are capable of destroying opponents. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted June 5, 2007 Author Share Posted June 5, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) Lose those backgound colours' date=' bjv. It's killing me. :loon[/quote'] Can't be done Ash :rollin Need the background colours to see emerging patterns :dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted June 5, 2007 Author Share Posted June 5, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) Following on further with your stats Ads. I have always found that teams that average over 100+ points for per game early in the season they end up higher on the ladder at year's end, and combining that with teams averaging under 80 points against per game, it gives you a good guide to the better teams. Averaging over 100 points for per game Geelong 120 Essendon 101 Carlton 102 Averaging under 80 points against per game West Coast 72 Adelaide 76 Sydney 76 Geelong 78 Hawthorn 79 Interestingly enough Geelong are in both columns, which indicates they score well and defend well, a great combination, and shows they are a big threat at the moment. Also of interest is that Carlton are one of only 3 teams averaging over 100 points for per game, and they sit 14th on the ladder. If they can improve their defence this year they will many more games. If they bolster their defence before next season then they will improve their win/loss ratio dramatically. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted June 5, 2007 Share Posted June 5, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) Good effort on weekend but not convinced yet Do my eyes deceive me? Is that something semi-positive about Carlton written by beejay :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted June 5, 2007 Author Share Posted June 5, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) Do my eyes deceive me? Is that something semi-positive about Carlton written by beejay :loon I had a gun pointed at my head when I wrote that Ads. For the life of me I don't know where Jeffers got the gun from :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted June 5, 2007 Share Posted June 5, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) Also of interest is that Carlton are one of only 3 teams averaging over 100 points for per game, and they sit 14th on the ladder. If they can improve their defence this year they will many more games. If they bolster their defence before next season then they will improve their win/loss ratio dramatically. The Carlton games have certainly been exciting this year, ive been to all the games played in Melbourne and despite losing alot of matches, i have still come out of the game with a smile on my face knowing it was an exciting game of footy and i got my money's worth (not like this St Kilda vs Hawthorn shit of a few weeks back). But the fact we concede so many points is absoultely staggering. I cant remember a team having so many point against per game since the Fitzroy days. Carltons midfield and forward line are very good the majority of times, but it seems every time the ball goes in our defensive it hardly ever is rebounded and usually results in a score to the opposition. The defence is very poor to say the least/ Is there a stat available for rebound 50's? Im sure there is, Taza do you keep it by any chance? Be interested to see if Carlton rank 16th in this stat... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted June 5, 2007 Share Posted June 5, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) I had a gun pointed at my head when I wrote that Ads. For the life of me I don't know where Jeffers got the gun from :loon What about when i was standing next to Jeffers after the win at the MCG last week and you were an hour up the road on the phone to him saying (and i quote) "I really like Carltons style of game". I reckon behind this Anti-Carlton masquerade you've got going, you have a soft spot deep down for the Old Dark Navy Blues :dude :dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vagabund Posted June 5, 2007 Share Posted June 5, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) What about when i was standing next to Jeffers after the win at the MCG last week and you were an hour up the road on the phone to him saying (and i quote) "I really like Carltons style of game". I reckon behind this Anti-Carlton masquerade you've got going, you have a soft spot deep down for the Old Dark Navy Blues :dude :dude Ads25 Seems beejayville has gotta crush on Carlton. Looks like a new Carlton permanent member. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jeffers Posted June 5, 2007 Share Posted June 5, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) Ads25 Seems beejayville has gotta crush on Carlton. Looks like a new Carlton permanent member. You can't help but love the Blues if you watch them tbh...our style of play is great to watch, and if, as Beejay says, we sort the conceding out, we're a top 4 team atm. Of course, that's like saying if the Titanic hadn't sunk, it would still be floating. Honestly though, Carlton are both a pleasure to watch, and extremely frustrating. Every time we fcuk up going forwards, or lose the ball in the oppo's 50, it's straight down the other end and Goal. I turned to Ads at least 4 times on Saturday and said Goal, before the other team had crossed half way, you can pick it that easily. Not entirely sure what the problem is in defence tbh, but it shows no signes of going away. Hopefully at least for teh remaining games we can play like we did this weekend and make a fight of it - could end with 7+ wins if we do. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted June 6, 2007 Share Posted June 6, 2007 Re: Late injury news. Burton not back this week. Gibson out for Kangas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jeffers Posted June 7, 2007 Share Posted June 7, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) DId anyone read Jimmy Hird's article in the Sun Herald today? Superb it was :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted June 7, 2007 Author Share Posted June 7, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) DId anyone read Jimmy Hird's article in the Sun Herald today? Superb it was :clap No I didn't notice it to be honest. And it is Herald Sun not Sun Herald, us Victorians are very particular about how our paper is pronounced. If you want to stay an honourary Victorian i suggest you learn the right lingo. :lol What's your thoughts on Cartlon's chances against Port Power? Jeffers, your AFL posts have been very commendable comsidering you are still learning about the AFL. The knowledge you have picked up has become quite good for a new comer to our game. I expect it is because you have been watching the games live. Good stuff picking AFL up so quick and I look forward to your comments when talking about a game because you offer a fresh view point :ok I am a little concerned about my beloved Black and White against Melbourne, they have had the wood on us in recent times :dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jeffers Posted June 7, 2007 Share Posted June 7, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) No I didn't notice it to be honest. And it is Herald Sun not Sun Herald' date=' us Victorians are very particular about how our paper is pronounced.[/quote'] I did notice that, but couldn't be arsed editing it :lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TazaD Posted June 8, 2007 Share Posted June 8, 2007 Re: Late injury news. Gibson out for Kangas. That wil teach him to have a shower before a 6am training session!! :unsure Well...what first looked like a crappy weekend, with lots of close games...now look slike I'm going to have a few bets. Essendon/West Coast under 194.5 (1.90) The Bombers have been pulling out every defensive technique in the book lately. Flooding...tagging defenders (Kennelly last week)...adds up to them having the BEST defensive record in the last 5 games @ a shot every 2.37 entries. Actually, their record in the dome suggests that they do much the same thing consistantly at 'home', allowing just 90 ppg @ a shot every 2.26 entries this season. West Coast have really struggled to score on the road as it is. A little over 76 ppg...but their high possession game does stand them in good defensive stead, allowing a shot just every 2.19 entries. I suspect this game will be much of the same. Plenty of chipping around by the Eagles...Essendon flooding back to play fast break style, but chances are the Eagle's defensive will be up to that job. Tough to pick a winner, tbh, but don't think it will be a monster score either way. Hawks/Swans...another low scorer on the cards...will be happy to take an under of around the 180 mark. Sydney seem to have gone into a very slow (boring!) game style on the road this season, av'ing just 43 I50's, and 42 against! (about 160 points per game). The Swans have played just one game in their last 10 at the MCG that has gone over 173 total points! Hawthorn have proven to be a strong defensive team as it is...allowing just 45 I50's in the last 5, and about 75 ppg. Lean the Hawks, but couldn't take them as favs...under hopefully! Dogs -5.5 Expecting a much more solid performance after last week's shocker...Brisbane defense every bit (well, almost! :D) as bad as Carlton's...allowing a shot every 1.77 entries in their last 5. Home stats are skewed by 2 good defensive performances early (v. Hawthorn and St. Kilda), but they've allowed 25, 30 and 30 shots in their last 3 at home...to 3 teams who just don't score as well as the Dogs do. Murphy back is a huge boost too. Of course, the Dogs defensive midfield pressure (lack of!) is always a concern, but Brisbane have only topped 100 in 3 of their last 10..Brown will be double teamed...either way Harris is a strong match-up for him, and Hargrave/Morris on Mitch Clark. Dogs look to have too much fire power here...won their last 3 v. Brisbane by 23, 28 and 42...2 @ the 'Gabba. Carlton/PA...tough to take either team here. Carlton allowing 228 ppg in theri last 5 at the Dome! Last 5 games show 2 terrible defenses. Blues allowing a shot every 1.67, PA every 1.73! The good news for Port is that they score every 1.75 entries...the bad news is that in the last 5 games they have entered their 50 the LEAST of any team @ just 44 times per game...which won't win you too many. Even v. Richmond and Melbourne (allowing 55 each), they entered just 48 and 45 respectively. Carlton allow 56, but can Port take advantage?? Tough one to read for me... Crows/Geelong...Well, all year I've been saying the Geelong are yet to beat a team better than them...there may well be a very good explaination for that right now!!! :clap Not sure I can take them as road favs, but again looking at an under. Crows allow just 45 I50's/game at home. Geelong have been super defensive last 5, allowing just 46 I'50s, and a shot every 2.34 entries. Geelong should win I guess... Kangas +9.5 thanks! Off their first BAD game for a long time...not even that bad...things were very even until the last 20 minutes. Saints really struggling. Only topped 100 in 2 of their last 10...just 4 wins on the season...Kangas still seem to be under-rated. Nearly 2.40 for the win looks huge!...I'll take the start...can't see St. Kilda winning by too much if they can get up at all. Very tempted by the Tiges +30...but the big loss @ Port worries me. Freo just aren't very good!!...but like Collingwood last week, I can't see Richmond having anyone to stop Tarrant/Pavlich...Polak will go to one...can Bowden run with Tarrant?? Mmmmm...food for thought. Althugh Freo have won 4 of the last 5 (3 at home), wins have been by only 23, 10, 27 and 11... ...Freo 1-39 paying a pretty handy 2.35!...reckon I'll be tempted by that. :ok Sure, Melbourne have won the last 3 meetings, but 2 were as big favs...won last year as decent size dogs, but Collingwood were bit over-rated...playing much better this year imo. Although Melbourne have been in some close games and finally got a win last week, last 5 games show they are still nearly -8 I50's a game (Coll +3.5)..Melbourne allow a shot ever 1.78 entries, Collingwood score every 1.79...Melbourne score every 2.02, Collingwood allow 2.03!! Just about a mirror image...can't see Melbourne notching up number 2 here. 1.70 for the 'Pies looks very fair indeed. Good luck everyone. :ok :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted June 8, 2007 Author Share Posted June 8, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) Top class analysis Taza and paints a very clear picture :clap:clap:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BURNTUA CRISP Posted June 8, 2007 Share Posted June 8, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) What to watch for this weekend. - The weather in Brisbane, if it’s a heavy track or there is rain about, jump off the Bulldogs. The Lions will enjoy playing in the wet (remember Cairns). - Dennis Cometti wearing a raincoat in the commentary box on Friday night. McAvaney will be orgasmic every time Judd goes near the ball and you know he’ll be excited seeing it’s his first time behind the microphone with Judd playing. - Luke Hodge is in doubt for the Hawks. The Hawks won’t win if he doesn’t play. They need a full complement of midfielders to attack the Swans. - Warren Tredrea must perform against Carlton. He will get plenty of opportunities against a suspect defence and if he can’t fire in this, he’ll need to assess his worth to the team. Some facts - The Bombers have scored around 100 in their last 7 games at the Dome. - West Coast average 29 points in second halves away from Subiaco this season, and average 8 points in third quarters. - Hawthorn score more heavily after half time in their games. - Swans average 20 points less away from home. - Bulldogs average 90 points away from the Dome, but only score 35 after half time. - Carlton have only beaten Melbourne in their last 14 games at the Dome. Score Predictor & My Tips(in Bold) Essendon 97 West Coast 96 Hawthorn 84 Sydney 79 Carlton 93 Port Adelaide 91 Brisbane 80 Western Bulldogs 98 Suggested Bets SYDNEY Win PORT ADELAIDE Win Good luck everyone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted June 8, 2007 Share Posted June 8, 2007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted June 8, 2007 Author Share Posted June 8, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) Great write up too Crisp :cheers :rollin the Mcavaney and Judd, it's gonna be special. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted June 8, 2007 Author Share Posted June 8, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) Well, our record at the Dome is shocking...something like 10% wins (no jokes about that being our overall record please)...our record at the G is much much better. Nice review by the Englishman :ok Got me thinking about records at the Dome...Below is the record for teams playing at the dome from 2000 to 2007 # Team First Last Pl W L D Win % PF PA APF APA 1 Adelaide 2000 2007 25 16 9 0 64.00 2629 2215 105 89 2 Essendon 2000 2007 68 43 24 1 63.97 7690 6640 113 98 3 Melbourne 2000 2007 26 15 11 0 57.69 2826 2530 109 97 4 Collingwood 2000 2007 44 25 19 0 56.82 4419 4055 100 92 5 Kangaroos 2000 2007 65 36 28 1 56.15 6711 6608 103 102 6 Geelong 2000 2007 50 28 22 0 56.00 5138 4782 103 96 7 St Kilda 2000 2007 90 48 40 2 54.44 9256 8703 103 97 8 Bris Lions 2000 2007 28 13 13 2 50.00 2990 2951 107 105 9 Sydney 2000 2007 21 10 10 1 50.00 1898 1846 90 88 10 Port Adel 2000 2006 20 10 10 0 50.00 2038 2062 102 103 11 Hawthorn 2000 2007 35 16 19 0 45.71 3272 3472 93 99 12 W Bulldogs 2000 2007 82 35 46 1 43.29 8573 8946 105 109 13 Richmond 2000 2007 47 19 27 1 41.49 4335 4959 92 106 14 West Coast 2000 2006 22 7 14 1 34.09 2094 2617 95 119 15 Fremantle 2000 2007 22 7 15 0 31.82 1964 2395 89 109 16 Carlton 2000 2007 41 10 31 0 24.39 3725 4777 91 117 This is the Dome record for 2007 # Team year Pl W L D Win % PF PA APF APA 1 Adelaide 2007 1 1 0 0 100.00 105 86 105 86 2 Hawthorn 2007 1 1 0 0 100.00 91 70 91 70 3 Essendon 2007 4 3 1 0 75.00 443 360 111 90 4 Geelong 2007 4 3 1 0 75.00 602 327 151 82 5 W Bulldogs 2007 4 3 1 0 75.00 426 417 107 104 6 Kangaroos 2007 3 2 1 0 66.67 298 281 99 94 7 St Kilda 2007 5 3 2 0 60.00 471 443 94 89 8 Bris Lions 2007 3 1 1 1 50.00 272 324 91 108 9 Richmond 2007 2 0 1 1 25.00 138 295 69 148 10 Carlton 2007 4 0 4 0 0.00 376 528 94 132 11 Sydney 2007 2 0 2 0 0.00 166 208 83 104 12 Collingwood 2007 1 0 1 0 0.00 102 135 102 135 13 Fremantle 2007 1 0 1 0 0.00 112 122 112 122 14 Melbourne 2007 1 0 1 0 0.00 106 112 106 112 Port power's recent record at the Dome # Team First Last Pl W L D Win % PF PA APF APA 1 Collingwood 2005 2006 2 2 0 0 100 222 150 111 75 2 Kangaroos 2004 2006 3 2 1 0 67 301 277 100 92 3 Essendon 2000 2006 6 3 3 0 50 634 631 106 105 4 Richmond 2003 2005 2 1 1 0 50 227 191 114 96 5 St Kilda 2000 2002 3 1 2 0 33 287 319 96 106 6 W Bulldogs 2000 2003 3 1 2 0 33 307 352 102 117 7 Carlton 2006 2006 1 0 1 0 0 84 118 84 118 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted June 8, 2007 Author Share Posted June 8, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) Thought I would get you some stats for last 10 games Carlton v Port Jeffers just to cheer you up :lol Year Rd Team Score Versus Score Gnd Result Marg 1 2006 10 Carlton 12.12 (84) vs Port Adel 17.16 (118) TD Lost -34 2 2005 19 Carlton 16.13 (109) vs Port Adel 18.15 (123) MCG Lost -14 3 2005 4 Carlton 16.13 (109) vs Port Adel 15.19 (109) AAMI Drawn 0 4 2004 15 Carlton 5.10 (40) vs Port Adel 18.15 (123) AAMI Lost -83 5 2003 19 Carlton 12.9 (81) vs Port Adel 18.17 (125) AAMI Lost -44 6 2003 4 Carlton 12.12 (84) vs Port Adel 17.12 (114) OO Lost -30 7 2002 19 Carlton 5.15 (45) vs Port Adel 7.12 (54) OO Lost -9 8 2002 4 Carlton 14.11 (95) vs Port Adel 23.10 (148) AAMI Lost -53 9 2001 12 Carlton 15.14 (104) vs Port Adel 10.10 (70) AAMI WON 34 10 2000 21 Carlton 12.11 (83) vs Port Adel 12.16 (88) AAMI Lost -5 Port will will busting their guts to get over here and play Carlton, their favourite all time bunny :dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted June 8, 2007 Share Posted June 8, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) Port Adelaide have been Carltons bogey team since they entered the league in 1997. We just never seem to be able to beat them ever. Still will never forgot the day Warren treadrea burts on to the scene as a teenager in 1998 and booted 8 goals as Port went to win by about 100 at Optus Oval. They were shit at the time too... Tommorow night as as good as any to break the hoodoo though, infact i like our chances tommorow. $1.91 is good value Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted June 8, 2007 Share Posted June 8, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) - Luke Hodge is in doubt for the Hawks. The Hawks won’t win if he doesn’t play. They need a full complement of midfielders to attack the Swans.What's the mail on Hodge? Last I heard (early this week) he just had a cork thigh and will be fine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BURNTUA CRISP Posted June 8, 2007 Share Posted June 8, 2007 Re: AFL Football Round 11 (Friday June 8 - Monday June 11) Essendon 15.5(95) d. West Coast 14.10(94) Essendon 97 West Coast 96 Took 11 rounds to get a margin right, but better late than never. Nearly got the score too. Congratulations to Essendon for showing they are clearly good enough for September action. Only need to win 4 more games to qualify for the finals which should be a formality given their fixture. There's no doubt Kevin Sheedy will be signing a new contract in the next few weeks and deservedly so. West Coast now appear to have a problem winning away from home and have Geelong snapping at their heels now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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