Hereford 03/06/07

[Carl]

Horse Name: Lilac Racecourse: Hereford Time: 4.40 AP's last ride of the day and he rides Evan Williams raider for whom he has a 75% SR. Only 3lb up for an impressive 3rd at Newton Abbot LTO in better company.

[dontbegreat]

Re: Hereford 03/06/07

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	2:10 Here
Selection	Country Affair
Strength	10/10
Date	03/06/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Sportingodds @ 3.25 (Back)
Reasoning	2:10 Here Country Affair Finished 3rd of 17 on it's hurdle debut on 03May07 after 6 stars on the flat. A good start and has a very good chance to improve with A P McCoy on board. Jockey record at this hurdles course at this track has 32 wins from 111 the last 5 seasons. Hurdle course: 21 wins from 68 - 31% Chase course: 8 wins from 28 - 29% NHF course: 3 wins from 15 - 20% Stats taken from the Racing Post The jockey is starting the day with 8 wins from the last 17 rides. Winners SP: 8/1, 11/4, 6/4, 2/1, 2/5, 13/2, 5/1, 2/1.

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	2:10 Here
Selection	Vibe (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	03/06/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Boylesports @ 10.00 (Back)
Reasoning	2:10 Here Vibe Should be able to compete at this level if able to race like LTO. Finished 3rd on 25Apr at Worcester on Good to Firm ground. The distance was for 2 miles, 1 furlong shorter of the trip today. Here is an analysis of the way Vibe raced LTO from the Racing Post. "Vibe, having his first outing for her new trainer and first for a long time, ran well enough to suggest there is a small race to come over the summer on faster ground."

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	3:10 Here
Selection	The Hairy Lemon
Strength	10/10
Date	03/06/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Sportingodds @ 5.00 (Back)
Reasoning	3:10 Here The Hairy Lemon Chase debut today. Able to win ove hurdles. Raced: 28 1st: 4 2nd: 4 3rd: 2 The trainer have sent out 7 winners from the last 13 chasers at this track. Been in Class 3's for 6 of the last 7 races.

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	3:10 Here (Bet365 BOG)
Selection	Lansdowne Princess (Each-Way)
Strength	2/10
Date	03/06/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 51.00 (Back)
Reasoning	3:10 Here Lansdowne Princess From Racing Post analysis of race LTO. "She has run a storming race, moving up strongly off the home bend and plugging on when left behind as she was fully entitled to be by her classier rivals." The winner of that race was the 11/10 favorite with 2nd place for the joint 2nd fav at 4/1. The jockey have ended up with three good priced placers the last 10 days. 11/1 with Haile Sellassie 24May 3rd of 15 12/1 with Liverpool Echo 25May 2nd of 12 16/1 with La Griffe 27May 2nd of 7 3.3.2.11.PU.7.2.4.2.PU6 since 23May for the jockey Mark Bradurne.

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	3:10 Here
Selection	Hello Again
Strength	10/10
Date	03/06/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 5.00 (Back)
Reasoning	3:10 Here Hello Again Jockey record at this hurdles course at this track has 32 wins from 111 the last 5 seasons. Hurdle course: 21 wins from 68 - 31% Chase course: 8 wins from 28 - 29% NHF course: 3 wins from 15 - 20% Stats taken from the Racing Post The jockey is starting the day with 8 wins from the last 17 rides. Winners SP: 8/1, 11/4, 6/4, 2/1, 2/5, 13/2, 5/1, 2/1.
Tip Detail Sport Horse Racing Event 3:40 Here Selection Hot Zone (Each-Way) Strength 5/10 Date 03/06/2007 Bookmaker/Price Betfred @ 10.00 (Back) Reasoning 3:40 Here Hot Zone Jockey record at this hurdles course at this track has 32 wins from 111 the last 5 seasons. Hurdle course: 21 wins from 68 - 31% Chase course: 8 wins from 28 - 29% NHF course: 3 wins from 15 - 20% Stats taken from the Racing Post The jockey is starting the day with 8 wins from the last 17 rides. Winners SP: 8/1, 11/4, 6/4, 2/1, 2/5, 13/2, 5/1, 2/1.

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	4:10 Here (Bet365 BOG)
Selection	High Gear (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	03/06/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 6.00 (Back)
Reasoning	4:10 Here High Gear Jockey record at this hurdles course at this track has 32 wins from 111 the last 5 seasons. Hurdle course: 21 wins from 68 - 31% Chase course: 8 wins from 28 - 29% NHF course: 3 wins from 15 - 20% Stats taken from the Racing Post The jockey is starting the day with 8 wins from the last 17 rides. Winners SP: 8/1, 11/4, 6/4, 2/1, 2/5, 13/2, 5/1, 2/1.

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	4:10 Here
Selection	Back In Business
Strength	10/10
Date	03/06/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Sportingodds @ 3.50 (Back)
Reasoning	4:10 Here Back In Business 2007 Form is 3.2.1.2.1 Form with the jockey today is 3.1.1 for this year. The jockey/horse combo form is F.3.PU.3 before this year. Now, it looks like the jockey knows how to win with this runner. Jockey form for 5 of last 6 is 3.1.3.3.4.

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	4:40 Here (Bet365 BOG)
Selection	South Sands (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	03/06/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 6.50 (Back)
Reasoning	4:40 Here South Sands Has some good results this year but now wins. 2.8.5.3.2.PU.2 for this year. Form of the trainer looks like it can win a race soon, 3.1.5.4.1.3.4.8.2 since 21May. The jockey have gone 4.4.4.2 for the last 4 it raced. The efforts of South Sands have shown alot and it might be enough to show what needs to be fixed to win a race this summer.

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	4:40 Here
Selection	Lilac
Strength	10/10
Date	03/06/2007
Bookmaker/Price	totesport @ 3.75 (Back)
Reasoning	4:40 Here Lilac Jockey record at this hurdles course at this track has 32 wins from 111 the last 5 seasons. Hurdle course: 21 wins from 68 - 31% Chase course: 8 wins from 28 - 29% NHF course: 3 wins from 15 - 20% Stats taken from the Racing Post The jockey is starting the day with 8 wins from the last 17 rides. Winners SP: 8/1, 11/4, 6/4, 2/1, 2/5, 13/2, 5/1, 2/1.

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	5:10 Here (Bet365 BOG)
Selection	Airman (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	03/06/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 6.00 (Back)
Reasoning	5:10 Here Airman Been in two NH Flat events, that's all for the short career. Debut was at Cheltenham 01Jan in a Listed event for a 9th of 15 with the winner 32L ahead. LTO was much better with a 3rd of 10 in a Class 5 at Ludlow. Half Brother to Excusez Moi. Should be able to compete at this level, Class 6.