e/w value May 6

[cavello]

This will not appeal to many but on the figures is value. Kyle 1.45 Salisbury @7/4 Sportingodds. Solid form and with only one apparent danger. 1.25 for the place on the exchanges. At 1/5 odds with the bookie 1.35. PLus odds slighlty lower on betfair compared with bookies odds I'm watching Prince of Delphi and will also back that in some form to ensure a profit if either wins. Prince of Delphi is very well connected and had some problems.

[cavello]

Re: e/w value May 6 Prince of Delphi @15/8 with Stan James. Slight value now. I'm betting at 2/5 in this race so this is not your normal e/w value type bet and I will look a right plonker if neither of my selections wins.

[cavello]

Re: e/w value May 6 That was very nice even increase my bet on Kyle when it hit 2/1.:ok

[laying larry]

Re: e/w value May 6 Excellent call cavelloman, many (not just on here) have been laying this, some to quite large amounts. Thanks for the posting. Cheers LL

[cavello]

Re: e/w value May 6 The public often let miadens with many runs go off too large. Below maidens starting at less then 9/4 in 8-12 runner maidens Analysis By Run Number 3 Y O only maidens. Run No Prop Win Runs Wins% Ret/£1 FTO 7% 14 38 36.8% -0.19 2nd Run 25% 47 124 37.9% -0.18 3rd Run 29% 55 112 49.1% 0.09 4th Run 15% 29 61 47.5% 0.01 5th Run 8% 15 39 38.5% -0.20 6th+ Run 16% 31 61 50.8% 0.23 Analysis By Run Number All age maidens Run No Prop Win Runs Wins% Ret/£1 FTO 3% 6 21 28.6% -0.35 2nd Run 23% 52 98 53.1% 0.16 3rd Run 23% 52 126 41.3% -0.14 4th Run 13% 28 73 38.4% -0.24 5th Run 10% 22 47 46.8% -0.03 6th+ Run 28% 63 136 46.3% 0.07 Even more profit for those backing these "can't win" types on the exchanges.