Sedgefield 01/05/07

[Carl]

7.45 Sedgefield: DOLMUR Disappointing LTO at Wetherby when 2nd to Trading Trouble, that form has been franked since with the latter winning at Perth by 9L's over 2½ miles. Trip and ground to suit and is nicely weighted for a yard who continues to throw out winners.

[dontbegreat]

Re: Sedgefield 01/05/07

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	5:45 Sedg (Bet365 BOG)
Selection	Cara Sposa
Strength	10/10
Date	01/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 2.75 (Back)
Reasoning	5:45 Sedg Cara Sposa Not a lot of penalty to stop this today. Its been running with similar weight to carry and a similar result is not out of the question. Gave its best with the jockey today and the rivals looked exposed to not be able to stay with this today. The jockey also has a good mark at this track with a 21% overall win rate. Has 7 wins from 35 Hurdle events, that is 20%. Only one of the 14 rivals finished 3rd or better – it finished 3rd, the rest are 5.F.8.0.9.PU.5.4.PU.4 .

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	5:45 Sedg (Bet365 BOG)
Selection	Zumrah (Each-Way)
Strength	3/10
Date	01/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 11.00 (Back)
Reasoning	5:45 Sedg Zumrah One of the two to finish 3rd or better LTO from this field of 15. 3L behind the winner when having AP for directions and that will help in future races. The jockey today has 3 wins from 12 hurdle rides here and that’s good enough to like. This have not been out since 19Jul06 (286 days) but the trainer have not been busy so I think Zumrah is really ready after a long break.

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	6:15 Sedg
Selection	Mighty Fine
Strength	10/10
Date	01/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Blue Square @ 4.50 (Back)
Reasoning	6:15 Sedg Mighty Fine Priced nicely around 3/1 with the RP Forecast at 15/8. For 2007 it has been 1.6.3.2 and that form is one of the best when looking through this card. Many are unable to produce two consecutive starts that are worthy to follow. With the jockey set for the third straight race I will take this here. Priced much higher than the forecast and a consistent form over the rest of the field.

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	6:45 Sedg
Selection	Lethem Air (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	01/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Paddy Power @ 10.00 (Back)
Reasoning	6:45 Sedg Lethem Air The price is to like about this (10/1ish). Record with the jockey today is 4.3.2.6.6.2 (the horse have been 3rd or better in 7 of 22 overall events). Not been on ground the course has today but its has performed very well on Good to Firm with a win and a 3rd place in two events away from the softer ground.

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	8:15 Sedg
Selection	New Lodge
Strength	10/10
Date	01/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Boylesports @ 4.50 (Back)
Reasoning	8:15 Sedg New Lodge Most experienced but not the most hyped to have a good price. Overall form is 3.2.3 with the last being with the jockey scheduled for today. The jockey have been in very good form with a 1.6.1.3.2.1.8 since 07Apr. Most experienced and a jockey in winning form is good here. Has one to worry about and that is the clear favorite but experience is what I’m siding with.