merlin Posted March 1, 2007 Share Posted March 1, 2007 Re: Science Of Football Betting .... fine Davey, but what does it all mean? Where do you intend to go with this? Is there any selections coming up? We need a hint or two or otherwise looks destined for the Glory Hunters forum.Certainly if you provide us with more, I'm sure some interest will be stimulated.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted March 1, 2007 Share Posted March 1, 2007 Re: Science Of Football Betting the odds are derived from the league record, right? i.e. home price = 1/ ((HW+AL) / (HW+HD+HL+AW+AD+AL)) away price = 1/ ((AW+HL) / (HW+HD+HL+AW+AD+AL)) draw price = remaining price to make 100% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
evergreenfc Posted March 2, 2007 Share Posted March 2, 2007 Re: Science Of Football Betting Let me open my gob really wide MERLIN then you will be able to jump right down my throat. This Forum is probably the biggest on the net but it seems that only a small percentage are prepared to post any worthwhile input whilst everybody else just leach, moan or worst of all contribute sweet Felicity Arkwright. Not surprising with your attitude MERLIN.:spank My post wasn't even luke warm and I get stabbing pains in my back, chill out man. What do you think I was advocating a 40 team acca!! I posted as an EXAMPLE of last weeks fixtures as I was sure I had some notes or paperwork that went with the spreadsheet. Thankfully MERLINS :ok post brought it all back to me, and he is spot on with his analysis. I will post this weeks table and will be looking to back HOME teams of 50%+ and AWAY teams of 40%+ provided the odds on offer better those in the sheet. Will post the outcome later dAVEY H Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weeian Posted March 2, 2007 Share Posted March 2, 2007 Re: Science Of Football Betting I cant feel much love in the room guys... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
evergreenfc Posted March 2, 2007 Share Posted March 2, 2007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted March 2, 2007 Share Posted March 2, 2007 Re: Science Of Football Betting reminds me of something i read in a book (although, can't remember the something, and can't remember the book, so that doesn't really help!!)..... how do you calculate the home win or Draw or away win percentages? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted March 2, 2007 Share Posted March 2, 2007 Re: Science Of Football Betting check out post 3, loony. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lunatism Posted March 2, 2007 Share Posted March 2, 2007 Re: Science Of Football Betting check out post 3' date=' loony. :ok[/quote'] ye, ye, ye - i saw that bit...and it works fine, making the odds (fair odds i guess), but how do you get the percentages from that? (could be a silly question....but i'm learning so be nice :tongue2 ) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted March 2, 2007 Share Posted March 2, 2007 Re: Science Of Football Betting fair % = 1/ fair decimal odd 50% = 1 / 2.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted March 2, 2007 Share Posted March 2, 2007 Re: Science Of Football Betting Looks interesting evergreen, will watch out for the results with interest this weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted March 2, 2007 Author Share Posted March 2, 2007 Re: Science Of Football Betting .... now, now Davey boy, don't let's go off half cocked! I was particularly interested in your thread and was merely asking politely where it was going.If you have taken umbrage at that I apologize,it was not meant to be a sarcastic comment.In view of the lack of details I thought it a fair question, at least there has been a positive response and now fellow punters can hopefully respond in an equally postive manner.Good luck with your endeavours!:) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted March 14, 2007 Author Share Posted March 14, 2007 Re: Science Of Football Betting .... what's happened to this then Davey? A poor week 1 but surely it deserves a run at least.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billydilly Posted March 15, 2007 Share Posted March 15, 2007 Re: Science Of Football Betting Hi guys! This method of finding fair odds is naive at best. If it was this simple, we'd all be millionaires, and as you may or may not know, there are betting houses, software developers and experts in many fields working day and night to make betting pay by getting the small percentage edges needed. With this in mind, its naive to think this is the way to go. Sorry to be so negative, but you might as well hear the truth sooner than later, so you dont waste hours and days on this, which will not lead to any positive outcome. GL Levi Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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